NCT06732791

Brief Summary

The goal of this prospective cohort study is to compare the predictive accuracy of the MGAP and GAP trauma scores in determining the prognosis of multiple trauma patients admitted to the emergency department at Al-Kadhimiya Teaching Hospital, Iraq. The main questions it aims to answer are: Does the MGAP score provide a more accurate prediction of outcomes compared to the GAP score? Are there specific subgroups of trauma patients where one score demonstrates superior predictive utility over the other? Participants will: Be assessed using both the MGAP and GAP scores upon admission to the emergency department. Have their clinical outcomes, including mortality, length of stay, and need for surgery, tracked throughout their hospital stay.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
522

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
10mo left

Started Jan 2025

Typical duration for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress60%
Jan 2025Mar 2027

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

December 10, 2024

Completed
3 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

December 13, 2024

Completed
1 month until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

January 20, 2025

Completed
2.1 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

March 10, 2027

Expected
10 days until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

March 20, 2027

Last Updated

March 4, 2026

Status Verified

March 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

2.1 years

First QC Date

December 10, 2024

Last Update Submit

March 3, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

MGAPGAP

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (3)

  • In hospital mortality

    Mortality (death) during hospitalization.

    In-Hospital Phase (average of 7-10 days through discharge)

  • Accuracy Assessment of the MGAP score

    (mechanism, Glasgow coma scale, age, and blood pressure), Total scores can range from 3 to 29, with a higher score predicting a better prognosis.

    the first 4 hours after ER admission

  • Accuracy Assessment of the GAP score

    Glasgow coma scale, age, and blood pressure (GAP) score: Total score ranges from 3 to 24. Higher scores suggest a better outcome.

    the first 4 hours after ER admission

Secondary Outcomes (3)

  • Length of Hospitalization

    Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days

  • Need for ICU Admission

    Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days

  • Need for Surgical Intervention

    Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days

Eligibility Criteria

Age16 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsChild (0-17), Adult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

The study will include patients presenting with multiple trauma to the Trauma and Emergency Department at Al-Kadhimiya Teaching Hospital, Iraq. This population comprises patients who have sustained injuries affecting multiple body regions and require urgent medical evaluation and management

You may qualify if:

  • Aged 16 years or older.
  • Patients presenting with multiple trauma (Multiple trauma is defined as injuries involving two or more body regions or organ systems that might need coordinated multidisciplinary management).
  • Patients presenting to the emergency department within 6 hours of sustaining trauma.
  • Patients or their legal representatives must provide informed consent for participation in the study.

You may not qualify if:

  • Transfers from other facilities with interventions that may affect GAP or MGAP reliability.
  • Pregnant women.
  • Burn injuries represent the primary mechanism of trauma.
  • Incomplete records or failure of follow-up
  • Patients who are deceased upon arrival at the emergency department.
  • Patient discharge against medical advice.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

College of Medicine - Al-Nahrain University

Baghdad, Iraq

RECRUITING

Related Publications (16)

  • Mathers CD, Loncar D. Projections of global mortality and burden of disease from 2002 to 2030. PLoS Med. 2006 Nov;3(11):e442. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.0030442.

    PMID: 17132052BACKGROUND
  • Kondo Y, Abe T, Kohshi K, Tokuda Y, Cook EF, Kukita I. Revised trauma scoring system to predict in-hospital mortality in the emergency department: Glasgow Coma Scale, Age, and Systolic Blood Pressure score. Crit Care. 2011 Aug 10;15(4):R191. doi: 10.1186/cc10348.

  • Raux M, Sartorius D, Le Manach Y, David JS, Riou B, Vivien B. What do prehospital trauma scores predict besides mortality? J Trauma. 2011 Sep;71(3):754-9. doi: 10.1097/TA.0b013e3181fd0dae.

  • Sartorius D, Le Manach Y, David JS, Rancurel E, Smail N, Thicoipe M, Wiel E, Ricard-Hibon A, Berthier F, Gueugniaud PY, Riou B. Mechanism, glasgow coma scale, age, and arterial pressure (MGAP): a new simple prehospital triage score to predict mortality in trauma patients. Crit Care Med. 2010 Mar;38(3):831-7. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0b013e3181cc4a67.

  • Orhon R, Eren SH, Karadayi S, Korkmaz I, Coskun A, Eren M, Katrancioglu N. Comparison of trauma scores for predicting mortality and morbidity on trauma patients. Ulus Travma Acil Cerrahi Derg. 2014 Jul;20(4):258-64. doi: 10.5505/tjtes.2014.22725.

  • Nirula R, Maier R, Moore E, Sperry J, Gentilello L. Scoop and run to the trauma center or stay and play at the local hospital: hospital transfer's effect on mortality. J Trauma. 2010 Sep;69(3):595-9; discussion 599-601. doi: 10.1097/TA.0b013e3181ee6e32.

  • Shoko T, Shiraishi A, Kaji M, Otomo Y. Effect of pre-existing medical conditions on in-hospital mortality: analysis of 20,257 trauma patients in Japan. J Am Coll Surg. 2010 Sep;211(3):338-46. doi: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2010.04.010. Epub 2010 Jul 13.

  • Rehn M, Perel P, Blackhall K, Lossius HM. Prognostic models for the early care of trauma patients: a systematic review. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med. 2011 Mar 20;19:17. doi: 10.1186/1757-7241-19-17.

  • MacKenzie EJ, Rivara FP, Jurkovich GJ, Nathens AB, Frey KP, Egleston BL, Salkever DS, Scharfstein DO. A national evaluation of the effect of trauma-center care on mortality. N Engl J Med. 2006 Jan 26;354(4):366-78. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa052049.

  • GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet. 2017 Sep 16;390(10100):1151-1210. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32152-9.

  • GBD 2013 Mortality and Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 240 causes of death, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet. 2015 Jan 10;385(9963):117-71. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61682-2. Epub 2014 Dec 18.

  • Gerdin M, Roy N, Khajanchi M, Kumar V, Fellander-Tsai L, Petzold M, Tomson G, von Schreeb J; Towards Improved Trauma Care Outcomes in India (TITCO). Validation of a novel prediction model for early mortality in adult trauma patients in three public university hospitals in urban India. BMC Emerg Med. 2016 Feb 22;16:15. doi: 10.1186/s12873-016-0079-0.

  • Haagsma JA, Graetz N, Bolliger I, Naghavi M, Higashi H, Mullany EC, Abera SF, Abraham JP, Adofo K, Alsharif U, Ameh EA, Ammar W, Antonio CA, Barrero LH, Bekele T, Bose D, Brazinova A, Catala-Lopez F, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dargan PI, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Derrett S, Dharmaratne SD, Driscoll TR, Duan L, Petrovich Ermakov S, Farzadfar F, Feigin VL, Franklin RC, Gabbe B, Gosselin RA, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hamadeh RR, Hijar M, Hu G, Jayaraman SP, Jiang G, Khader YS, Khan EA, Krishnaswami S, Kulkarni C, Lecky FE, Leung R, Lunevicius R, Lyons RA, Majdan M, Mason-Jones AJ, Matzopoulos R, Meaney PA, Mekonnen W, Miller TR, Mock CN, Norman RE, Orozco R, Polinder S, Pourmalek F, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Refaat A, Rojas-Rueda D, Roy N, Schwebel DC, Shaheen A, Shahraz S, Skirbekk V, Soreide K, Soshnikov S, Stein DJ, Sykes BL, Tabb KM, Temesgen AM, Tenkorang EY, Theadom AM, Tran BX, Vasankari TJ, Vavilala MS, Vlassov VV, Woldeyohannes SM, Yip P, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yu C, Murray CJ, Vos T. The global burden of injury: incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years and time trends from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013. Inj Prev. 2016 Feb;22(1):3-18. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2015-041616. Epub 2015 Dec 3.

  • Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, Lim S, Shibuya K, Aboyans V, Abraham J, Adair T, Aggarwal R, Ahn SY, Alvarado M, Anderson HR, Anderson LM, Andrews KG, Atkinson C, Baddour LM, Barker-Collo S, Bartels DH, Bell ML, Benjamin EJ, Bennett D, Bhalla K, Bikbov B, Bin Abdulhak A, Birbeck G, Blyth F, Bolliger I, Boufous S, Bucello C, Burch M, Burney P, Carapetis J, Chen H, Chou D, Chugh SS, Coffeng LE, Colan SD, Colquhoun S, Colson KE, Condon J, Connor MD, Cooper LT, Corriere M, Cortinovis M, de Vaccaro KC, Couser W, Cowie BC, Criqui MH, Cross M, Dabhadkar KC, Dahodwala N, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Delossantos A, Denenberg J, Des Jarlais DC, Dharmaratne SD, Dorsey ER, Driscoll T, Duber H, Ebel B, Erwin PJ, Espindola P, Ezzati M, Feigin V, Flaxman AD, Forouzanfar MH, Fowkes FG, Franklin R, Fransen M, Freeman MK, Gabriel SE, Gakidou E, Gaspari F, Gillum RF, Gonzalez-Medina D, Halasa YA, Haring D, Harrison JE, Havmoeller R, Hay RJ, Hoen B, Hotez PJ, Hoy D, Jacobsen KH, James SL, Jasrasaria R, Jayaraman S, Johns N, Karthikeyan G, Kassebaum N, Keren A, Khoo JP, Knowlton LM, Kobusingye O, Koranteng A, Krishnamurthi R, Lipnick M, Lipshultz SE, Ohno SL, Mabweijano J, MacIntyre MF, Mallinger L, March L, Marks GB, Marks R, Matsumori A, Matzopoulos R, Mayosi BM, McAnulty JH, McDermott MM, McGrath J, Mensah GA, Merriman TR, Michaud C, Miller M, Miller TR, Mock C, Mocumbi AO, Mokdad AA, Moran A, Mulholland K, Nair MN, Naldi L, Narayan KM, Nasseri K, Norman P, O'Donnell M, Omer SB, Ortblad K, Osborne R, Ozgediz D, Pahari B, Pandian JD, Rivero AP, Padilla RP, Perez-Ruiz F, Perico N, Phillips D, Pierce K, Pope CA 3rd, Porrini E, Pourmalek F, Raju M, Ranganathan D, Rehm JT, Rein DB, Remuzzi G, Rivara FP, Roberts T, De Leon FR, Rosenfeld LC, Rushton L, Sacco RL, Salomon JA, Sampson U, Sanman E, Schwebel DC, Segui-Gomez M, Shepard DS, Singh D, Singleton J, Sliwa K, Smith E, Steer A, Taylor JA, Thomas B, Tleyjeh IM, Towbin JA, Truelsen T, Undurraga EA, Venketasubramanian N, Vijayakumar L, Vos T, Wagner GR, Wang M, Wang W, Watt K, Weinstock MA, Weintraub R, Wilkinson JD, Woolf AD, Wulf S, Yeh PH, Yip P, Zabetian A, Zheng ZJ, Lopez AD, Murray CJ, AlMazroa MA, Memish ZA. Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet. 2012 Dec 15;380(9859):2095-128. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61728-0.

  • WHO. World report on Preventing injuries and violence: an overview. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2022.

    RESULT
  • Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet. 2015 Aug 22;386(9995):743-800. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60692-4. Epub 2015 Jun 7.

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Wounds and Injuries

Study Officials

  • Mohammad A. Hamdawi, Lecturer of general surgery

    College Of Medicine - Nahrain University

    STUDY DIRECTOR

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Principal Investigator

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

December 10, 2024

First Posted

December 13, 2024

Study Start

January 20, 2025

Primary Completion (Estimated)

March 10, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

March 20, 2027

Last Updated

March 4, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-03

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

Locations