Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula Following Pancreaticoduodenectomy
Development and Internal Validation of a Preoperative Risk Model for Clinically Relevant Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula Following Pancreaticoduodenectomy
1 other identifier
observational
200
0 countries
N/A
Brief Summary
Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) especially clinically relevant POPF (CR-POPF; Grades B and C) is one of the critical and challenging post pancreaticoduodenectomy complications. Despite advances in surgical techniques, perioperative care, and centralization of pancreatic surgery Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) remains an important cause for postoperative morbidity and
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Sep 2026
Typical duration for all trials
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Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
September 16, 2026
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
September 30, 2026
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
October 2, 2026
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
September 30, 2028
ExpectedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
December 30, 2028
October 2, 2026
September 1, 2026
2 years
September 16, 2026
September 27, 2026
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (2)
Incidence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula
Proportion of patients developing clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (Grade B or C) following pancreaticoduodenectomy, according to the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) definition.
Within 90 days after surgery
Discrimination of the preoperative prediction model
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the preoperative prediction model in predicting clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula.
Within 90 days after surgery
Study Arms (1)
preoperative risk model for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula
Interventions
preoperative risk model for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula by incorporation of preoperative PNI and pancreatic texture assessment by elastography with previously emerged scores in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy
Eligibility Criteria
Patients undergoing elective pancreaticoduodenctomy
You may qualify if:
- Adults (≥18 years).
- Elective pancreaticoduodenectomy.
- Benign or malignant periampullary and pancreatic lesions.
You may not qualify if:
- \- Total pancreatectomy.
- Distal pancreatectomy.
- Missing essential preoperative data.
- Death within 24 hours after surgery.
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Related Publications (10)
Bassi C, Marchegiani G, Dervenis C, Sarr M, Abu Hilal M, Adham M, Allen P, Andersson R, Asbun HJ, Besselink MG, Conlon K, Del Chiaro M, Falconi M, Fernandez-Cruz L, Fernandez-Del Castillo C, Fingerhut A, Friess H, Gouma DJ, Hackert T, Izbicki J, Lillemoe KD, Neoptolemos JP, Olah A, Schulick R, Shrikhande SV, Takada T, Takaori K, Traverso W, Vollmer CM, Wolfgang CL, Yeo CJ, Salvia R, Buchler M; International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS). The 2016 update of the International Study Group (ISGPS) definition and grading of postoperative pancreatic fistula: 11 Years After. Surgery. 2017 Mar;161(3):584-591. doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2016.11.014. Epub 2016 Dec 28.
PMID: 28040257BACKGROUNDMungroop TH, Klompmaker S, Wellner UF, Steyerberg EW, Coratti A, D'Hondt M, de Pastena M, Dokmak S, Khatkov I, Saint-Marc O, Wittel U, Abu Hilal M, Fuks D, Poves I, Keck T, Boggi U, Besselink MG; European Consortium on Minimally Invasive Pancreatic Surgery (E-MIPS). Updated Alternative Fistula Risk Score (ua-FRS) to Include Minimally Invasive Pancreatoduodenectomy: Pan-European Validation. Ann Surg. 2021 Feb 1;273(2):334-340. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000003234.
PMID: 30829699RESULTMungroop TH, van Rijssen LB, van Klaveren D, Smits FJ, van Woerden V, Linnemann RJ, de Pastena M, Klompmaker S, Marchegiani G, Ecker BL, van Dieren S, Bonsing B, Busch OR, van Dam RM, Erdmann J, van Eijck CH, Gerhards MF, van Goor H, van der Harst E, de Hingh IH, de Jong KP, Kazemier G, Luyer M, Shamali A, Barbaro S, Armstrong T, Takhar A, Hamady Z, Klaase J, Lips DJ, Molenaar IQ, Nieuwenhuijs VB, Rupert C, van Santvoort HC, Scheepers JJ, van der Schelling GP, Bassi C, Vollmer CM, Steyerberg EW, Abu Hilal M, Groot Koerkamp B, Besselink MG; Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group. Alternative Fistula Risk Score for Pancreatoduodenectomy (a-FRS): Design and International External Validation. Ann Surg. 2019 May;269(5):937-943. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000002620.
PMID: 29240007RESULTD'Onofrio M, Tremolada G, De Robertis R, Crosara S, Ciaravino V, Cardobi N, Marchegiani G, Pulvirenti A, Allegrini V, Salvia R, Bassi C, Pozzi Mucelli R. Prevent Pancreatic Fistula after Pancreatoduodenectomy: Possible Role of Ultrasound Elastography. Dig Surg. 2018;35(2):164-170. doi: 10.1159/000477475. Epub 2017 Jun 1.
PMID: 28564643RESULTCallery MP, Pratt WB, Kent TS, Chaikof EL, Vollmer CM Jr. A prospectively validated clinical risk score accurately predicts pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy. J Am Coll Surg. 2013 Jan;216(1):1-14. doi: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2012.09.002. Epub 2012 Nov 2.
PMID: 23122535RESULTMarchegiani G, Ballarin R, Malleo G, Andrianello S, Allegrini V, Pulvirenti A, Paini M, Secchettin E, Boriero F, Di Benedetto F, Bassi C, Salvia R. Quantitative Assessment of Pancreatic Texture Using a Durometer: A New Tool to Predict the Risk of Developing a Postoperative Fistula. World J Surg. 2017 Nov;41(11):2876-2883. doi: 10.1007/s00268-017-4073-9.
PMID: 28608016RESULTWellner UF, Kayser G, Lapshyn H, Sick O, Makowiec F, Hoppner J, Hopt UT, Keck T. A simple scoring system based on clinical factors related to pancreatic texture predicts postoperative pancreatic fistula preoperatively. HPB (Oxford). 2010 Dec;12(10):696-702. doi: 10.1111/j.1477-2574.2010.00239.x.
PMID: 21083795RESULTZhong YQ, Zhu XX, Huang XT, Luo YJ, Huang CS, Xu QC, Yin XY. Prediction of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy based on multifrequency magnetic resonance elastography. J Gastrointest Surg. 2025 Feb;29(2):101886. doi: 10.1016/j.gassur.2024.101886. Epub 2024 Nov 13.
PMID: 39547592RESULTSato N, Tamura T, Minagawa N, Hirata K. Preoperative body mass index-to-prognostic nutritional index ratio predicts pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Hepatobiliary Surg Nutr. 2016 Jun;5(3):256-62. doi: 10.21037/hbsn.2015.12.08.
PMID: 27275468RESULTOnodera T, Goseki N, Kosaki G. [Prognostic nutritional index in gastrointestinal surgery of malnourished cancer patients]. Nihon Geka Gakkai Zasshi. 1984 Sep;85(9):1001-5. Japanese.
PMID: 6438478RESULT
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Interventions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Intervention Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Central Study Contacts
Hisham Ali Riad Shaban Ali Riad Hisham Ali Riad Shaban, Professor of General Surgery
CONTACT
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Target Duration
- 200 Months
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
- PI Title
- Assistant Lecturer
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
September 16, 2026
First Posted
October 2, 2026
Study Start
September 30, 2026
Primary Completion (Estimated)
September 30, 2028
Study Completion (Estimated)
December 30, 2028
Last Updated
October 2, 2026
Record last verified: 2026-09
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will share
- Shared Documents
- STUDY PROTOCOL