NCT05141916

Brief Summary

Choledocholithiasis (stone(s) in the common bile duct) is common. Untreated or missed, choledocholithiasis has high morbidity and mortality. Endoscopic retrograde cholangio-pancreatography (ERCP) is recognized as the first-line modality for management. While effective, ERCP is associated with adverse events. Thus, the selection of patients for ERCP should be accompanied by a high pre-test suspicion of choledocholithiasis. Choledocholithiasis is suspected based on clinical, biochemical and radiographic findings. The most relied-upon strategy for risk stratification of choledocholithiasis is based on guidelines from The American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE). In it, clinical predictors are defined as "very strong", "strong" or "moderate", and the presence of one or more of these is meant to suggest "high" or "intermediate" probability of choledocholithiasis. A knowledge gap exists in the performance characteristics of intermediate-probability criteria, where overall accuracy is \<50% from limited data. Patients in this group are recommended to a) undergo endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) or magnetic resonance cholangio-pancreatography (MRCP), b) undergo cholecystectomy with intra-operative cholangiography (IOC), or c) proceed directly to ERCP. At centres where EUS and MRCP are readily available, these are preferred options, as they are least invasive and sensitive; however, they are often unavailable. Thus, in clinical practice, a high proportion of intermediate-risk patients ultimately proceed directly to ERCP, where likelihood of benefit is only moderate, while procedural risk remains. The role of liver enzyme changes has not been evaluated; however, dynamic changes may offer another method for evaluating patients at intermediate risk of CBD stones that is safe and available. Incorporation of dynamic liver enzymes may improve the test-performance characteristics of the existing framework.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
2,000

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
38mo left

Started Feb 2019

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress70%
Feb 2019Jun 2029

Study Start

First participant enrolled

February 25, 2019

Completed
2.7 years until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

November 19, 2021

Completed
13 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

December 2, 2021

Completed
7.1 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 31, 2028

Expected
6 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

June 30, 2029

Last Updated

April 29, 2026

Status Verified

April 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

9.9 years

First QC Date

November 19, 2021

Last Update Submit

April 28, 2026

Conditions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Positive or negative diagnosis of choledocholithiasis

    Retrospective analysis will be employed to determine the individual and joint test performance characteristics of the parameters in the ASGE guideline, and to determine the (lone and additional) test characteristics of dynamic enzyme changes, in predicting the primary outcome measure. The agreed-upon model will then be validated prospectively.

    immediate

Interventions

Endoscopic procedure employed to manage biliary and pancreatic diseases

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

Adult patients undergoing ERCP for suspected choledocholithiasis

You may qualify if:

  • Patients with suspected choledocholithiasis, regardless of probability
  • age 18 years old or older
  • able to give informed consent to involvement (in the prospective validation phase).

You may not qualify if:

  • Unable or unwilling to provide informed consent;
  • age \< 18 years;
  • suspected or proven cholangitis;
  • previous ERCP with sphincterotomy;
  • prior diagnosis or management of choledocholithiasis;
  • outpatient status;
  • out-of-province status (prohibiting full medical record access).

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

University of Calgary

Calgary, Alberta, T2N 4Z6, Canada

RECRUITING

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Gallbladder DiseasesCholedocholithiasis

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Biliary Tract DiseasesDigestive System DiseasesCommon Bile Duct DiseasesBile Duct DiseasesCholelithiasis

Study Officials

  • Nauzer Forbes, MD, MSc

    University of Calgary

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Central Study Contacts

Nauzer Forbes, MD, MSc

CONTACT

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
OTHER
Time Perspective
OTHER
Target Duration
6 Months
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

November 19, 2021

First Posted

December 2, 2021

Study Start

February 25, 2019

Primary Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2028

Study Completion (Estimated)

June 30, 2029

Last Updated

April 29, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-04

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share

Patient-specific data will be in a de-identified encrypted secure format whenever shared.

Shared Documents
STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP, ICF, CSR
Time Frame
For 5 years after data collection is complete.
Access Criteria
Deidentified aggregate level data can be shared upon reasonable request.

Locations