Independent, External, Blinded Retrospective Validation of an AI-based Prognostic Assay in ER-Positive/HER2-Negative Early Breast Cancer
ABCSG TR Spotlight: Validation of an Artificial Intelligence-based Prognostic Assay in ER+/HER2- Breast Cancer
1 other identifier
observational
2,200
1 country
1
Brief Summary
This retrospective observational study evaluates the prognostic performance of a locked Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based assay in patients with Estrogen Receptor (ER)-positive, Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-negative early breast cancer (EBC) from Austrian Breast \& Colorectal Cancer Study Group (ABCSG)-8, with extended follow-up from ABCSG-16 where available. ABCSG will provide digitized hematoxylin and eosin (H\&E) slides and required baseline clinicopathologic variables to Spotlight Medical without outcome data for blinded assay inference. ABCSG will then perform the prespecified statistical analyses linking assay outputs to clinical outcomes.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Apr 2026
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
Study Start
First participant enrolled
April 1, 2026
CompletedFirst Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
April 10, 2026
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
April 21, 2026
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
March 31, 2027
ExpectedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
March 31, 2028
April 21, 2026
April 1, 2026
12 months
April 10, 2026
April 16, 2026
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Time to distant recurrence
Association of the continuous assay score and predefined risk categories with time to distant recurrence.
From ABCSG-8 randomization to distant recurrence, assessed up to 15 years.
Secondary Outcomes (2)
Disease-free survival
From ABCSG-8 randomization to first disease-free survival event, assessed up to 15 years.
Overall survival
From ABCSG-8 randomization to death from any cause, assessed up to 15 years.
Other Outcomes (3)
Early distant recurrence (0 to 5 years)
From ABCSG-8 randomization to distant recurrence within 5 years after randomization.
Late distant recurrence (>5 years, landmark analysis)
From 5 years after ABCSG-8 randomization to distant recurrence, assessed from year 5 up to 15 years after randomization.
Treatment-by-assay interaction for distant recurrence
From ABCSG-8 randomization to distant recurrence, assessed up to 15 years.
Study Arms (1)
Eligible ABCSG-8 cohort
Eligible patients from ABCSG-8 within the ER-positive/HER2-negative validation population, with available tumor material for H\&E digitization and required baseline clinicopathologic variables, and with extended clinical follow-up from ABCSG-16 where available.
Interventions
A locked AI-based assay applied to one digitized H\&E-stained surgical resection slide and routine baseline clinicopathologic variables to generate a continuous prognostic score and predefined risk categories.
Eligibility Criteria
Postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive early breast cancer enrolled in ABCSG-8, restricted in this validation study to the ER-positive/HER2-negative subgroup with available archived tumor material and required baseline clinicopathologic variables.
You may qualify if:
- Female patients enrolled in ABCSG-8
- Postmenopausal patients with ER-positive/HER2-negative early invasive breast cancer
- Available archived primary tumor material suitable for H\&E slide digitization
- Available required baseline clinicopathologic variables or variables derivable according to the prespecified statistical analysis plan
You may not qualify if:
- No suitable archived primary tumor material for H\&E slide digitization
- Missing required baseline clinicopathologic variables not recoverable according to the prespecified statistical analysis plan
- No analyzable follow-up for the endpoint of interest
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- Spotlight Medicallead
- Austrian Breast & Colorectal Cancer Study Groupcollaborator
Study Sites (1)
Medical University of Vienna, Center of Cancer Research
Vienna, Austria
Related Publications (3)
Bidard FC, Gessain G, Bachelot T, Frechin L, Vincent-Salomon A, Drubay D, Lemonnier J, Walter T, Penault-Llorca F, Martin AL, Gaudin C, Bichat A, Sassi F, Berlemont S, Chavez-MacGregor M, Rugo HS, Badoual C, Pistilli B, Ribeiro J, Di Meglio A, Lacroix-Triki M, Vaz Luis I, Lerousseau M, Andre F. Identifying Patients With Low Relapse Rate Despite High-Risk Estrogen Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative Early Breast Cancer: Development and Validation of a Clinicopathologic Assay. J Clin Oncol. 2025 Oct;43(28):3090-3101. doi: 10.1200/JCO-25-00742. Epub 2025 Aug 22.
PMID: 40845255BACKGROUNDGnant M, Fitzal F, Rinnerthaler G, Steger GG, Greil-Ressler S, Balic M, Heck D, Jakesz R, Thaler J, Egle D, Manfreda D, Bjelic-Radisic V, Wieder U, Singer CF, Melbinger-Zeinitzer E, Haslbauer F, Sevelda P, Trapl H, Wette V, Wimmer K, Gampenrieder SP, Bartsch R, Kacerovsky-Strobl S, Suppan C, Brunner C, Deutschmann C, Soelkner L, Fesl C, Greil R; Austrian Breast and Colorectal Cancer Study Group. Duration of Adjuvant Aromatase-Inhibitor Therapy in Postmenopausal Breast Cancer. N Engl J Med. 2021 Jul 29;385(5):395-405. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2104162.
PMID: 34320285BACKGROUNDDubsky PC, Jakesz R, Mlineritsch B, Postlberger S, Samonigg H, Kwasny W, Tausch C, Stoger H, Haider K, Fitzal F, Singer CF, Stierer M, Sevelda P, Luschin-Ebengreuth G, Taucher S, Rudas M, Bartsch R, Steger GG, Greil R, Filipcic L, Gnant M. Tamoxifen and anastrozole as a sequencing strategy: a randomized controlled trial in postmenopausal patients with endocrine-responsive early breast cancer from the Austrian Breast and Colorectal Cancer Study Group. J Clin Oncol. 2012 Mar 1;30(7):722-8. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2011.36.8993. Epub 2012 Jan 23.
PMID: 22271481BACKGROUND
Biospecimen
Archived pseudonymized primary breast tumor material from ABCSG-8 used to prepare H\&E-stained slides for digitization. No additional biospecimens are collected for this study.
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- STUDY CHAIR
Michael Gnant, Univ.-Prof. Dr.
Medical University of Vienna
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Martin Filipits, Assoc.Prof.Univ.-Doz.Mag.Dr.
Medical University of Vienna
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- RETROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- INDUSTRY
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
April 10, 2026
First Posted
April 21, 2026
Study Start
April 1, 2026
Primary Completion (Estimated)
March 31, 2027
Study Completion (Estimated)
March 31, 2028
Last Updated
April 21, 2026
Record last verified: 2026-04
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share