NCT07422597

Brief Summary

Thousands of men take a PSA test to investigate whether they have prostate cancer every year. For the vast majority, the test is normal and further investigations are not necessary. In others, the test is sufficiently elevated that men are referred for further investigations. Most men with an elevated PSA are offered an MRI examination of the prostate gland, and for some, a tissue sample of the prostate is also recommended if the suspicion of cancer is high enough. Although this comprehensive investigation reveals most clinically significant , or dangerous cases of cancer, many indolent, or "harmless" cancer cases are also detected, which would not have caused the man any harm during his lifetime (approximately 20% of all prostate cancer diagnoses diagnosed in current clinical practive). Cancer treatment is not recommended for such cases, but for many men, the diagnosis and subsequent follow-up can cause him and his family anxity and concern. In addition, prostate biopsies are unpleasant for the patient and the investigation process is resource-intensive for both the man and the health care service. Risk stratification uses machine learning methods to better identify the men who require further investigations with MRI and tissue samples. In this project, the investigators investigate whether the best risk stratification tools are non-inferior in detecting clinically significant prostate cancer compared to current practice, and whether they lead to fewer tissue samples, MRI scans, less health anxiety, and better cost-effectiveness.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
1,016

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for not_applicable prostate-cancer

Timeline
44mo left

Started Mar 2026

Typical duration for not_applicable prostate-cancer

Geographic Reach
1 country

3 active sites

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress6%
Mar 2026Dec 2029

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

December 30, 2025

Completed
2 months until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

February 20, 2026

Completed
9 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

March 1, 2026

Completed
1.8 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 31, 2027

Expected
2 years until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 31, 2029

Last Updated

March 16, 2026

Status Verified

March 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

1.8 years

First QC Date

December 30, 2025

Last Update Submit

March 12, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

Suspected prostate cancerElevated PSA

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Detection of clinically significant prostate cancer

    The study examines whether the risk calculator strategy gives non-inferior detection of csPCa compared with performing an MRI upfront in all men. csPCa defined as International society of Urological pathology grade group (ISUP GG) \>1.

    During the initial diagnostic work-up (up to 6 weeks)

Secondary Outcomes (10)

  • Detection of clinically insignificant prostate cancer

    During the initial diagnostic work-up (up to 6 weeks)

  • Numbers of prostate biopsy sessions required

    1 year after completion of inclusion

  • Numbers of prostate MRIs required

    1 year after completion of inclusion

  • Quality of life effect of decision to perfrom prostate biopsy

    1 year after study inclusion is completed

  • Quality of life effect of decision to perfrom prostate biopsy

    1 year after study inclusion is completed

  • +5 more secondary outcomes

Study Arms (1)

Upfront MRI and Multivariable risk assessment in all men

EXPERIMENTAL

Single group

Device: European Study of screening for prostate cancer risk calculator

Interventions

The ERSPC RCs are the currently best known and most utilised multivariable PCa risk stratification tools. All participating men undergo risk stratification by ERSPC RCs to determine need for MRI and for biopsy.

Also known as: https://www.prostatecancer-riskcalculator.com/, Rotterdam prostate cancer risk calculator
Upfront MRI and Multivariable risk assessment in all men

Eligibility Criteria

Age50 Years - 75 Years
Sexmale
Healthy VolunteersYes
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)

You may qualify if:

  • more than 10 years remaining life expectancy
  • Suspected localized prostate cancer
  • Suspicious DRE (cT2)
  • PSA 3-20 ng/ml

You may not qualify if:

  • cT3 and/or cT4 (on DRE)
  • PSA \>20 ng/ml
  • Prior diagnosis of prostate cancer
  • Contraindications to MRI or to prostate biopsy
  • Medications known to affect serum PSA levels

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (3)

Sykehuset Levanger

Levanger, 7601, Norway

NOT YET RECRUITING

Orkdal sjukehus

Orkanger, Norway

RECRUITING

St Olavs Hospital

Trondheim, 7030, Norway

RECRUITING

Related Publications (10)

  • Straat KRV, Hagens MJ, Cools Paulino Pereira LJ, van den Bergh RCN, Mazel JW, Noordzij MA, Rynja SP. Risk Calculator Strategy Before Magnetic Resonance Imaging Stratification for Biopsy-naive Men with Suspicion for Prostate Cancer: A Cost-effectiveness Analysis. Eur Urol Open Sci. 2024 Oct 14;70:52-57. doi: 10.1016/j.euros.2024.08.017. eCollection 2024 Dec.

    PMID: 39483520BACKGROUND
  • Sharp L, Morgan E, Drummond FJ, Gavin A. The psychological impact of prostate biopsy: Prevalence and predictors of procedure-related distress. Psychooncology. 2018 Feb;27(2):500-507. doi: 10.1002/pon.4521. Epub 2017 Oct 11.

    PMID: 28766309BACKGROUND
  • Coyle C, Morgan E, Drummond FJ, Sharp L, Gavin A. Do men regret prostate biopsy: Results from the PiCTure study. BMC Urol. 2017 Jan 26;17(1):11. doi: 10.1186/s12894-016-0194-y.

    PMID: 28125998BACKGROUND
  • Reesink DJ, Schilham MGM, van der Hoeven EJRJ, Schoots IG, van Melick HHE, van den Bergh RCN. Comparison of risk-calculator and MRI and consecutive pathways as upfront stratification for prostate biopsy. World J Urol. 2021 Jul;39(7):2453-2461. doi: 10.1007/s00345-020-03488-2. Epub 2020 Oct 22.

    PMID: 33090259BACKGROUND
  • Davik P, Remmers S, Elschot M, Roobol MJ, Bathen TF, Bertilsson H. Reducing prostate biopsies and magnetic resonance imaging with prostate cancer risk stratification. BJUI Compass. 2022 Apr 22;3(5):344-353. doi: 10.1002/bco2.146. eCollection 2022 Sep.

    PMID: 35950035BACKGROUND
  • Davik P, Elschot M, Frost Bathen T, Bertilsson H. Repeat Prostate-specific Antigen Testing Improves Risk-based Selection of Men for Prostate Biopsy After Magnetic Resonance Imaging. Eur Urol Open Sci. 2024 Jun 13;65:21-28. doi: 10.1016/j.euros.2024.05.011. eCollection 2024 Jul.

    PMID: 38974460BACKGROUND
  • Patel HD, Remmers S, Ellis JL, Li EV, Roobol MJ, Fang AM, Davik P, Rais-Bahrami S, Murphy AB, Ross AE, Gupta GN. Comparison of Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Based Risk Calculators to Predict Prostate Cancer Risk. JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Mar 4;7(3):e241516. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.1516.

    PMID: 38451522BACKGROUND
  • Davik P, Remmers S, Elschot M, Roobol MJ, Bathen TF, Bertilsson H. Performance of magnetic resonance imaging-based prostate cancer risk calculators and decision strategies in two large European medical centres. BJU Int. 2024 Mar;133(3):278-288. doi: 10.1111/bju.16163. Epub 2023 Sep 12.

    PMID: 37607322BACKGROUND
  • Hofmann B, Haug ES, Andersen ER, Kjelle E. Increased magnetic resonance imaging in prostate cancer management-What are the outcomes? J Eval Clin Pract. 2023 Sep;29(6):893-902. doi: 10.1111/jep.13791. Epub 2022 Nov 14.

    PMID: 36374190BACKGROUND
  • Thompson IM, Ankerst DP, Chi C, Goodman PJ, Tangen CM, Lucia MS, Feng Z, Parnes HL, Coltman CA Jr. Assessing prostate cancer risk: results from the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2006 Apr 19;98(8):529-34. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djj131.

    PMID: 16622122BACKGROUND

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Prostatic Neoplasms

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Genital Neoplasms, MaleUrogenital NeoplasmsNeoplasms by SiteNeoplasmsGenital Diseases, MaleGenital DiseasesUrogenital DiseasesProstatic DiseasesMale Urogenital Diseases

Study Officials

  • Petter Davik, MD, PhD

    Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU)

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
  • Magnus Steigedal, PhD

    Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Head of Department (IKOM)

    STUDY CHAIR

Central Study Contacts

Petter Davik, MD, PhD

CONTACT

Study Design

Study Type
interventional
Phase
not applicable
Allocation
NA
Masking
NONE
Masking Details
The care provider is blinded to information from the MRI when performing a DRE and calculating risk by the ERSPC 3/4 risk calculators.
Purpose
DIAGNOSTIC
Intervention Model
SINGLE GROUP
Model Details: Prospective, within patient non-inferiority study comparing upfront risk assessments by MRI and risk calculator
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

December 30, 2025

First Posted

February 20, 2026

Study Start

March 1, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2029

Last Updated

March 16, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-03

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share

Sharing of anonmous data for scientific purposeswill be considered upon reasonable request

Shared Documents
STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP, ICF, ANALYTIC CODE

Locations