Early Prediction of Outcomes Following Optic Neuritis: Development and Acceptability of a Prognostic Tool
MS Predictor
2 other identifiers
observational
180
1 country
3
Brief Summary
The goal of this observational study is to determine whether genetic information, together with clinical information, can be used to improve prediction of future multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis after a first-time episode of optic neuritis. The study will also investigate visual outcomes, quality of life, healthcare use, and the acceptability of using genetic information to predict future health outcomes in people with optic neuritis. The main outcomes that we aim to assess are:
- 1.Incident diagnosis of MS following a first episode of optic neuritis, including time to MS diagnosis.
- 2.Visual outcomes following optic neuritis, including visual acuity, visual field, and colour vision.
- 3.Clinical care received following optic neuritis, including specialist review, investigations/tests
- 4.Health-related and vision-related quality of life.
- 5.Health economic impacts and healthcare utilisation after experiencing optic neuritis
- 6.Knowledge, attitudes, and practices/behaviours about using genetic information to predict future MS disease risk.
- 7.Allow researchers to review information from their medical records relating to their optic neuritis diagnosis, investigations, treatments, and outcomes.
- 8.Be invited to provide a saliva sample for genetic analysis.
- 9.Complete questionnaires about their lifestyle/risk factors, quality of life, and views on genetic risk prediction.
- 10.Allow researchers to track long-term health outcomes using information from their NHS records
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P50-P75 for all trials
Started Sep 2026
3 active sites
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
Click on a node to explore related trials.
Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
June 18, 2026
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
July 15, 2026
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
September 1, 2026
ExpectedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
December 1, 2027
Study Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
December 1, 2027
July 15, 2026
June 1, 2026
1.2 years
June 18, 2026
July 9, 2026
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Incident Multiple Sclerosis Diagnosis Following a First Episode of Optic Neuritis
Occurrence of a diagnosis of multiple sclerosis following a first episode of optic neuritis.
Extracted from retrospective record at baseline, and reviewed before study end to capture any new events occurring during the 12 month study period.
Secondary Outcomes (19)
Visual Acuity (LogMAR)
From the date of first optic neuritis diagnosis until the last available follow-up assessment (up to 15 years).
Visual Field Mean Deviation (dB)
From the date of first optic neuritis diagnosis until the last available follow-up assessment (up to 15 years).
Colour Vision (Number of Ishihara Plates Correctly Identified)
From the date of first optic neuritis diagnosis until the last available follow-up assessment (up to 15 years).
Number of Healthcare Consultations Following Optic Neuritis Diagnosis
12 months
Number of Investigations Performed Following Optic Neuritis Diagnosis
12 months
- +14 more secondary outcomes
Study Arms (1)
Participants Who Have Experienced Optic Neuritis
Participants with a history of a first episode of optic neuritis recruited from the 3 participating NHS hospitals. Participants will undergo retrospective review of clinical records, complete questionnaires, and may provide a saliva sample for genetic analysis. Participants will be invited to consent to longer term prospective outcome assessment.
Interventions
Not applicable - No intervention as this is an observation study
Eligibility Criteria
Participants aged 16 and above with a history of a first episode of optic neuritis recruited from one of the three participating NHS sites in London (Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust)
You may qualify if:
- Aged 16 years and above at time of consent
- Previous episode of optic neuritis diagnosed at one of the participating sites
You may not qualify if:
- Patients for whom data relating to the first episode of ON are not available in the medical record at a participating site
- Children \<16 years at the time of recruitment
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- King's College Londonlead
- Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trustcollaborator
- King's College Hospital NHS Trustcollaborator
- Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trustcollaborator
Study Sites (3)
Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
London, EC1V 2PD, United Kingdom
Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust
London, SE1 7EH, United Kingdom
King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
London, SE5 9RS, United Kingdom
Related Publications (6)
Panthagani J, O'Donovan C, Aiyegbusi OL, Liu X, Bayliss S, Calvert M, Pesudovs K, Denniston AK, Moore DJ, Braithwaite T. Evaluating patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) for future clinical trials in adult patients with optic neuritis. Eye (Lond). 2023 Oct;37(15):3097-3107. doi: 10.1038/s41433-023-02478-z. Epub 2023 Mar 17.
PMID: 36932161BACKGROUNDBraithwaite T, Wiegerinck N, Petzold A, Denniston A. Vision Loss from Atypical Optic Neuritis: Patient and Physician Perspectives. Ophthalmol Ther. 2020 Jun;9(2):215-220. doi: 10.1007/s40123-020-00247-9. Epub 2020 Mar 21.
PMID: 32200476BACKGROUNDLaviers H, Petzold A, Braithwaite T. How far should I manage acute optic neuritis as an ophthalmologist? A United Kingdom perspective. Eye (Lond). 2024 Aug;38(12):2238-2245. doi: 10.1038/s41433-024-03164-4. Epub 2024 Jun 12.
PMID: 38867071BACKGROUNDPetzold A, Braithwaite T, van Oosten BW, Balk L, Martinez-Lapiscina EH, Wheeler R, Wiegerinck N, Waters C, Plant GT. Case for a new corticosteroid treatment trial in optic neuritis: review of updated evidence. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2020 Jan;91(1):9-14. doi: 10.1136/jnnp-2019-321653. Epub 2019 Nov 18. No abstract available.
PMID: 31740484BACKGROUNDBraithwaite T, Subramanian A, Petzold A, Galloway J, Adderley NJ, Mollan SP, Plant GT, Nirantharakumar K, Denniston AK. Trends in Optic Neuritis Incidence and Prevalence in the UK and Association With Systemic and Neurologic Disease. JAMA Neurol. 2020 Dec 1;77(12):1514-1523. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.3502.
PMID: 33017023BACKGROUNDLoginovic P, Wang F, Li J, Ferrat L, Mirshahi UL, Rao HS, Petzold A, Tyrrell J, Green HD, Weedon MN, Ganna A, Tuomi T, Carey DJ; UKBB Eye & Vision Consortium; FinnGen; Geisinger-Regeneron DiscovEHR Collaboration; Oram RA, Braithwaite T. Applying a genetic risk score model to enhance prediction of future multiple sclerosis diagnosis at first presentation with optic neuritis. Nat Commun. 2024 Feb 28;15(1):1415. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-44917-9.
PMID: 38418465BACKGROUND
Biospecimen
DNA
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Tasanee Braithwaite
King's College London
Central Study Contacts
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- RETROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
June 18, 2026
First Posted
July 15, 2026
Study Start (Estimated)
September 1, 2026
Primary Completion (Estimated)
December 1, 2027
Study Completion (Estimated)
December 1, 2027
Last Updated
July 15, 2026
Record last verified: 2026-06