Microvesicles and Monocytes to Predict Mortality of Patients with Cirrhosis
PROMICE
1 other identifier
observational
335
1 country
5
Brief Summary
Chronic liver diseases related to viral hepatitis, metabolic syndrome or excessive alcohol consumption can evolve towards cirrhosis. Cirrhosis is responsible for 170 000 deaths per year in Europe. Initially asymptomatic and called "compensated" it can become "decompensated" with the developement of acute complications such as infections, ascites or variceal bleeding. The transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis is associated with a reduction in survival from 95 to 55% at 1 year. The only curative treatment for cirrhosis is liver transplantation (LT). Liver transplants are allocated according to the severity of the patients. Despite a modest prognostic value (area under the ROC curve = 0.7 to predict the risk of death), graft allocation is based on the MELD (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease) score including INR, bilirubin and serum creatinine. In 2014, 11.5% of registered patients died on the liver transplant waiting list, illustrating the need for biomarkers that predict death and improve MELD-based prediction. Microvesicles are membrane vesicles released in extracellular space during cell activation or apoptosis. Our team showed that circulating levels of hepatocyte microvesicles increase with the severity of cirrhosis and predict survival at 6 months independently of MELD score in a cohort of 242 patients with cirrhosis. Type 1 interferons (IFN-1) are mediators of inflammation, which is excessively activated in cirrhosis. Our team has shown that a gene signature (IFN score) measured in the immune cells of 101 patients with cirrhosis is able to predict 6 month-survival independently of the MELD score. Thus, the investigators hypothesize that a composite score combining the level of circulating hepatocyte microvesicles, the IFN score and the MELD score could improve the prediction of survival in patients with severe cirrhosis. The aim of this study is to compare the prognostic performance for the cumulative incidence of death at 6 months of a composite score including MELD, hepatocyte microvesicle level and IFN score with that of the MELD score alone, in patients with Child B or C cirrhosis, considering liver transplantation as a competitive risk. To address this question, peripheral blood from 335 patients with Child B or C cirrhosis will be obtained and hepatocyte microvesicle levels and IFN score will be measured using ELISA/filtration and Real Time-quantitative PCR.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Jun 2019
Longer than P75 for all trials
5 active sites
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
February 8, 2019
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
February 12, 2019
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
June 12, 2019
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
July 5, 2023
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
February 29, 2024
CompletedDecember 20, 2024
December 1, 2024
4.1 years
February 8, 2019
December 18, 2024
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Compare the prognostic performance for the cumulative incidence of death at 6 months of a composite score including MELD, hepatocyte microvesicle concentration and IFN score to that of the MELD alone, considering LT as a competitive risk
AUROC of the composite score including MELD, hepatocyte microvesicle and IFN score for predicting the cumulative incidence of death at 6 months (considering liver transplantation (LT) as a competitive risk) compared to the AUROC of the MELD score alone
6 months
Secondary Outcomes (16)
Compare the prognostic performance for the cumulative incidence of death at 12 months of a composite MELD-microvesicles-IFN score to that of the MELD alone, considering liver transplantation as a competitive risk
12 months
Compare the prognostic performance for the cumulative incidence of death post-LT, of the composite MELD-microvesicles-IFN score to that of the MELD alone, in patients with Child B or C cirrhosis transplanted during the 12 months following the inclusion
One month post LT
Compare the prognostic performance for episodes of "Acute on Chronic Liver Failure", of the composite MELD-microvesicles-IFN score to the MELD score alone, considering LT and death as competitive risks at 6 and 12 months
6 months and 12 months
Determine whether this composite score improves prediction of the cumulative incidence of death of patients with Child B or C cirrhosis, compared to the MELD score alone, using the continuous version of the Net Reclassification Index (NRI)
6 months and 12 months
Compare the prognostic performance for the cumulative incidence of death of a MELD-microvesicles-IFN score to that of the MELD-Na score, considering LT as a competitive event at 6 and 12 months
6 months and 12 months
- +11 more secondary outcomes
Eligibility Criteria
Patients aged over 18 and under 90 with stable Child B or C cirrhosis
You may qualify if:
- Age between 18 and 90 years
- Child-Pugh B or Child-Pugh C cirrhosis diagnosed on the basis of one or several of the following elements :
- Liver Biopsy
- Liver stiffness\>15kPa measured by Fibroscan
- Combination of clinical, laboratory and imaging criteria characteristic of cirrhosis (association of signs of portal hypertension, liver failure and abnormal liver morphology in a patient with at least one cause of cirrhosis)
You may not qualify if:
- Alcoholic hepatitis in the previous month
- History of porto-systemic shunt or liver transplant
- Primary sclerosing cholangitis
- Primary biliary cirrhosis
- Budd-Chiari Syndrome
- Hepatocellular carcinoma outside the Milan criteria contraindicating transplantation
- Active extrahepatic neoplasia
- HIV or known immune deficiency or immunosuppressive treatment
- Pregnant or breastfeeding woman
- Protected populations: persons under guardianship or curatorship
- Patient not affiliated to social security
- Patient who did not signed consent
- Ongoing participation in an intervention research whose protocol could, according to the literature, modify the release of hepatocyte microvesicles or the IFN score
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (5)
Avicenne Hospital
Bobigny, France
Beaujon hospital
Clichy, France
La Pitié Salpêtrière hospital
Paris, France
De La Fontaine hospital
Saint-Denis, France
Foch hospital
Suresnes, France
Biospecimen
Plasma and RNA
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Emmanuel WEISS, MD, PhD
Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
February 8, 2019
First Posted
February 12, 2019
Study Start
June 12, 2019
Primary Completion
July 5, 2023
Study Completion
February 29, 2024
Last Updated
December 20, 2024
Record last verified: 2024-12
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share