NCT07783230

Brief Summary

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic lung disease characterized by progressive scarring. Sometimes, patients experience a sudden and severe worsening of their symptoms, known as an acute exacerbation (AE-IPF), which carries a high risk of mortality. Currently, doctors lack reliable bedside tools at the time of hospital admission to predict which patients will improve with standard care and which will require early escalation of treatment. This prospective observational study aims to determine if simple, widely available blood tests can be used as biomarkers to predict patient outcomes during an acute exacerbation. Researchers will focus on complete blood count (CBC)-derived inflammatory indexes, which are calculated ratios of different types of blood cells (such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio). Participants hospitalized with AE-IPF will have their blood cell counts and oxygen levels (PaO2/FiO2 ratio) monitored on days 0 (admission), 3, 7, and 14. The study will evaluate the correlation between the change in these inflammatory indexes and the change in oxygen levels over the first week of hospitalization. Additionally, it will assess how accurately the admission blood test values, compared to the changes seen by day 3, can predict in-hospital clinical deterioration (such as the need for a ventilator, transfer to the intensive care unit, or death). The aim is to find out if tracking changes in these simple blood test indexes can provide clinicians with a cost-effective, early-warning tool to guide treatment decisions for patients suffering from AE-IPF.

Trial Health

65
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Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
70

participants targeted

Target at P25-P50 for all trials

Timeline
13mo left

Started Sep 2026

Status
not yet recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

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Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

August 20, 2026

Completed
4 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

August 24, 2026

Completed
8 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

September 1, 2026

Expected
1 year until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

September 1, 2027

1 month until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

October 1, 2027

Last Updated

August 24, 2026

Status Verified

August 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

1 year

First QC Date

August 20, 2026

Last Update Submit

August 20, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

Idiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisAcute ExacerbationComplete Blood CountBiomarkersInflammatory IndexesNeutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Change in Ratio of Arterial Oxygen Partial Pressure to Fractional Inspired Oxygen (PaO2/FiO2)

    The PaO2/FiO2 ratio assesses hypoxemia and lung function. The outcome is the absolute change in this ratio, calculated as: (PaO2/FiO2 on day 7) - (PaO2/FiO2 on day 0). For patients who die before day 7, the worst (lowest) PaO2/FiO2 value recorded prior to death is used as the day-7 value. For patients discharged before day 7, the value on the day of discharge is carried forward.

    Baseline

Study Arms (1)

Hospitalized AE-IPF Cohort

Adult patients (18 years or older) with an established diagnosis of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) admitted to the hospital for an acute exacerbation of IPF (AE-IPF) within 72 hours of symptomatic worsening. The cohort will be observed for changes in complete blood count (CBC)-derived inflammatory indices (such as NLR, MLR, PLR, SII, SIRI, AISI, and PIV) and PaO2/FiO2 ratio over a specified interval (days 0, 3, 7, and 14). Standard treatment exposures, including steroids, antibiotics, and antifibrotics, will also be recorded.

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

The study population consists of adult patients (18 years of age or older) with an established diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) who are admitted to a tertiary referral center (Assiut University Hospitals) for an acute exacerbation of IPF within 72 hours of symptomatic worsening.

You may qualify if:

  • Age 18 years or older.
  • Established diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis per the 2023 ATS/ERS/JRS/ALAT clinical practice guideline, based on a multidisciplinary assessment incorporating clinical features, high-resolution computed tomography pattern, and, where available, surgical lung biopsy.
  • Hospital admission for acute exacerbation of IPF meeting the 2016 International Working Group criteria: previous or concurrent IPF diagnosis; acute worsening or development of dyspnea of less than one month duration; computed tomography showing new bilateral ground-glass abnormality or consolidation superimposed on a background pattern of usual interstitial pneumonia; deterioration not fully explained by cardiac failure or fluid overload and triggered exacerbations would be included.
  • Admission within 72 hours of symptomatic worsening.
  • Written informed consent from the patient or legally authorized representative.

You may not qualify if:

  • Alternative explanation for acute respiratory deterioration confirmed at or shortly after admission, including but not limited to microbiologically confirmed bacterial pneumonia with positive blood or respiratory culture, computed-tomography-confirmed pulmonary embolism, cardiogenic pulmonary edema with elevated brain natriuretic peptide and supportive echocardiographic findings, or pneumothorax.
  • Interstitial lung disease attributable to a defined cause: connective-tissue-disease-associated ILD, chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis, occupational pneumoconiosis, sarcoidosis, or drug-induced ILD.
  • Active solid or hematologic malignancy, including any malignancy under active treatment within the preceding 12 months.
  • Receipt of cytotoxic chemotherapy, radiotherapy, or non-IPF immunosuppressive therapy (excluding maintenance corticosteroid at prednisolone-equivalent $\\le$ 10 mg daily) within the preceding 30 days.
  • Primary hematologic disorder altering the complete blood count, including leukemia, lymphoma, myelodysplastic syndrome, aplastic anemia, or known immune-mediated cytopenia.
  • Anticipated transfer to another facility within 72 hours of admission.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Pulmonary FibrosisLung Diseases, InterstitialLung DiseasesRespiratory Tract Diseases

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Resident at Chest Department

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

August 20, 2026

First Posted

August 24, 2026

Study Start (Estimated)

September 1, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

September 1, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

October 1, 2027

Last Updated

August 24, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-08