NCT06724094

Brief Summary

The goal of this trial is to investigate whether Machine Learning (ML) can be used to detect small degrees of loosening, lucent zones, or any other changes on radiographs that might predict early failure following NexGen total knee replacement. Researchers will identify plain AP and lateral plain film radiographs from two groups of patients. Those who has NexGen total knee replacements (TKRs) that went on to failure, and those who has well performing TKRs. Radiographs from these two groups will be labelled as 'failure' and 'well performing' and will be processed through a machine learning algorithm. The algorithm will be successful if it is able to detect a NexGen TKR that went on to failure or went on to perform well. This will be determined by using a test set. The population will be adults who had the recalled a NexGen Total Knee Replacement with a standard tibial tray. It will include adults only, who has the TKR at University Hospitals Southampton between 2003 and 2022. Failure will be defined as revision of tibial or femoral components which is likely due to aspectic loosening. It will exclude washouts, exchange of poly, peri-prosthetic fractures, microbiologically confirmed infection. Well performing TKRs will be defined as patients who have had their TKR in situ for 10 years and have reported no significant symptoms.

Trial Health

35
At Risk

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Trial has exceeded expected completion date
Enrollment
2,105

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
Completed

Started Aug 2025

Shorter than P25 for all trials

Status
not yet recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

November 6, 2024

Completed
1 month until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

December 9, 2024

Completed
8 months until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

August 1, 2025

Completed
4 months until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 1, 2025

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 1, 2025

Completed
Last Updated

May 13, 2025

Status Verified

December 1, 2024

Enrollment Period

4 months

First QC Date

November 6, 2024

Last Update Submit

May 12, 2025

Conditions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Predictive accuracy of machine learning model

    The predictive accuracy of a machine learning algorithm. Using common ML measured, AUROC etc.

    Up to 21 years. Data starts from 2003.

Study Arms (2)

Failed

This group will be made up of patient who had revision TKR due to aseptic loosening within 10 years of primary arthroplasty

Well performing

This group will be made up of patients who have an asymptomatic TKR 10 years after primary arthroplasty.

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

The population will be adults who had the recalled a NexGen Total Knee Replacement with a standard tibial tray. It will include adults only, who has the TKR at University Hospitals Southampton between 2003 and 2022.

You may qualify if:

  • Had a NexGen TKR between 2003 and 2022.

You may not qualify if:

  • Below 18 yrs old.
  • Revision surgery for any reason other than aseptic loosening
  • patients who have not had a revision but who do not have a well functioning TKR.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
CASE CONTROL
Time Perspective
RETROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

November 6, 2024

First Posted

December 9, 2024

Study Start

August 1, 2025

Primary Completion

December 1, 2025

Study Completion

December 1, 2025

Last Updated

May 13, 2025

Record last verified: 2024-12