Risk Assessment After Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Haemorrhage in Cirrhosis
A Simple Risk Score to Assess Prognosis of Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding in Cirrhosis
1 other identifier
observational
500
1 country
1
Brief Summary
In previous studies, the investigators used retrospective analysis of cases of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with liver cirrhosis from the Fifth Medical Center of the General Hospital of Beijing PLA, China from January 2018 to May 2019. The investigators performed univariate and multivariate analyses of rebleeding risk and death risk based on all data. Then, based on the analysis of 85% of the sampled data, the investigators randomly selected 85% of the patient data to build a model, and then used the remaining 15% of the patient data for model validation. Re-bleeding risk scores and death risk scores were established, respectively. This study intends to prospectively verify the two risk scoring systems described above. After statistical calculations, about 500 patients with liver cirrhosis who plan to undergo emergency gastroscopy for acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding within the next 5 months at the Fifth Medical Center of Beijing General Hospital of China performed in adult patients. The investigators will exclude patients with incomplete or lost follow-up records. Perform patient self-control,using the existing upper gastrointestinal bleeding risk scores (AIMS65, Rockall, and Blatchford) and the previous scoring system model separately, compared with the actual rebleeding rate and mortality for comparison. To verify and revise the rebleeding risk score and death risk score that the investigators constructed earlier.The data were statistical processed by a professional statistician. The establishment of an acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding rebleeding and death risk scoring system for patients with liver cirrhosis can help distinguish patients with high or low risk of rebleeding or death to determine the patient's treatment needs.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Jan 2020
Shorter than P25 for all trials
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
Click on a node to explore related trials.
Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
Study Start
First participant enrolled
January 10, 2020
CompletedFirst Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
January 16, 2020
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
January 21, 2020
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
May 31, 2020
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
June 30, 2020
CompletedFebruary 24, 2020
January 1, 2020
5 months
January 16, 2020
February 20, 2020
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Mortality within 42 days
Mortality within 42 days were calculated.
42 days
Secondary Outcomes (1)
Rebleeding rate within 42 days
42 days
Study Arms (1)
Patient cohort
Different risk score was used to assess the prognosis of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding in cirrhosis.
Interventions
Current risk scores for assessing the prognosis of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding in cirrhosis were used.
New risk scores for assessing the progress of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding in cirrhosis was used.
Eligibility Criteria
Patients with histologically proven cirrhosis or clinical and ultrasonographic data compatible with the diagnosis of cirrhosis were included.
You may qualify if:
- Patients with histologically proven cirrhosis or clinical and ultrasonographic data compatible with the diagnosis of cirrhosis
- Above 18 years old patients
- Clinical evidence of bleeding (hematemesis and/or melena) during the previous 24 hours
- Undergo the emergency endoscopy within 2 hours at admittance to emergency room or in the general ward from the initial evaluation
- Who agree to participate in the study
You may not qualify if:
- Unfit for resuscitation
- Pregnancy and lactation
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (1)
the fifth medical center of PLA General Hospital
Beijing, Beijing Municipality, 100039, China
Related Publications (1)
Saltzman JR, Tabak YP, Hyett BH, Sun X, Travis AC, Johannes RS. A simple risk score accurately predicts in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and cost in acute upper GI bleeding. Gastrointest Endosc. 2011 Dec;74(6):1215-24. doi: 10.1016/j.gie.2011.06.024. Epub 2011 Sep 10.
PMID: 21907980BACKGROUND
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Zheng Lu
Beijing 302 Hospital
Central Study Contacts
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
January 16, 2020
First Posted
January 21, 2020
Study Start
January 10, 2020
Primary Completion
May 31, 2020
Study Completion
June 30, 2020
Last Updated
February 24, 2020
Record last verified: 2020-01