NCT06293612

Brief Summary

The goal of this observational study is to construct a multimodal intelligent model to predict the risk of heterochronous metastasis of rectal cancer, which is helpful for individualized diagnosis and treatment and follow-up planning. The main questions it aims to answer are:

  • what are the independent risk factors of distant metastasis (DM) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC)
  • What is the influence weight of the above factors on the heterochronous metastasis of LARC, and how to build a risk-prediction model This study will not affect or interfere with the routine medical diagnosis and treatment of participants, and will not increase the cost and risk of participants. Participant's information is protected and identified by a unique code.

Trial Health

87
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
302

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
Completed

Started Jan 2015

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
completed

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Start

First participant enrolled

January 1, 2015

Completed
4 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 31, 2018

Completed
3.9 years until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

November 30, 2022

Completed
1.2 years until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

February 18, 2024

Completed
16 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

March 5, 2024

Completed
Last Updated

March 5, 2024

Status Verified

February 1, 2024

Enrollment Period

4 years

First QC Date

February 18, 2024

Last Update Submit

February 27, 2024

Conditions

Keywords

locally advanced rectal cancerdistant metastasestumor stromal ratiomagnetic resonance imagingartificial intelligence

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Heterochronous distant metastasis

    Defined as cancer recurrence at sites outside the pelvis based on radiological and/or histopathological evidence.

    Through study completion, an average of 3 years

Secondary Outcomes (1)

  • Distant metastasis-free survival

    From the date of surgery to the date of the first detection of distant metastasis, death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years.

Study Arms (2)

Training cohort

The patients were randomized into a training cohort (n = 211) to train the model. The patients' clinicopathological data were reviewed, including age, sex, obesity, serum carcinoembryonic antigen and cancer antigen 19-9 levels, T- and N-stages evaluated by MRI, yp-T and yp-N stages evaluated by histopathology. The MR-T/N stages of the tumors were assessed by radiologists. The tumor region of interest was manually delineated on high-resolution oblique axial T2WI and generated the VOI using ITK-SNAP. Overall, 1229 features were extracted from each VOI. Biopsy specimens from colonoscopy were sectioned into 5 μm slices and stained with H\&E. Areas with both stromal and tumor cells presented on all four sides were selected to evaluate tumor stroma ratio using an automated scoring method with the highest proportion of stromal components in all measured areas recorded.

Other: No intervention was administrated to the two cohorts.

Validation cohort

The patients were randomized into a validation cohort (n =91) to verify the model. The patients' clinicopathological data were reviewed, including age, sex, obesity, serum carcinoembryonic antigen and cancer antigen 19-9 levels, T- and N-stages evaluated by MRI, yp-T and yp-N stages evaluated by histopathology. The MR-T/N stages of the tumors were assessed by radiologists. The tumor region of interest was manually delineated on high-resolution oblique axial T2WI and generated the VOI using ITK-SNAP. Overall, 1229 features were extracted from each VOI. Biopsy specimens from colonoscopy were sectioned into 5 μm slices and stained with H\&E. Areas with both stromal and tumor cells presented on all four sides were selected to evaluate tumor stroma ratio using an automated scoring method with the highest proportion of stromal components in all measured areas recorded.

Other: No intervention was administrated to the two cohorts.

Interventions

Training cohortValidation cohort

Eligibility Criteria

Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsChild (0-17), Adult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodProbability Sample
Study Population

Consecutive cases of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma who were treated with 5-FU or Capecitabine-based concurrent NCRT and total mesorectal excision at our institute between 2015 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed.

You may qualify if:

  • Newly diagnosed non-mucinous LARC (T3\~T4, or any T with N1\~2, M0) without previous treatment;
  • No concomitant malignancies or systemic disease;
  • Complete standard neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) and radical surgery in our institute;
  • Underwent rectal MRI and colonoscopy within 2 weeks before NCRT.

You may not qualify if:

  • Inadequate MR image quality for analysis, or lack of biopsy tissue for TSR assessment;
  • Incomplete clinical data or withdraw before last visit.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

National Cancer Center, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College

Beijing, 100021, China

Location

Biospecimen

Retention: SAMPLES WITHOUT DNA

colonoscopic biopsies

Study Officials

  • Hongmei Zhang, MD

    National Cancer Center, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China

    STUDY DIRECTOR

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
RETROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

February 18, 2024

First Posted

March 5, 2024

Study Start

January 1, 2015

Primary Completion

December 31, 2018

Study Completion

November 30, 2022

Last Updated

March 5, 2024

Record last verified: 2024-02

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

Locations