A Clinical Risk Score for Early Management of TB in Uganda
PredicTB
PredicTB: Validating a Clinical Risk Score for Early Management of Tuberculosis in Ugandan Primary Health Clinics
2 other identifiers
interventional
3,332
1 country
1
Brief Summary
Although curative treatment exists, tuberculosis (TB) remains the leading cause of infectious mortality worldwide - often because people seek care for TB symptoms in highly resource-constrained clinics that cannot provide same-day diagnostic testing. The research team has developed an easy-to-use clinical risk score that, if implemented in these settings, might help clinicians identify patients at high risk for TB and thereby start treatment for those patients on the same day. This study will investigate the effectiveness and implementation of this score in four peri-urban clinics in Uganda, providing critical pragmatic data to inform (or halt) the design of a definitive large-scale cluster randomized trial.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for not_applicable
Started Nov 2021
Typical duration for not_applicable
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
Click on a node to explore related trials.
Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
November 1, 2021
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
November 10, 2021
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
November 17, 2021
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
July 15, 2023
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
February 29, 2024
CompletedResults Posted
Study results publicly available
July 23, 2024
CompletedJuly 23, 2024
June 1, 2024
1.7 years
November 1, 2021
May 28, 2024
June 28, 2024
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (2)
Difference in 7-day Treatment Initiation From Pre-implementation to Post-implementation
The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days during post-implementation 'minus' The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days during pre-implementation
Up to 12 months post intervention
Implementation: Percentage of Encountered Patients at Intervention Arm Who Initiated the Same-day Treatment Based on PredicTB Score as Indicated
Percentage of patients who initiated same-day treatment divided by the number of patients who had a higher PredicTB score than the clinic-specific score of treatment threshold in the post-implementation period in intervention arm
Up to 12 months
Secondary Outcomes (8)
Incremental Cost-effectiveness of PredicTB
Months 0 - 12
Difference in TB Mortality From Pre-implementation to Post-implementation
12 Months
Difference in Loss to Care From Pre-implementation To Post-implementation
12 Months
Difference in Percentage of Participants With Microbiologically Confirmed TB
Up to 12 months post-implementation
Reach: Percentage of Patients Who Were Administered (or Evaluated) by PredicTB Score
Up to 12 months
- +3 more secondary outcomes
Study Arms (2)
Score intervention arm
EXPERIMENTALThe PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm.
Control arm
NO INTERVENTIONThe standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Interventions
This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Eligibility Criteria
You may qualify if:
- All adult patients submitting sputum for a new diagnosis of pulmonary TB in the four study clinics and four comparison clinics between month -6 and month 18 will have their records abstracted by study staff.
You may not qualify if:
- Age \< 15 years old
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (1)
Makerere University
Kampala, Uganda
Related Publications (1)
Baik Y, Musoke M, Twinamasiko A, Lamunu M, Nabacwa V, Sanyu A, Robsky KO, Sung J, Kityamuwesi A, Katamba A, Dowdy DW. Effectiveness and Implementation of a Clinical Risk Score for Early Diagnosis of Tuberculosis in Uganda: A Pragmatic, Clustered Randomization Clinical Trial. Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2025 Oct;22(10):1476-1483. doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.202404-422OC.
PMID: 40587503DERIVED
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Results Point of Contact
- Title
- Dr. Yeonsoo Baik
- Organization
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
David W Dowdy, MD/PHD
Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Publication Agreements
- PI is Sponsor Employee
- Yes
Study Design
- Study Type
- interventional
- Phase
- not applicable
- Allocation
- NON RANDOMIZED
- Masking
- NONE
- Purpose
- DIAGNOSTIC
- Intervention Model
- PARALLEL
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
November 1, 2021
First Posted
November 17, 2021
Study Start
November 10, 2021
Primary Completion
July 15, 2023
Study Completion
February 29, 2024
Last Updated
July 23, 2024
Results First Posted
July 23, 2024
Record last verified: 2024-06
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share