NCT07536984

Brief Summary

Mechanical ventilation involves titrating the fraction of inspired oxygen to maintain arterial oxygen saturation (SpO2). The SpO2 target that results in the best outcomes for critically ill adults has historically been unknown. Randomized trials comparing use of a higher SpO2 target (96-100%) vs a lower SpO2 target (88-92%) have not found an average treatment effect among patients overall. However, the optimal SpO2 target may differ for patients with different characteristics. Recently, data from randomized trials of SpO2 targets were used to derive and validate a statistical model that predicts which SpO2 target will result in the best outcomes for an individual patient based on his or her unique characteristics (personalized SpO2 target). This statistical model has been incorporated into the electronic health record at Vanderbilt such that, for each patient receiving mechanical ventilation in the medical intensive care unit, information on which SpO2 target is predicted to result in the best outcome for the patient can be made available to clinicians. However, the use of personalized SpO2 targets for critically ill adults receiving mechanical ventilation has never been examined in a randomized trial and whether using such a personalized SpO2 target in clinical care can improve patient outcomes remains unknown. This randomized trial will examine the effect of using information on the SpO2 target that is predicted to be best for a patient based on his or her unique characteristics (personalized SpO2 target) versus usual care.

Trial Health

63
Monitor

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
3,000

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for not_applicable

Timeline
45mo left

Started May 2026

Longer than P75 for not_applicable

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
not yet recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

April 12, 2026

Completed
5 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

April 17, 2026

Completed
14 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

May 1, 2026

Completed
3.6 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 1, 2029

Expected
1 month until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

January 1, 2030

Last Updated

April 22, 2026

Status Verified

April 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

3.6 years

First QC Date

April 12, 2026

Last Update Submit

April 16, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

Critical illnessEmergency airway managementMechanical ventilationPredictive modelPersonalized medicine

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • 28-day in-hospital mortality

    Death from any cause by day 28

    From randomization to the first of hospital discharge or 28 days after randomization

Secondary Outcomes (1)

  • Ventilator-free days to day 28

    From randomization to the first of hospital discharge or 28 days after randomization

Study Arms (2)

Personalized SpO2 Target Group

ACTIVE COMPARATOR

For patients in the personalized SpO2 target group, the statistical model within the electronic health record will use each patient's baseline characteristics to calculate the SpO2 target predicted to result in the best outcomes for that individual patient, either 98% (range, 96-100%) for patients predicted to benefit from a higher SpO2 target or 90% (range, 88-92%) for patients predicted to benefit from a lower SpO2 target. The personalized SpO2 target predicted to result in the best outcomes for a patient will be delivered by the physicians, nurses, and respiratory therapists as a part of routine clinical care.

Other: Personalized SpO2 Target

Usual Care Group

ACTIVE COMPARATOR

For patients in the usual care group, clinicians will determine the approach to supplemental oxygen administration without receiving information from the statistical model.

Other: Usual Care

Interventions

A personalized SpO2 target predicted to result in the best outcomes for a patient will be delivered by the physicians, nurses, and respiratory therapists as a part of routine clinical care.

Personalized SpO2 Target Group

Clinicians will determine the approach to supplemental oxygen administration without receiving information from the statistical model

Usual Care Group

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)

You may qualify if:

  • Patient is located in a participating unit
  • Patient is receiving invasive mechanical ventilation

You may not qualify if:

  • Patient is known to be less than 18 years old
  • Patient is known to be pregnant
  • Patient is known to be a prisoner
  • Patient is receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation
  • Clinician has determined that a specific approach to oxygen therapy is required or contraindicated for the optimal care of the patient

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Vanderbilt University Medical Center

Nashville, Tennessee, 37232, United States

Location

Related Publications (3)

  • Semler MW, Casey JD, Lloyd BD, Hastings PG, Hays MA, Stollings JL, Buell KG, Brems JH, Qian ET, Seitz KP, Wang L, Lindsell CJ, Freundlich RE, Wanderer JP, Han JH, Bernard GR, Self WH, Rice TW; PILOT Investigators and the Pragmatic Critical Care Research Group. Oxygen-Saturation Targets for Critically Ill Adults Receiving Mechanical Ventilation. N Engl J Med. 2022 Nov 10;387(19):1759-1769. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2208415. Epub 2022 Oct 24.

    PMID: 36278971BACKGROUND
  • Buell KG, Spicer AB, Casey JD, Seitz KP, Qian ET, Graham Linck EJ, Self WH, Rice TW, Sinha P, Young PJ, Semler MW, Churpek MM. Individualized Treatment Effects of Oxygen Targets in Mechanically Ventilated Critically Ill Adults. JAMA. 2024 Apr 9;331(14):1195-1204. doi: 10.1001/jama.2024.2933.

    PMID: 38501205BACKGROUND
  • ICU-ROX Investigators and the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group; Mackle D, Bellomo R, Bailey M, Beasley R, Deane A, Eastwood G, Finfer S, Freebairn R, King V, Linke N, Litton E, McArthur C, McGuinness S, Panwar R, Young P; ICU-ROX Investigators the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group. Conservative Oxygen Therapy during Mechanical Ventilation in the ICU. N Engl J Med. 2020 Mar 12;382(11):989-998. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1903297. Epub 2019 Oct 14.

    PMID: 31613432BACKGROUND

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Critical Illness

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Disease AttributesPathologic ProcessesPathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms

Study Officials

  • Matthew W Semler, MD, MSCI

    Vanderbilt University Medical Center

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
  • Adam Wright, PhD

    Vanderbilt University Medical Center

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
  • Jonathan D Casey, MD, MSCI

    Vanderbilt University Medical Center

    STUDY DIRECTOR
  • Edward T Qian, MD, MSACI

    Vanderbilt University Medical Center

    STUDY CHAIR

Central Study Contacts

Matthew W Semler, MD, MSCI

CONTACT

Jonathan D Casey, MD, MSCI

CONTACT

Study Design

Study Type
interventional
Phase
not applicable
Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Masking
NONE
Purpose
TREATMENT
Intervention Model
PARALLEL
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Professor of Medicine

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

April 12, 2026

First Posted

April 17, 2026

Study Start

May 1, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

December 1, 2029

Study Completion (Estimated)

January 1, 2030

Last Updated

April 22, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-04

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share

Our approach to data management and sharing in the proposed EXPRESS trial will comply with the 2023 FINAL NIH Policy for Data Management and Sharing. We will also comply with the NHLBI policy for data sharing from clinical trials and epidemiological studies including submitting data to NHLBI BioData Catalyst (BDC) or a comparable repository active at the time of trial result publication. Procedures are planned for sharing de-identified data, as well as statistical coding and any software developed. In addition to sharing data, we will also make available the clinical protocol and statistical analysis plan. This will be done as supplemental material to the primary study manuscript so that it is shared in context with the clinical data.

Shared Documents
STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP
Time Frame
Following publication. No end date

Locations