PRediction of Outcome With ED Intervention for Colles Type Wrist Fractures [PREDICT]
PREDICT
Prediction of Failure of Emergency Department Closed Manipulation of Colles' Distal Radial Fractures
1 other identifier
observational
279
1 country
1
Brief Summary
The Colles fracture, a fracture of the wrist, is frequently associated with deformity of the broken part of the bone, particularly in older or frail patients. This can cause long term wrist deformity and problems using the wrist and hand if not corrected. Manipulation under anaesthesia (MUA) is often undertaken in the emergency department (ED) for 'displaced' fractures in an attempt to correct the deformity. The procedure involves a local anaesthetic technique, additional staff, and takes some time to complete. The procedure is not without risk; it can cause bruising, skin tears, complications from the local anaesthetic and can be uncomfortable. Although fracture positions are usually improved by ED manipulation initially; these fractures can slip back to an unacceptable position over the next 1-2 weeks, despite plaster cast immobilisation. For fractures that slip, open surgery is usually required to correct and hold the fracture with metal plates or wires. This is performed in the operating theatre and requires another visit to the hospital. Preliminary work suggests this affects over a quarter of patients, undergoing ED MUA for Colles' wrist fractures. If it were possible to reliably identify patients whose fractures were likely to slip and require open surgery despite ED manipulation, unnecessary procedures and visits to hospital could be avoided. This would ensure patients got the right treatment first time and save patients and the NHS time and money. There are a number of factors that might affect the likelihood of fracture instability and need for surgery. These include patient factors such as age, functional status and presence of osteoporosis (thin weak bones) and the specific position of the fracture. In this study we will be measuring the fracture positions on x-rays of patients with a Colles' fracture to see if we can accurately predict ED MUA failure on the initial x-ray.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Nov 2017
Shorter than P25 for all trials
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
Study Start
First participant enrolled
November 1, 2017
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
February 1, 2018
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
May 1, 2018
CompletedFirst Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
February 28, 2019
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
March 1, 2019
CompletedMarch 1, 2019
February 1, 2019
3 months
February 28, 2019
February 28, 2019
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Subsequent surgery
Subsequent open surgery performed due to unsatisfactory fracture position following ED fracture manipulation
6 weeks
Secondary Outcomes (1)
Unsatisfactory position and recommended surgery
6 weeks
Interventions
Multivariate analysis of the fracture x-ray features measured by computer, together with the database demographic and outcome data will be used to develop the best model /decision rule to predict likelihood of MUA success
Eligibility Criteria
Cases identified from a previously conducted clinical activity analysis of patients who had undergone MUA for Colles' fracture over a two year period at Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital ED. These cases were retrospectively identified (from electronic attendance logs) and followed up until fracture healing or surgery. In this database, the need for subsequent surgery was recorded from electronic records and review of comments in fracture clinic. X-rays of these patients have been identified and anonymised by a member of staff, who is not a member of the research team. These X-rays and the database cases have been given a unique trial number and all identifiable data removed before trial use.
You may qualify if:
- All Adult patients who have under gone a planned ED MUA for a distal radial fracture over a two year period (anonymous data from a previously conducted service evaluation)
You may not qualify if:
- Smiths' (volarly displaced) fractures
- Those for whom there is no follow up data in the database eg. Patients who were followed up elsewhere.
- Open (compound) fractures (need open surgery to wash out and treat)
- Fractures requiring emergency manipulation due to threatened skin or neurovascular compromise.
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- Royal Devon and Exeter NHS Foundation Trustlead
- University of Exetercollaborator
- City, University of Londoncollaborator
Study Sites (1)
Emergency Department
Exeter, Devon, EX2 5DW, United Kingdom
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Andrew Appelboam
Royal Devon and Exeter NHS Foundation Trust
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- RETROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
February 28, 2019
First Posted
March 1, 2019
Study Start
November 1, 2017
Primary Completion
February 1, 2018
Study Completion
May 1, 2018
Last Updated
March 1, 2019
Record last verified: 2019-02
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share