Risk of Cervical Cancer Following Incident, Persistent and History-unknown HPV Detection
1 other identifier
observational
130,000
1 country
1
Brief Summary
The goal of this register-based retrospective observational study is to understand the risk of cervical cancer following incident, persistent and history-unknown HPV detection by HPV genotype in healthy women participating in HPV-based cervical screening. The main questions it aims to answer are:
- 1.Whether an incident HPV detection with certain HPV genotypes has low risk of cervical cancer in 3 to 5 years thus does not need further clinical assessment before the next screening test?
- 2.How risky a persistent HPV detection is, and whether persistent detection of any high-risk HPV genotype warrant immediate clinical assessment?
- 3.How risky a HPV detection is, if no previous HPV test result is available?
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Oct 2025
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
Study Start
First participant enrolled
October 31, 2025
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
November 3, 2025
CompletedFirst Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
September 24, 2026
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
September 30, 2026
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
December 1, 2026
ExpectedSeptember 30, 2026
September 1, 2026
3 days
September 24, 2026
September 24, 2026
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Diagnosis of invasive cervical cancer
Primary and invasive cervical cancer
From HPV infection to the end of the study Dec 31st, 2024
Secondary Outcomes (1)
Precancerous lesion CIN2+ (Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia grade 2 and above)
From HPV infection to the end of the study Dec 31st, 2024
Study Arms (3)
Incident HPV detection
The first HPV positive result in the primary HPV test, following an HPV negative test result in the previous primary HPV test
Persistent HPV detection
The HPV positive result in the primary HPV test following an HPV positive test result with the same genotype in the previous primary HPV test
History-unknown HPV detection
The first HPV positive result in the primary HPV test, without any primary HPV test record in the past
Interventions
All data will be retrieved retrospectively from registry data.
Eligibility Criteria
Women living in the Great Stockholm Region in Sweden, at cervical screening ages (age 22-70 years), and having had an HPV positive result in the primary HPV test during 2014-2023
You may qualify if:
- Women living in the Great Stockholm Region in Sweden, at cervical screening ages (age 22-70 years), and having had an HPV positive result in primary HPV test during 2014-2023
You may not qualify if:
- Women without valid personal identity number in the population registry
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (1)
Centre for Cervical Cancer Elimination, Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet
Stockholm, 141 52, Sweden
Related Publications (2)
Bjorge T, Stoer NC, Hverven SK, Nygard M, Trope A, Engesaeter B. Risk of high-grade cervical lesions in the second round of primary human papillomavirus testing in CervicalScreen Norway: A population-based cohort study. Int J Cancer. 2025 Jul 15;157(2):251-259. doi: 10.1002/ijc.35359. Epub 2025 Feb 8.
PMID: 39921417RESULTWei F, Georges D, Man I, Baussano I, Clifford GM. Causal attribution of human papillomavirus genotypes to invasive cervical cancer worldwide: a systematic analysis of the global literature. Lancet. 2024 Aug 3;404(10451):435-444. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01097-3.
PMID: 39097395RESULT
Related Links
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Central Study Contacts
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- RETROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
- PI Title
- PhD
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
September 24, 2026
First Posted
September 30, 2026
Study Start
October 31, 2025
Primary Completion
November 3, 2025
Study Completion (Estimated)
December 1, 2026
Last Updated
September 30, 2026
Record last verified: 2026-09
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will share
IPD will be derived from the Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry and the Swedish National Quality Register for Gynaecological Cancers. Data from these two registries can be shared upon application, provided that ethical approval is obtained.