NCT07057492

Brief Summary

This prospective, multicenter study was designed to develop and validate a risk prediction model for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) based on cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) parameters. From January 2018 to December 2023, consecutive acute STEMI patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were enrolled across eight participating medical centers. Baseline clinical characteristics were systematically collected, and all patients underwent CMR examination 5-7 days after PCI to assess myocardial injury and functional parameters. The primary composite endpoint, MACE, included cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction, hospitalization for heart failure, and unplanned revascularization. To ensure robust model development and validation, the study assigned patients from four centers to form the development cohort, while those from the other four centers constituted the external validation cohort. Predictive variables were initially screened using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, followed by multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression to identify independent predictors. A nomogram was subsequently constructed to provide individualized risk stratification. Model performance was evaluated in terms of discrimination (C-index, ROC analysis), calibration (calibration curves), and clinical utility (decision curve analysis). This study aims to develop a CMR-based prediction model to better identify high-risk STEMI patients, providing clinicians with valuable tools for early intervention and personalized management.

Trial Health

87
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
800

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
Completed

Started Jan 2018

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
completed

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Start

First participant enrolled

January 1, 2018

Completed
7 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 31, 2024

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 31, 2024

Completed
6 months until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

July 2, 2025

Completed
7 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

July 9, 2025

Completed
Last Updated

July 9, 2025

Status Verified

January 1, 2018

Enrollment Period

7 years

First QC Date

July 2, 2025

Last Update Submit

July 2, 2025

Conditions

Keywords

ST-segment elevation Myocardial Infarction;cardiac magnetic resonanceprediction model

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (2)

  • Major adverse cardiovascular events

    From enrollment through the 3-year follow-up completion

  • Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events

    From enrollment to the 3-year follow-up completion

Study Arms (2)

the development cohort

The development cohort consisted of STEMI patients from four major medical centers, all of whom received primary PCI treatment and underwent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. This cohort served as the basis for constructing the prognostic prediction model.

the external validation cohort

The external validation cohort comprised STEMI patients from four additional medical centers, all of whom underwent primary PCI and subsequent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. This independent cohort was used to evaluate the model's generalizability and predictive performance in diverse clinical settings.

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodProbability Sample
Study Population

primary PCI-treated patients with acute STEMI

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Chinese PLA General Hospital

Beijing, Beijing Municipality, 100039, China

Location

MeSH Terms

Conditions

ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Myocardial InfarctionMyocardial IschemiaHeart DiseasesCardiovascular DiseasesVascular DiseasesInfarctionIschemiaPathologic ProcessesPathological Conditions, Signs and SymptomsNecrosis

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Target Duration
3 Years
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Chinese PLA General Hospital

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

July 2, 2025

First Posted

July 9, 2025

Study Start

January 1, 2018

Primary Completion

December 31, 2024

Study Completion

December 31, 2024

Last Updated

July 9, 2025

Record last verified: 2018-01

Locations