NCT05940415

Brief Summary

The goal of this observational study is to evaluate the role of the USTC diagnostic model in risk-adaptive strategies for biopsy decision-making in patients with low-risk suspected prostate cancer in order to reduce unnecessary biopsy. Based on the USTC diagnostic model (website: https://ustcprostatecancerprediction.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/) and serum PSA levels, patients with low-risk suspected prostate cancer are enrolled and received active surveillance rather than biopsy. The main questions to be answered is: • The safety and feasibility of conducting biopsy-free active monitoring in patients with low-risk suspected prostate cancer accessed by the USTC diagnostic model and serum PSA levels. Participants will be required to undergo serum PSA testing every 3 months, mpMRI testing every 6 months, and reassessment of the probability of developing prostate cancer using the USTC model every 3 months. Patients who do not meet the inclusion criteria and are at increased risk will no longer receive active surveillance and will be advised to undergo biopsy. Dynamic changes in PI-RADS score and biopsy results will also be recorded.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
220

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
2mo left

Started Oct 2023

Typical duration for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress95%
Oct 2023Jun 2026

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

June 28, 2023

Completed
13 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

July 11, 2023

Completed
3 months until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

October 8, 2023

Completed
2.5 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

March 31, 2026

Completed
3 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

June 30, 2026

Expected
Last Updated

January 31, 2024

Status Verified

January 1, 2024

Enrollment Period

2.5 years

First QC Date

June 28, 2023

Last Update Submit

January 29, 2024

Conditions

Keywords

prostate cancerprostate biospympMRIprostate specific antigen densitydiagnostic modelactive surveillance

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • prostate cancer diagnostic free survival time

    survival analysis by K-M curves and log-rank tests

    through study completion, an average of 2 year

Secondary Outcomes (2)

  • dynamic change of serum total PSA

    every 3 months up to 2 years

  • dynamic change of PI-RADS score

    every 6 months up to 2 years

Study Arms (1)

Patients with low-risk of prostate cancer based on USTC diagnostic model and serum PSA levels.

Patients with PSA between 4 to 10 ng/ml and USTC model predicted probability of cancer less than 0.05 (https://ustcprostatecancerprediction.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/).

Behavioral: active surveillance

Interventions

active surveillance without prostate biopsy

Patients with low-risk of prostate cancer based on USTC diagnostic model and serum PSA levels.

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexmale
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

We select patients with low-risk suspected prostate cancer evaluated by USTC diagnostic model and serum PSA level. After meeting the inclusion criteria, follow-up surveys will be conducted.

You may qualify if:

  • Patients with clinically suspected PCa have indications for prostate biopsy;
  • Complete serum PSA testing and mpMRI examination in the outpatient department;
  • ng/ml ≤ serum total PSA ≤10 ng/ml;
  • The probability of prostate cancer calculated by USTC diagnostic models is less than 0.05;
  • There is no family history of prostate cancer and no history of other malignant tumors.

You may not qualify if:

  • The patient has previous history of prostate biopsy;
  • Lack of complete clinical information, such as failure to perform mpMRI;
  • Patients with serum total PSA \< 4ng/ml or \> 10ng/ml.
  • According to USTC diagnostic model, the probability of prostate cancer is equal or more than 0.05.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC

Hefei, Anhui, 230001, China

RECRUITING

Related Publications (11)

  • Xia C, Dong X, Li H, Cao M, Sun D, He S, Yang F, Yan X, Zhang S, Li N, Chen W. Cancer statistics in China and United States, 2022: profiles, trends, and determinants. Chin Med J (Engl). 2022 Feb 9;135(5):584-590. doi: 10.1097/CM9.0000000000002108.

    PMID: 35143424BACKGROUND
  • Ilic D, Djulbegovic M, Jung JH, Hwang EC, Zhou Q, Cleves A, Agoritsas T, Dahm P. Prostate cancer screening with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ. 2018 Sep 5;362:k3519. doi: 10.1136/bmj.k3519.

    PMID: 30185521BACKGROUND
  • Mottet N, van den Bergh RCN, Briers E, Van den Broeck T, Cumberbatch MG, De Santis M, Fanti S, Fossati N, Gandaglia G, Gillessen S, Grivas N, Grummet J, Henry AM, van der Kwast TH, Lam TB, Lardas M, Liew M, Mason MD, Moris L, Oprea-Lager DE, van der Poel HG, Rouviere O, Schoots IG, Tilki D, Wiegel T, Willemse PM, Cornford P. EAU-EANM-ESTRO-ESUR-SIOG Guidelines on Prostate Cancer-2020 Update. Part 1: Screening, Diagnosis, and Local Treatment with Curative Intent. Eur Urol. 2021 Feb;79(2):243-262. doi: 10.1016/j.eururo.2020.09.042. Epub 2020 Nov 7.

    PMID: 33172724BACKGROUND
  • Duffy MJ. Biomarkers for prostate cancer: prostate-specific antigen and beyond. Clin Chem Lab Med. 2020 Feb 25;58(3):326-339. doi: 10.1515/cclm-2019-0693.

    PMID: 31714881BACKGROUND
  • Mazzone E, Stabile A, Pellegrino F, Basile G, Cignoli D, Cirulli GO, Sorce G, Barletta F, Scuderi S, Bravi CA, Cucchiara V, Fossati N, Gandaglia G, Montorsi F, Briganti A. Positive Predictive Value of Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System Version 2 for the Detection of Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Eur Urol Oncol. 2021 Oct;4(5):697-713. doi: 10.1016/j.euo.2020.12.004. Epub 2020 Dec 25.

    PMID: 33358543BACKGROUND
  • Sathianathen NJ, Omer A, Harriss E, Davies L, Kasivisvanathan V, Punwani S, Moore CM, Kastner C, Barrett T, Van Den Bergh RC, Eddy BA, Gleeson F, Macpherson R, Bryant RJ, Catto JWF, Murphy DG, Hamdy FC, Ahmed HU, Lamb AD. Negative Predictive Value of Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging in the Detection of Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer in the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System Era: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Eur Urol. 2020 Sep;78(3):402-414. doi: 10.1016/j.eururo.2020.03.048. Epub 2020 May 20.

    PMID: 32444265BACKGROUND
  • Berry B, Parry MG, Sujenthiran A, Nossiter J, Cowling TE, Aggarwal A, Cathcart P, Payne H, van der Meulen J, Clarke N. Comparison of complications after transrectal and transperineal prostate biopsy: a national population-based study. BJU Int. 2020 Jul;126(1):97-103. doi: 10.1111/bju.15039. Epub 2020 Apr 6.

    PMID: 32124525BACKGROUND
  • Hubner N, Shariat S, Remzi M. Prostate biopsy: guidelines and evidence. Curr Opin Urol. 2018 Jul;28(4):354-359. doi: 10.1097/MOU.0000000000000510.

    PMID: 29847523BACKGROUND
  • Tao T, Wang C, Liu W, Yuan L, Ge Q, Zhang L, He B, Wang L, Wang L, Xiang C, Wang H, Chen S, Xiao J. Construction and Validation of a Clinical Predictive Nomogram for Improving the Cancer Detection of Prostate Naive Biopsy Based on Chinese Multicenter Clinical Data. Front Oncol. 2022 Jan 21;11:811866. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2021.811866. eCollection 2021.

    PMID: 35127526BACKGROUND
  • Rebello RJ, Oing C, Knudsen KE, Loeb S, Johnson DC, Reiter RE, Gillessen S, Van der Kwast T, Bristow RG. Prostate cancer. Nat Rev Dis Primers. 2021 Feb 4;7(1):9. doi: 10.1038/s41572-020-00243-0.

  • Naji L, Randhawa H, Sohani Z, Dennis B, Lautenbach D, Kavanagh O, Bawor M, Banfield L, Profetto J. Digital Rectal Examination for Prostate Cancer Screening in Primary Care: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Ann Fam Med. 2018 Mar;16(2):149-154. doi: 10.1370/afm.2205.

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Prostatic Neoplasms

Interventions

Watchful Waiting

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Genital Neoplasms, MaleUrogenital NeoplasmsNeoplasms by SiteNeoplasmsGenital Diseases, MaleGenital DiseasesUrogenital DiseasesProstatic DiseasesMale Urogenital Diseases

Intervention Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Outcome Assessment, Health CareOutcome and Process Assessment, Health CareQuality of Health CareHealth Services Administration

Study Officials

  • Tao Tao

    The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC

    STUDY CHAIR

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER GOV
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Associate professor, Associate chief physician

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

June 28, 2023

First Posted

July 11, 2023

Study Start

October 8, 2023

Primary Completion

March 31, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

June 30, 2026

Last Updated

January 31, 2024

Record last verified: 2024-01

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

Locations