Examination of Personalized SpO2 Targets
EXPRESS
2 other identifiers
interventional
3,000
1 country
1
Brief Summary
Mechanical ventilation involves titrating the fraction of inspired oxygen to maintain arterial oxygen saturation (SpO2). The SpO2 target that results in the best outcomes for critically ill adults has historically been unknown. Randomized trials comparing use of a higher SpO2 target (96-100%) vs a lower SpO2 target (88-92%) have not found an average treatment effect among patients overall. However, the optimal SpO2 target may differ for patients with different characteristics. Recently, data from randomized trials of SpO2 targets were used to derive and validate a statistical model that predicts which SpO2 target will result in the best outcomes for an individual patient based on his or her unique characteristics (personalized SpO2 target). This statistical model has been incorporated into the electronic health record at Vanderbilt such that, for each patient receiving mechanical ventilation in the medical intensive care unit, information on which SpO2 target is predicted to result in the best outcome for the patient can be made available to clinicians. However, the use of personalized SpO2 targets for critically ill adults receiving mechanical ventilation has never been examined in a randomized trial and whether using such a personalized SpO2 target in clinical care can improve patient outcomes remains unknown. This randomized trial will examine the effect of using information on the SpO2 target that is predicted to be best for a patient based on his or her unique characteristics (personalized SpO2 target) versus usual care.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for not_applicable
Started May 2026
Longer than P75 for not_applicable
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
Click on a node to explore related trials.
Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
April 12, 2026
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
April 17, 2026
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
May 1, 2026
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
December 1, 2029
ExpectedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
January 1, 2030
April 22, 2026
April 1, 2026
3.6 years
April 12, 2026
April 16, 2026
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
28-day in-hospital mortality
Death from any cause by day 28
From randomization to the first of hospital discharge or 28 days after randomization
Secondary Outcomes (1)
Ventilator-free days to day 28
From randomization to the first of hospital discharge or 28 days after randomization
Study Arms (2)
Personalized SpO2 Target Group
ACTIVE COMPARATORFor patients in the personalized SpO2 target group, the statistical model within the electronic health record will use each patient's baseline characteristics to calculate the SpO2 target predicted to result in the best outcomes for that individual patient, either 98% (range, 96-100%) for patients predicted to benefit from a higher SpO2 target or 90% (range, 88-92%) for patients predicted to benefit from a lower SpO2 target. The personalized SpO2 target predicted to result in the best outcomes for a patient will be delivered by the physicians, nurses, and respiratory therapists as a part of routine clinical care.
Usual Care Group
ACTIVE COMPARATORFor patients in the usual care group, clinicians will determine the approach to supplemental oxygen administration without receiving information from the statistical model.
Interventions
A personalized SpO2 target predicted to result in the best outcomes for a patient will be delivered by the physicians, nurses, and respiratory therapists as a part of routine clinical care.
Clinicians will determine the approach to supplemental oxygen administration without receiving information from the statistical model
Eligibility Criteria
You may qualify if:
- Patient is located in a participating unit
- Patient is receiving invasive mechanical ventilation
You may not qualify if:
- Patient is known to be less than 18 years old
- Patient is known to be pregnant
- Patient is known to be a prisoner
- Patient is receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation
- Clinician has determined that a specific approach to oxygen therapy is required or contraindicated for the optimal care of the patient
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (1)
Vanderbilt University Medical Center
Nashville, Tennessee, 37232, United States
Related Publications (3)
Semler MW, Casey JD, Lloyd BD, Hastings PG, Hays MA, Stollings JL, Buell KG, Brems JH, Qian ET, Seitz KP, Wang L, Lindsell CJ, Freundlich RE, Wanderer JP, Han JH, Bernard GR, Self WH, Rice TW; PILOT Investigators and the Pragmatic Critical Care Research Group. Oxygen-Saturation Targets for Critically Ill Adults Receiving Mechanical Ventilation. N Engl J Med. 2022 Nov 10;387(19):1759-1769. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2208415. Epub 2022 Oct 24.
PMID: 36278971BACKGROUNDBuell KG, Spicer AB, Casey JD, Seitz KP, Qian ET, Graham Linck EJ, Self WH, Rice TW, Sinha P, Young PJ, Semler MW, Churpek MM. Individualized Treatment Effects of Oxygen Targets in Mechanically Ventilated Critically Ill Adults. JAMA. 2024 Apr 9;331(14):1195-1204. doi: 10.1001/jama.2024.2933.
PMID: 38501205BACKGROUNDICU-ROX Investigators and the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group; Mackle D, Bellomo R, Bailey M, Beasley R, Deane A, Eastwood G, Finfer S, Freebairn R, King V, Linke N, Litton E, McArthur C, McGuinness S, Panwar R, Young P; ICU-ROX Investigators the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group. Conservative Oxygen Therapy during Mechanical Ventilation in the ICU. N Engl J Med. 2020 Mar 12;382(11):989-998. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1903297. Epub 2019 Oct 14.
PMID: 31613432BACKGROUND
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Matthew W Semler, MD, MSCI
Vanderbilt University Medical Center
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Adam Wright, PhD
Vanderbilt University Medical Center
- STUDY DIRECTOR
Jonathan D Casey, MD, MSCI
Vanderbilt University Medical Center
- STUDY CHAIR
Edward T Qian, MD, MSACI
Vanderbilt University Medical Center
Central Study Contacts
Study Design
- Study Type
- interventional
- Phase
- not applicable
- Allocation
- RANDOMIZED
- Masking
- NONE
- Purpose
- TREATMENT
- Intervention Model
- PARALLEL
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
- PI Title
- Professor of Medicine
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
April 12, 2026
First Posted
April 17, 2026
Study Start
May 1, 2026
Primary Completion (Estimated)
December 1, 2029
Study Completion (Estimated)
January 1, 2030
Last Updated
April 22, 2026
Record last verified: 2026-04
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will share
- Shared Documents
- STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP
- Time Frame
- Following publication. No end date
Our approach to data management and sharing in the proposed EXPRESS trial will comply with the 2023 FINAL NIH Policy for Data Management and Sharing. We will also comply with the NHLBI policy for data sharing from clinical trials and epidemiological studies including submitting data to NHLBI BioData Catalyst (BDC) or a comparable repository active at the time of trial result publication. Procedures are planned for sharing de-identified data, as well as statistical coding and any software developed. In addition to sharing data, we will also make available the clinical protocol and statistical analysis plan. This will be done as supplemental material to the primary study manuscript so that it is shared in context with the clinical data.