NCT01082991

Brief Summary

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of medical personnel in their ability to predict the likelihood of non-intensive care (ICU), ward patients to clinically deteriorate (defined as a cardiac arrest, unplanned ICU transfer, or unexpected death)via the use of a clinical judgement-based tool designed for this study, Patient Acuity Rating (PAR), to predict short-term clinical deterioration. We will compare the ability of this tool to predict clinical deterioration compared to accepted physiology-based tools and tools combining judgment and physiology as well as other markers of deterioration such as physician order changes. We will compare the sensitivity, specificity and area under the curve of these combined models to the predictive models including only physiology or clinical judgment. We will assess the correlation between specific physician orders and patient deterioration to determine whether specific clinical activities, such as emergently obtained radiology exams, predict impending deterioration. We hypothesize that PAR will be a useful tool for predicting clinical deterioration across the institution and that it will have a higher average accuracy for predicting clinical deterioration in non-ICU inpatients within 24 hours than the physiology-based tools alone. We further hypothesize that a combined metric which includes both the PAR and the individual physiologic components that comprise physiologic tools will not significantly improve prediction over the PAR alone. We further propose to use PAR to prospectively risk stratify patients for preemptive evaluation by the Rapid Response Team. We hypothesize that intervening on high risk patients by preemptively activating the hospital's Rapid Response Team (to assess and treat patients as needed) will decrease cardiac arrest rates and mortality.

Trial Health

30
At Risk

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Trial has exceeded expected completion date
Timeline
Completed

Started Oct 2009

Longer than P75 for early_phase_1

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
withdrawn

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Start

First participant enrolled

October 1, 2009

Completed
5 months until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

March 5, 2010

Completed
4 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

March 9, 2010

Completed
3.7 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 1, 2013

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 1, 2013

Completed
Last Updated

April 7, 2016

Status Verified

April 1, 2016

Enrollment Period

4.2 years

First QC Date

March 5, 2010

Last Update Submit

April 6, 2016

Conditions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Mortality and cardiac arrest rates

    Non-ICU ward inpatients will be randomized on admission to an RRT surveillance group or standard of care. Daily risk prediction scores will be collected for all non-ICU inpatients. Those with high scores, who have been randomized to the surveillance arm, will be included on a list of patients, updated daily, that the Rapid Response Team will receive, with instructions to evaluate and intervene, if required, without waiting for formal activation by the usual channels. Outcomes for these patients will be compared to those with comparable risk scores who were randomized to the control group.

    15 months

Secondary Outcomes (3)

  • Length of stay

    15 months

  • Cost

    15 months

  • Time to ICU transfer

    15 months

Study Arms (1)

prevention

OTHER
Other: Preemptive Rapid Response Team intervention

Interventions

Non-ICU inpatients will be randomized on admission to an RRT surveillance group or standard of care. Daily risk prediction scores will be collected for all non-ICU inpatients. Those with high scores, who have been randomized to the surveillance arm, will be included on a list of patients, updated daily, that the Rapid Response Team will receive, with instructions to evaluate and intervene, if required, without waiting for formal activation by the usual channels.

prevention

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)

You may qualify if:

  • Non-ICU ward inpatients
  • PAR of 5 or above
  • Ages 18+ years

You may not qualify if:

  • ICU or outpatients
  • PAR of 4 or lower
  • Ages 17 years and under

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

University of Chicago

Chicago, Illinois, 60637, United States

Location

Related Publications (1)

  • Phillips AW, Yuen TC, Retzer E, Woodruff J, Arora V, Edelson DP. Supplementing cross-cover communication with the patient acuity rating. J Gen Intern Med. 2013 Mar;28(3):406-11. doi: 10.1007/s11606-012-2257-4. Epub 2012 Nov 6.

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Heart Arrest

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Heart DiseasesCardiovascular Diseases

Study Officials

  • Dana P Edelson, MD, MS

    University of Chicago

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
0

Study Design

Study Type
interventional
Phase
early phase 1
Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Masking
NONE
Purpose
PREVENTION
Intervention Model
SINGLE GROUP
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

March 5, 2010

First Posted

March 9, 2010

Study Start

October 1, 2009

Primary Completion

December 1, 2013

Study Completion

December 1, 2013

Last Updated

April 7, 2016

Record last verified: 2016-04

Locations