NCT05745129

Brief Summary

The primary objective is to use machine learning methods on large survey and health register data to identify participants with different treatment trajectories and health outcomes after surgical and/or conservative treatment for spinal disorders. Secondary objectives are to 1) conduct external validation of the prediction models, and 2) explore how the prediction models can be implemented into AI-based clinical co-decision tools and interventions.

Trial Health

75
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
165,000

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
32mo left

Started Dec 2021

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
enrolling by invitation

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress63%
Dec 2021Dec 2028

Study Start

First participant enrolled

December 1, 2021

Completed
1.2 years until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

February 1, 2023

Completed
26 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

February 27, 2023

Completed
5.8 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 31, 2028

Expected
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 31, 2028

Last Updated

February 20, 2024

Status Verified

February 1, 2024

Enrollment Period

7.1 years

First QC Date

February 1, 2023

Last Update Submit

February 16, 2024

Conditions

Keywords

prognosistrajectoriesrisk factorsprognostic factorsprognostic modelprediction modelhealth outcomeswork outcomes

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (4)

  • Patient-reported outcomes

    Patient-reported outcome measures included in clinical registers

    depends upon the registry data, but in general between 2008 and 2022

  • Unfavourable outcomes

    Healthcare utilization, reoperation, infection, or other complications after surgery.

    depends upon the registry data, but in general between 2008 and 2022

  • Prescribed medication

    High use of prescribed medication (dispensed drugs)

    depends upon the registry data, but in general between 2008 and 2022

  • Sickness absence

    Sickness absence and disability pension

    depends upon the registry data, but in general between 2008 and 2022

Study Arms (1)

Treatment cohort

Surgical vs conservative treatment. Surgery procedures are based on the NOMESCO Classification of Surgical Procedures (NCSP). Conservative treatment includes all non-surgical treatment methods such as pharmaceutical treatment, physical medicine and physiotherapy modalities (information, patient education, exercise, manual therapy etc), cognitive-behavioural therapy, multidisciplinary treatment, acupuncture, and others (e.g. chiropractic treatment, homeopathy, naprapathy, osteopathy). The results will be described for important spinal subgroups (specific diagnoses, nerve-root affections, and non-specific conditions).

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years - 80 Years
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

patients referred to secondary care for assessment of surgery or not due to disc herniation (lumbar or cervical).

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Oslo Metropolitan University

Oslo, Norge, 0130, Norway

Location

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Low Back PainNeck PainIntervertebral Disc DisplacementIntervertebral Disc DegenerationSpinal StenosisRadiculopathy

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Back PainPainNeurologic ManifestationsSigns and SymptomsPathological Conditions, Signs and SymptomsSpinal DiseasesBone DiseasesMusculoskeletal DiseasesHerniaPathological Conditions, AnatomicalPeripheral Nervous System DiseasesNeuromuscular DiseasesNervous System Diseases

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
OTHER
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Professor

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

February 1, 2023

First Posted

February 27, 2023

Study Start

December 1, 2021

Primary Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2028

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2028

Last Updated

February 20, 2024

Record last verified: 2024-02

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

Locations