Prediction of Liver-related Outcomes After HCV Cure
Development of a Predictive Model of Liver Complications Emergence in Patients With Advanced Fibrosis Who Achieve Sustained Virological Response With Direct-acting Antivirals-based Therapy
1 other identifier
observational
1,035
1 country
1
Brief Summary
Objectives: To develop and validate a predictive model, applicable to daily practice, of liver complications emergence in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients and advanced fibrosis, who have achieved sustained viral response (SVR) with direct-acting antivirals (DAA)-based therapy. Methods: Design: Mulsite prospective multicenter cohort study. Study subjects: HCV-monoinfected and HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals recruited from two parallel cohorts (GEHEP-MONO Cohort clinicaltrials.gov ID: NCT02333292(HEPAVIR-DAA Cohort clinicaltrials.gov ID: NCT02057003). These cohorts enrolled patients with HCV infection, treated with DAA-based regimens after October 2011, at the units of infectious diseases of 18 hospitals throughout Spain. Patients who fullfilled the following inclusion criteria are included in this study: 1) Have received a regimen with one or more DAA; 2) Have achieved SVR 12 weeks after treatment; 3) Have an evaluable liver stiffness (LS) of more than 9.5 kPa in the three months prior to the start of treatment. Follow-up: The baseline time point is the date of SVR. All participants are evaluated by a common protocol every six months. At every visit, clinical and laboratory examination focusing on the early detection of liver complications are carried out. LS is assessed by vibration-controlled transient elastography, according to a standardized procedure, every 12 months. In patients with cirrhosis, liver ultrasound and plasma alpha-fetoprotein determination are conducted for hepatocellular carcinoma screening, every six months. Variables and data analysis: The primary outcome variable of the study will be the emergence of liver complication (hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma) or liver transplant. Predictive models will be develop with clinical, analytical, and genetic variables independently associated with the primary variable in a Cox regression for competitive risks applied to a developmental subpopulation. The performance of the model will be evaluated using COR curves. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values will be calculated, both in the developmental population and in a validation population.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Oct 2011
Longer than P75 for all trials
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
Study Start
First participant enrolled
October 1, 2011
CompletedFirst Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
July 2, 2020
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
July 7, 2020
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
May 31, 2021
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
December 31, 2021
CompletedJuly 7, 2020
July 1, 2020
9.7 years
July 2, 2020
July 2, 2020
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Liver complications emergence
Appearance of hepatocellular carcinoma, portal hypertensive gastrointestinal bleeding, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatorrenal syndrome and acute on chronic liver failure after SVR
From the inclusion until death, liver transplant, HCV reinfection or the censoring date (final study date)
Eligibility Criteria
HIV/HCV-coinfected and HCV-monoinfected individuals from two parallel cohorts (HEPAVIR-DAA Cohort clinicaltrials.gov ID: NCT02057003; GEHEP-MONO Cohort clinicaltrials.gov ID: NCT02333292). These cohorts enrolled patients with HCV infection, treated with DAA-based regimens after October 2011, at the units of infectious diseases of 18 hospitals throughout Spain. Subjects were included if they fulfilled the inclusion criteria.
You may qualify if:
- Had achieved SVR 12 weeks after DAA-based regimen, either with or without Peg-interferon
- Showed liver stiffness (LS) value ≥9.5 kPa prior to treatment
- Had LS measurement available at SVR time-point
You may not qualify if:
- Individuals seropositive for HBsAg
- Individuals who refuse to participate
- Individuals under 18 years old
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- Hospital Universitario de Valmelead
- Instituto de Salud Carlos IIIcollaborator
Study Sites (1)
Hospital Universitario de Valme
Seville, 41014, Spain
Related Publications (2)
Gonzalez-Serna A, Corma-Gomez A, Cano M, Rubio-Sanchez R, Martin-Sierra C, Rincon P, Martin-Carmona J, Perez M, Pineda JA, Real LM, Macias J. Influence of Cellular Aging on Liver Stiffness in Patients With Hepatitis C Virus Achieving Sustained Viral Response. J Infect Dis. 2025 Jun 2;231(5):e846-e852. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaf087.
PMID: 39970137DERIVEDMartin-Carmona J, Corma-Gomez A, Tellez F, Arenga-Barrios D, Serrano-Fuentes M, Morano L, Corona-Mata D, Navarrete Lorite MN, Vera-Mendez FJ, Alados JC, Palacios R, de Los Santos I, Geijo P, Imaz A, Merino D, Reus-Banuls SJ, Galindo MJ, Lopez-Ruz MA, Galera C, Pineda JA, Macias J. No Impact of HIV Coinfection on Mortality in Patients With Hepatitis C Virus Infection After Sustained Virological Response. Clin Infect Dis. 2025 Apr 30;80(4):835-841. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciae473.
PMID: 39293030DERIVED
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Central Study Contacts
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Target Duration
- 10 Years
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
- PI Title
- Medical Doctor
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
July 2, 2020
First Posted
July 7, 2020
Study Start
October 1, 2011
Primary Completion
May 31, 2021
Study Completion
December 31, 2021
Last Updated
July 7, 2020
Record last verified: 2020-07