NCT07657520

Brief Summary

Chronic physiological hypoxia has been implicated in the pathogenesis of multiple system atrophy (MSA), a fatal neurodegenerative disorder of unknown etiology. This prospective, multicenter, observational cohort study (Phase II of the High-Altitude Neurodegeneration Cohort \[HANC\] study) aims to validate the association between chronic hypoxia exposure and incident MSA risk. A total of 20,000 Han Chinese participants aged 40-75 years will be enrolled from 23 sites across China spanning an altitude gradient from 4 m to 4,500 m. All participants will undergo standardized in-person assessment including questionnaires, physical examination, blood collection, and 3-night consecutive nocturnal pulse oximetry monitoring. Participants are to be followed for incident MSA over 12 months. The primary outcome is newly diagnosed MSA (probable or definite per Gilman consensus criteria), adjudicated by an independent panel of movement disorders specialists. Secondary outcomes include the association between altitude strata and MSA incidence, the association between mean nocturnal SpO₂ and MSA incidence, and incidence rates across MSA subtypes (MSA-P and MSA-C).

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
20,000

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
12mo left

Started Jun 2026

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

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Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress12%
Jun 2026Jul 2027

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

June 13, 2026

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

June 13, 2026

Completed
5 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

June 18, 2026

Completed
1.1 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

July 30, 2027

Expected
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

July 30, 2027

Last Updated

July 9, 2026

Status Verified

June 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

1.1 years

First QC Date

June 13, 2026

Last Update Submit

July 7, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

Chronic HypoxiaAltitude Sickness

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Incidence of Multiple System Atrophy (MSA) at 12 Months

    Number of participants with newly diagnosed probable or definite MSA during the 12-month follow-up period. Diagnosis is based on Gilman second consensus criteria and adjudicated by an independent panel of five movement disorders specialists. Adjudication includes brain MRI review and video examination where available.

    Baseline to Month 12

Secondary Outcomes (3)

  • Altitude-MSA Association: Hazard Ratio by Altitude Category

    Baseline to Month 12

  • SpO₂-MSA Association: Hazard Ratio by Nocturnal SpO₂

    Baseline to Month 12

  • MSA Subtype-Specific Incidence Rates

    Baseline to Month 12

Study Arms (4)

GROUP_1_Lowland (<500 m)

Participants residing at altitudes below 500 meters. Enrollment sites include Shanghai (4 m), Guangzhou, Suzhou, Hangzhou, Wuhan, Changsha, Nanjing, and Zhengzhou.

Other: No Intervention: Observational Cohort

GROUP_2_Intermediate (500-2,000 m)

Participants residing at altitudes between 500 and 2,000 meters. Enrollment sites include Kunming (1,890 m), Guiyang (1,100 m), Lanzhou (1,520 m), Yinchuan (1,100 m), Xi'an (400 m - borderline, verify), Chengdu (500 m), and Chongqing (240 m).

Other: No Intervention: Observational Cohort

GROUP_3_Highland (2,000-3,500 m)

Participants residing at altitudes between 2,000 and 3,500 meters. Enrollment sites include Xining (2,295 m), Golog (3,700 m - verify), Haixi (2,980 m), Yushu (3,700 m), and Ganzi (3,400 m).

Other: No Intervention: Observational Cohort

GROUP_4_Extreme Altitude (>3,500 m)

Participants residing at altitudes above 3,500 meters. Enrollment sites include Lhasa (3,656 m), Nagqu (4,500 m), and Ali (4,500 m).

Other: No Intervention: Observational Cohort

Interventions

No intervention; observation of altitude exposure and SpO₂ levels

GROUP_1_Lowland (<500 m)GROUP_2_Intermediate (500-2,000 m)GROUP_3_Highland (2,000-3,500 m)GROUP_4_Extreme Altitude (>3,500 m)

Eligibility Criteria

Age40 Years - 75 Years
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersYes
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

Han Chinese adults aged 40-75 years residing at altitudes ranging from 4 m to 4,500 m across 23 sites in China, with no prior diagnosis of parkinsonism at baseline.

You may qualify if:

  • Self-identified Han Chinese ethnicity
  • Age between 40 and 75 years (inclusive)
  • No prior diagnosis of parkinsonism at baseline
  • Permanent residence at study site location for ≥1 year prior to enrollment
  • Ability to provide written informed consent

You may not qualify if:

  • Pre-existing diagnosis of Parkinson's disease, multiple system atrophy, progressive supranuclear palsy, or any other parkinsonian disorder at baseline
  • Severe chronic pulmonary disease (e.g., COPD GOLD stage ≥3) affecting baseline SpO₂ measurement
  • Severe cardiovascular disease (e.g., New York Heart Association Class III or IV heart failure)
  • Cognitive impairment precluding completion of study procedures
  • Current enrollment in any interventional clinical trial
  • Life expectancy \<12 months due to any medical condition

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

West China Hospital of Sichuan University

Chengdu, Sichuan, China

RECRUITING

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Multiple System AtrophyAltitude Sickness

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Primary DysautonomiasAutonomic Nervous System DiseasesNervous System DiseasesBasal Ganglia DiseasesBrain DiseasesCentral Nervous System DiseasesMovement DisordersSynucleinopathiesNeurodegenerative DiseasesRespiration DisordersRespiratory Tract Diseases

Central Study Contacts

Zhigang Lan, M.D. PhD.

CONTACT

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Target Duration
12 Months
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Professor

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

June 13, 2026

First Posted

June 18, 2026

Study Start

June 13, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

July 30, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

July 30, 2027

Last Updated

July 9, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-06

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share
Shared Documents
STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP
Time Frame
Data will be available beginning 12 months after study completion.
Access Criteria
Requests should be directed to the corresponding author; a signed data access agreement will be required.

Locations