NCT06051526

Brief Summary

In Africa, the prevalence of critical illness is likely to be higher due to a greater burden of disease, and the associated mortality higher due to limited resources. This is a prospective, observational study to rapidly establish the prevalence of critical illness in in-hospital adult patients in Africa, and the resources available to provide essential critical care (care that should be available to every patient in the world) and factors associated with mortality. Rapid dissemination of these findings may help mitigate mortality from critical illness in Africa. These points provide the rationale for the African Critical Illness Outcomes Study.

Trial Health

87
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
20,159

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
Completed

Started Sep 2023

Shorter than P25 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
completed

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

September 1, 2023

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

September 1, 2023

Completed
24 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

September 25, 2023

Completed
3 months until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

January 3, 2024

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

January 3, 2024

Completed
Last Updated

April 10, 2024

Status Verified

April 1, 2024

Enrollment Period

4 months

First QC Date

September 1, 2023

Last Update Submit

April 8, 2024

Conditions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (2)

  • Presence of critical illness

    The number of participants with critical illness.

    7 days

  • In-hospital mortality (censored at 7-days)

    The number of participants with in-hospital mortality (censored at 7-days)

    7 days

Secondary Outcomes (3)

  • Provision of essential emergency and critical care

    7 days

  • Length of hospital stay

    7 days

  • Number of essential emergency and critical care resources available for care

    7 days

Study Arms (1)

Critically ill in-patients

All adult inpatients in hospitals across Africa that are critically ill.

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

All adult patients aged 18 years or over who have been admitted for inpatient care in any department or ward in participating hospitals.

You may qualify if:

  • All adult patients aged 18 years or over who have been admitted for inpatient care in any department or ward in participating hospitals.

You may not qualify if:

  • None

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Merowe Daman Hospital

Khartoum, Sudan

Location

Related Publications (33)

  • Kayambankadzanja RK, Schell CO, Gerdin Warnberg M, Tamras T, Mollazadegan H, Holmberg M, Alvesson HM, Baker T. Towards definitions of critical illness and critical care using concept analysis. BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 5;12(9):e060972. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-060972.

  • Jenson A, Hansoti B, Rothman R, de Ramirez SS, Lobner K, Wallis L. Reliability and validity of emergency department triage tools in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review. Eur J Emerg Med. 2018 Jun;25(3):154-160. doi: 10.1097/MEJ.0000000000000445.

  • Kruisselbrink R, Kwizera A, Crowther M, Fox-Robichaud A, O'Shea T, Nakibuuka J, Ssinabulya I, Nalyazi J, Bonner A, Devji T, Wong J, Cook D. Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) Identifies Critical Illness among Ward Patients in a Resource Restricted Setting in Kampala, Uganda: A Prospective Observational Study. PLoS One. 2016 Mar 17;11(3):e0151408. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0151408. eCollection 2016.

  • Phua J, Faruq MO, Kulkarni AP, Redjeki IS, Detleuxay K, Mendsaikhan N, Sann KK, Shrestha BR, Hashmi M, Palo JEM, Haniffa R, Wang C, Hashemian SMR, Konkayev A, Mat Nor MB, Patjanasoontorn B, Nafees KMK, Ling L, Nishimura M, Al Bahrani MJ, Arabi YM, Lim CM, Fang WF; Asian Analysis of Bed Capacity in Critical Care (ABC) Study Investigators, and the Asian Critical Care Clinical Trials Group. Critical Care Bed Capacity in Asian Countries and Regions. Crit Care Med. 2020 May;48(5):654-662. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000004222.

  • Maharaj R, Raffaele I, Wendon J. Rapid response systems: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Crit Care. 2015 Jun 12;19(1):254. doi: 10.1186/s13054-015-0973-y.

  • Kayambankadzanja RK, Likaka A, Mndolo SK, Chatsika GM, Umar E, Baker T. Emergency and critical care services in Malawi: Findings from a nationwide survey of health facilities. Malawi Med J. 2020 Mar;32(1):19-23. doi: 10.4314/mmj.v32i1.5.

  • Baker T, Lugazia E, Eriksen J, Mwafongo V, Irestedt L, Konrad D. Emergency and critical care services in Tanzania: a survey of ten hospitals. BMC Health Serv Res. 2013 Apr 16;13:140. doi: 10.1186/1472-6963-13-140.

  • Kayambankadzanja RK, Schell CO, Mbingwani I, Mndolo SK, Castegren M, Baker T. Unmet need of essential treatments for critical illness in Malawi. PLoS One. 2021 Sep 10;16(9):e0256361. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256361. eCollection 2021.

  • Schell CO, Gerdin Warnberg M, Hvarfner A, Hoog A, Baker U, Castegren M, Baker T. The global need for essential emergency and critical care. Crit Care. 2018 Oct 29;22(1):284. doi: 10.1186/s13054-018-2219-2.

  • Crawford AM, Shiferaw AA, Ntambwe P, Milan AO, Khalid K, Rubio R, Nizeyimana F, Ariza F, Mohammed AD, Baker T, Banguti PR, Madzimbamuto F. Global critical care: a call to action. Crit Care. 2023 Jan 20;27(1):28. doi: 10.1186/s13054-022-04296-3.

  • Mekontso Dessap A, Richard JM, Baker T, Godard A, Carteaux G. Technical Innovation in Critical Care in a World of Constraints: Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2023 May 1;207(9):1126-1133. doi: 10.1164/rccm.202211-2174CP.

  • Buowari DY, Owoo C, Gupta L, Schell CO, Baker T; EECC Network Group. Essential Emergency and Critical Care: A Priority for Health Systems Globally. Crit Care Clin. 2022 Oct;38(4):639-656. doi: 10.1016/j.ccc.2022.06.008.

  • Rudd KE, Johnson SC, Agesa KM, Shackelford KA, Tsoi D, Kievlan DR, Colombara DV, Ikuta KS, Kissoon N, Finfer S, Fleischmann-Struzek C, Machado FR, Reinhart KK, Rowan K, Seymour CW, Watson RS, West TE, Marinho F, Hay SI, Lozano R, Lopez AD, Angus DC, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990-2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet. 2020 Jan 18;395(10219):200-211. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32989-7.

  • Haagsma JA, Graetz N, Bolliger I, Naghavi M, Higashi H, Mullany EC, Abera SF, Abraham JP, Adofo K, Alsharif U, Ameh EA, Ammar W, Antonio CA, Barrero LH, Bekele T, Bose D, Brazinova A, Catala-Lopez F, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dargan PI, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Derrett S, Dharmaratne SD, Driscoll TR, Duan L, Petrovich Ermakov S, Farzadfar F, Feigin VL, Franklin RC, Gabbe B, Gosselin RA, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hamadeh RR, Hijar M, Hu G, Jayaraman SP, Jiang G, Khader YS, Khan EA, Krishnaswami S, Kulkarni C, Lecky FE, Leung R, Lunevicius R, Lyons RA, Majdan M, Mason-Jones AJ, Matzopoulos R, Meaney PA, Mekonnen W, Miller TR, Mock CN, Norman RE, Orozco R, Polinder S, Pourmalek F, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Refaat A, Rojas-Rueda D, Roy N, Schwebel DC, Shaheen A, Shahraz S, Skirbekk V, Soreide K, Soshnikov S, Stein DJ, Sykes BL, Tabb KM, Temesgen AM, Tenkorang EY, Theadom AM, Tran BX, Vasankari TJ, Vavilala MS, Vlassov VV, Woldeyohannes SM, Yip P, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yu C, Murray CJ, Vos T. The global burden of injury: incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years and time trends from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013. Inj Prev. 2016 Feb;22(1):3-18. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2015-041616. Epub 2015 Dec 3.

  • Meara JG, Leather AJ, Hagander L, Alkire BC, Alonso N, Ameh EA, Bickler SW, Conteh L, Dare AJ, Davies J, Merisier ED, El-Halabi S, Farmer PE, Gawande A, Gillies R, Greenberg SL, Grimes CE, Gruen RL, Ismail EA, Kamara TB, Lavy C, Lundeg G, Mkandawire NC, Raykar NP, Riesel JN, Rodas E, Rose J, Roy N, Shrime MG, Sullivan R, Verguet S, Watters D, Weiser TG, Wilson IH, Yamey G, Yip W. Global Surgery 2030: evidence and solutions for achieving health, welfare, and economic development. Lancet. 2015 Aug 8;386(9993):569-624. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60160-X. Epub 2015 Apr 26. No abstract available.

  • Murthy S, Wunsch H. Clinical review: International comparisons in critical care - lessons learned. Crit Care. 2012 Dec 12;16(2):218. doi: 10.1186/cc11140.

  • Adhikari NK, Fowler RA, Bhagwanjee S, Rubenfeld GD. Critical care and the global burden of critical illness in adults. Lancet. 2010 Oct 16;376(9749):1339-46. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(10)60446-1. Epub 2010 Oct 11.

  • African COVID-19 Critical Care Outcomes Study (ACCCOS) Investigators. Patient care and clinical outcomes for patients with COVID-19 infection admitted to African high-care or intensive care units (ACCCOS): a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort study. Lancet. 2021 May 22;397(10288):1885-1894. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00441-4.

  • Ilori IU, Kalu QN. Intensive care admissions and outcome at the University of Calabar Teaching Hospital, Nigeria. J Crit Care. 2012 Feb;27(1):105.e1-4. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2011.11.011.

  • Towey RM, Ojara S. Practice of intensive care in rural Africa: an assessment of data from Northern Uganda. Afr Health Sci. 2008 Mar;8(1):61-4. No abstract available.

  • Gombar S, Ahuja V, Jafra A. A retrospective analysis of obstetric patient's outcome in intensive care unit of a tertiary care center. J Anaesthesiol Clin Pharmacol. 2014 Oct;30(4):502-7. doi: 10.4103/0970-9185.142843.

  • Subbe CP, Kruger M, Rutherford P, Gemmel L. Validation of a modified Early Warning Score in medical admissions. QJM. 2001 Oct;94(10):521-6. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/94.10.521.

  • Kause J, Smith G, Prytherch D, Parr M, Flabouris A, Hillman K; Intensive Care Society (UK); Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group. A comparison of antecedents to cardiac arrests, deaths and emergency intensive care admissions in Australia and New Zealand, and the United Kingdom--the ACADEMIA study. Resuscitation. 2004 Sep;62(3):275-82. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2004.05.016.

  • Smith AF, Wood J. Can some in-hospital cardio-respiratory arrests be prevented? A prospective survey. Resuscitation. 1998 Jun;37(3):133-7. doi: 10.1016/s0300-9572(98)00056-2.

  • Kellett J, Deane B. The Simple Clinical Score predicts mortality for 30 days after admission to an acute medical unit. QJM. 2006 Nov;99(11):771-81. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcl112. Epub 2006 Oct 17.

  • Baker T, Blixt J, Lugazia E, Schell CO, Mulungu M, Milton A, Castegren M, Eriksen J, Konrad D. Single Deranged Physiologic Parameters Are Associated With Mortality in a Low-Income Country. Crit Care Med. 2015 Oct;43(10):2171-9. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000001194.

  • Baker T, Gerdin M. The clinical usefulness of prognostic prediction models in critical illness. Eur J Intern Med. 2017 Nov;45:37-40. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2017.09.012. Epub 2017 Sep 19.

  • International Surgical Outcomes Study group. Global patient outcomes after elective surgery: prospective cohort study in 27 low-, middle- and high-income countries. Br J Anaesth. 2016 Oct 31;117(5):601-609. doi: 10.1093/bja/aew316.

  • Pearse RM, Moreno RP, Bauer P, Pelosi P, Metnitz P, Spies C, Vallet B, Vincent JL, Hoeft A, Rhodes A; European Surgical Outcomes Study (EuSOS) group for the Trials groups of the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine and the European Society of Anaesthesiology. Mortality after surgery in Europe: a 7 day cohort study. Lancet. 2012 Sep 22;380(9847):1059-65. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61148-9.

  • Baker T, Schell CO, Lugazia E, Blixt J, Mulungu M, Castegren M, Eriksen J, Konrad D. Vital Signs Directed Therapy: Improving Care in an Intensive Care Unit in a Low-Income Country. PLoS One. 2015 Dec 22;10(12):e0144801. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0144801. eCollection 2015.

  • Bell MB, Konrad D, Granath F, Ekbom A, Martling CR. Prevalence and sensitivity of MET-criteria in a Scandinavian University Hospital. Resuscitation. 2006 Jul;70(1):66-73. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2005.11.011. Epub 2006 Jun 6.

  • Biccard BM, Madiba TE, Kluyts HL, Munlemvo DM, Madzimbamuto FD, Basenero A, Gordon CS, Youssouf C, Rakotoarison SR, Gobin V, Samateh AL, Sani CM, Omigbodun AO, Amanor-Boadu SD, Tumukunde JT, Esterhuizen TM, Manach YL, Forget P, Elkhogia AM, Mehyaoui RM, Zoumeno E, Ndayisaba G, Ndasi H, Ndonga AKN, Ngumi ZWW, Patel UP, Ashebir DZ, Antwi-Kusi AAK, Mbwele B, Sama HD, Elfiky M, Fawzy MA, Pearse RM; African Surgical Outcomes Study (ASOS) investigators. Perioperative patient outcomes in the African Surgical Outcomes Study: a 7-day prospective observational cohort study. Lancet. 2018 Apr 21;391(10130):1589-1598. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30001-1. Epub 2018 Jan 3.

  • ASOS-2 Investigators. Enhanced postoperative surveillance versus standard of care to reduce mortality among adult surgical patients in Africa (ASOS-2): a cluster-randomised controlled trial. Lancet Glob Health. 2021 Oct;9(10):e1391-e1401. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00291-6. Epub 2021 Aug 19.

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Critical Illness

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Disease AttributesPathologic ProcessesPathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms

Study Officials

  • Tim Baker, MBChB; PhD

    Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Co-chief Investigator

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

September 1, 2023

First Posted

September 25, 2023

Study Start

September 1, 2023

Primary Completion

January 3, 2024

Study Completion

January 3, 2024

Last Updated

April 10, 2024

Record last verified: 2024-04

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share

A pragmatic and realistic dataset is fundamental to the success of the study. Data will be collected on paper on one-day in each hospital plus follow-up censored at 7 day.

Shared Documents
STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP, ICF, CSR
Time Frame
Data will be available from the time of publication and for 10 years following publication.
Access Criteria
Contributing researchers and collaborators
More information

Locations