Predicting ICU Mortality in ARDS Patients
POSTCARDS
Predicting Mortality in Patients With the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Using Machine Learning
1 other identifier
observational
1,303
1 country
3
Brief Summary
The investigators are planning to perform a secondary analysis of an academic dataset of 1,303 patients with moderate-to-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) included in several published cohorts (NCT00736892, NCT02288949, NCT02836444, NCT03145974), aimed to characterize the best early model to predict duration of mechanical ventilation and mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU) after ARDS diagnosis using machine learning approaches.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Nov 2022
Shorter than P25 for all trials
3 active sites
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
November 1, 2022
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
November 9, 2022
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
November 14, 2022
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
August 1, 2023
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
August 1, 2023
CompletedAugust 21, 2023
August 1, 2023
9 months
November 1, 2022
August 17, 2023
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
ICU mortality
mortality in the intensive care unit
up to 6 months
Secondary Outcomes (1)
MV duration
from ARDS diagnosis to extubation
Study Arms (3)
Derivation cohort
It will contain 700 patients (70% of 1000 ARDS patients)
Validation cohort
It will contain 300 patients (30% of 1000 ARDS patients)
Confirmatory cohort
It will contain 303 patients (for external validation)
Interventions
We will use robust machine learning approaches, such as Random Forest, XGBoost or Neural Networks.
Eligibility Criteria
De-identified dataset including 1,303 patients with moderate/severe ARDS admitted consecutively in a network of Spanish ICUs.
You may qualify if:
- Berlin criteria for moderate to severe ARDS
You may not qualify if:
- Postoperative patients ventilated \<24h; brain death patients.
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- Dr. Negrin University Hospitallead
- Unity Health Torontocollaborator
Study Sites (3)
Hospital Universitario Dr. Negrin
Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas, 35019, Spain
Department of Anesthesia, Hospital Clinic
Barcelona, 08036, Spain
Hospital Universitario La Paz (ICU)
Madrid, 28046, Spain
Related Publications (2)
Villar J, Ambros A, Mosteiro F, Martinez D, Fernandez L, Ferrando C, Carriedo D, Soler JA, Parrilla D, Hernandez M, Andaluz-Ojeda D, Anon JM, Vidal A, Gonzalez-Higueras E, Martin-Rodriguez C, Diaz-Lamas AM, Blanco J, Belda J, Diaz-Dominguez FJ, Rico-Feijoo J, Martin-Delgado C, Romera MA, Gonzalez-Martin JM, Fernandez RL, Kacmarek RM; Spanish Initiative for Epidemiology, Stratification and Therapies of ARDS (SIESTA) Network. A Prognostic Enrichment Strategy for Selection of Patients With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome in Clinical Trials. Crit Care Med. 2019 Mar;47(3):377-385. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000003624.
PMID: 30624279BACKGROUNDHuang B, Liang D, Zou R, Yu X, Dan G, Huang H, Liu H, Liu Y. Mortality prediction for patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome based on machine learning: a population-based study. Ann Transl Med. 2021 May;9(9):794. doi: 10.21037/atm-20-6624.
PMID: 34268407BACKGROUND
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Interventions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Intervention Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Jesús Villar, MD, PhD
Hospital Universitario D. Negrin
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
- PI Title
- principal investigator
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
November 1, 2022
First Posted
November 9, 2022
Study Start
November 14, 2022
Primary Completion
August 1, 2023
Study Completion
August 1, 2023
Last Updated
August 21, 2023
Record last verified: 2023-08
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share