NCT07793721

Brief Summary

The purpose of this study is to find out whether the way a breast cancer risk estimate is presented affects how women feel about their risk and whether they believe the estimate is accurate for them. Women aged 39-74 will complete an online survey in which they receive a personalized breast cancer risk estimate using the Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT). The study includes two experiments. In the first experiment, women are randomly assigned to receive their estimate in different formats: some will see their risk over 5 years, 10 years, or a lifetime, and some will see their risk expressed out of 100 women or out of 1,000 women. In the second experiment, women receive their estimate and then have the opportunity to read answers to frequently asked questions about how breast cancer risk is calculated and what the estimate means. In both experiments, women are asked whether they believe the estimate reflects their true risk. Both experiments are conducted online through a national survey panel.

Trial Health

63
Monitor

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
3,000

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for not_applicable breast-cancer

Timeline
7mo left

Started Sep 2026

Shorter than P25 for not_applicable breast-cancer

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
not yet recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

August 18, 2026

Completed
10 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

August 28, 2026

Completed
4 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

September 1, 2026

Expected
5 months until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

February 1, 2027

2 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

April 1, 2027

Last Updated

August 28, 2026

Status Verified

August 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

5 months

First QC Date

August 18, 2026

Last Update Submit

August 26, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

breast cancer riskrisk perceptionscreening intentions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (2)

  • Risk Skepticism

    Participants' perception of their Gail model risk estimate is trichotomized into three categories: Underestimator (believed risk is lower than estimate), Agreer (believed risk equals estimate), and Overestimator (believed risk is higher than estimate).

    Day 1

  • Risk Perception

    This measure includes two Likert scale questions assessing the perceived likelihood of developing cancer and the level of worry about getting cancer.

    Day 1

Study Arms (6)

5 Year Risk AND N-in-100 Presentation

EXPERIMENTAL
Behavioral: Risk Presentation FormatBehavioral: Frequently Asked Questions Exposure

10 Year Risk AND N-in-100 Presentation

EXPERIMENTAL
Behavioral: Risk Presentation FormatBehavioral: Frequently Asked Questions Exposure

Lifetime Risk AND N-in-100 Presentation

EXPERIMENTAL
Behavioral: Risk Presentation FormatBehavioral: Frequently Asked Questions Exposure

5 Year Risk AND N-in-1000 Presentation

EXPERIMENTAL
Behavioral: Risk Presentation FormatBehavioral: Frequently Asked Questions Exposure

10 Year Risk AND N-in-1000 Presentation

EXPERIMENTAL
Behavioral: Risk Presentation FormatBehavioral: Frequently Asked Questions Exposure

Lifetime Risk AND N-in-1000 Presentation

EXPERIMENTAL
Behavioral: Risk Presentation FormatBehavioral: Frequently Asked Questions Exposure

Interventions

Participants receive a personalized breast cancer risk estimate generated by the Gail Model. The format of the estimate varies by random assignment across two dimensions: temporal framing (5-year, 10-year, or lifetime risk) and denominator (risk expressed out of 100 women or out of 1,000 women). All other elements of the risk presentation are held constant across conditions.

10 Year Risk AND N-in-100 Presentation10 Year Risk AND N-in-1000 Presentation5 Year Risk AND N-in-100 Presentation5 Year Risk AND N-in-1000 PresentationLifetime Risk AND N-in-100 PresentationLifetime Risk AND N-in-1000 Presentation

Participants receive a personalized breast cancer risk estimate generated by the Gail Model and then view an interactive FAQ document. The FAQ document was developed from qualitative interviews with women who had previously rejected their risk estimates and addresses common questions about how breast cancer risk is calculated, what factors the model does and does not include, what different risk levels mean, and how to discuss results with a physician. FAQ items are displayed as expandable questions; participants click to reveal answers. All participants receive the same FAQ document.

10 Year Risk AND N-in-100 Presentation10 Year Risk AND N-in-1000 Presentation5 Year Risk AND N-in-100 Presentation5 Year Risk AND N-in-1000 PresentationLifetime Risk AND N-in-100 PresentationLifetime Risk AND N-in-1000 Presentation

Eligibility Criteria

Age39 Years - 74 Years
Sexfemale
Healthy VolunteersYes
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)

You may qualify if:

  • Female sex
  • Age 39-74 (i.e., people who are eligible for routine breast cancer screening and for whom guidelines recommend an informed, risk-based decision)
  • English literacy

You may not qualify if:

  • \. Prior diagnosis of
  • breast cancer
  • Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)
  • Lobular carcinoma in situ (LCIS)
  • Known BRCA1/2 gene mutation
  • Cowan syndrome
  • Li-Fraumeni syndrome
  • Having received previous chest radiation for treatment of Hodgkin's lymphoma.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus

Aurora, Colorado, 80045, United States

Location

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Breast Neoplasms

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Neoplasms by SiteNeoplasmsBreast DiseasesSkin DiseasesSkin and Connective Tissue Diseases

Study Officials

  • Laura D Scherer, PhD

    University of Colorado, Denver

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
interventional
Phase
not applicable
Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Masking
NONE
Purpose
HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH
Intervention Model
FACTORIAL
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

August 18, 2026

First Posted

August 28, 2026

Study Start (Estimated)

September 1, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

February 1, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

April 1, 2027

Last Updated

August 28, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-08

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share

The protocol, code books, and data set associated with this study will be shared on the Open Science Framework after ensuring that it is completely anonymized.

Shared Documents
STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP, ANALYTIC CODE
Time Frame
IPD and supporting information will be made available when the first manuscript is submitted to a journal for review.
Access Criteria
Anyone will be able to access the IPD and supporting information by downloading it from OSF.
More information

Locations