NCT06675071

Brief Summary

Mortality Risk Assessment by Skilled Caregivers Compared to Existing Validated Tools in Skilled Nursing Departments at Shmuel Harofeh Geriatric Hospital Background The elderly population in Israel and globally is growing, increasing demand for medical services, particularly palliative care. Recommendations from 2016 emphasized the need for geriatric and skilled nursing departments to focus on end-of-life care, but implementation has been limited. High mortality and frequent readmissions are reported in long-term care, yet accurate mortality prediction tools for elderly patients remain limited. Improved mortality prediction can help identify patients who would benefit from palliative care and reduce unnecessary interventions. Research Objectives

  1. 1.Assess life expectancy of patients in skilled nursing departments.
  2. 2.Compare the effectiveness of various tools in predicting six-month mortality.
  3. 3.Validated Tools: Including the MITCHELL scale (for patients with advanced dementia) and the POROCK scale (for institutionalized patients).
  4. 4.Caregiver Assessment: Subjective life expectancy estimates by attending geriatricians and nursing staff within three days of admission and again 7-10 days later. An external geriatrician will also provide an assessment based on brief, non-invasive observation.

Trial Health

65
Monitor

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
300

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
20mo left

Started Nov 2024

Typical duration for all trials

Status
not yet recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress47%
Nov 2024Jan 2028

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

November 4, 2024

Completed
1 day until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

November 5, 2024

Completed
5 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

November 10, 2024

Completed
3 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

November 1, 2027

Expected
2 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

January 1, 2028

Last Updated

November 5, 2024

Status Verified

November 1, 2024

Enrollment Period

3 years

First QC Date

November 4, 2024

Last Update Submit

November 4, 2024

Conditions

Keywords

older adults, long term care, Mortality PredictionMITCHELL scale, POROCK scale

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • life expectancy of patients in skilled nursing departments

    Compare the effectiveness of various tools in predicting six-month mortality

    3 years

Eligibility Criteria

Age65 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsOlder Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

Patients over the age of 65 years admitted to skilled nursing departments at Shmuel Harofeh Hospital.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Target Duration
1 Year
Sponsor Type
OTHER GOV
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Hospital deputy director

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

November 4, 2024

First Posted

November 5, 2024

Study Start

November 10, 2024

Primary Completion (Estimated)

November 1, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

January 1, 2028

Last Updated

November 5, 2024

Record last verified: 2024-11

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share