NCT07330297

Brief Summary

This study aims to develop a non-invasive diagnostic method for metabolic syndrome (MetS) and metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) through analysis of exhaled air. Using proton-transfer-reaction mass spectrometry combined with machine learning algorithms, we will characterize volatile organic compound profiles in 300 participants across three groups: MetS patients, MHO patients, and healthy controls. The primary goal is to create and validate a classification model capable of accurately differentiating these metabolic states based on breath analysis.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
300

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
8mo left

Started Sep 2024

Typical duration for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

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Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress72%
Sep 2024Dec 2026

Study Start

First participant enrolled

September 19, 2024

Completed
1.3 years until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

December 29, 2025

Completed
11 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

January 9, 2026

Completed
5 months until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

June 1, 2026

Expected
7 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 30, 2026

Last Updated

January 9, 2026

Status Verified

December 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

1.7 years

First QC Date

December 29, 2025

Last Update Submit

December 29, 2025

Conditions

Keywords

Breath AnalysisVolatile Organic CompoundsProton-Transfer-Reaction Mass SpectrometryArtificial IntelligenceMachine LearningMetabolic syndromeObesityMetabolically healthy obesity

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (3)

  • Specificity of the combined PTR-MS and machine learning model.

    Specificity (true negative rate) of the diagnostic model, based on the analysis of exhaled breath VOCs by PTR-MS and subsequent machine learning classification, for distinguishing between participants with Metabolic Syndrome, Metabolically Healthy Obesity, and healthy controls. The value will be reported with a 95% confidence interval.

    Through study completion, after all participant samples are collected and the final model is validated (anticipated within 1 year).

  • Sensitivity of the combined PTR-MS and machine learning model.

    Sensitivity (true positive rate) of the diagnostic model, based on the analysis of exhaled breath Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) by Proton Transfer Reaction Mass Spectrometry (PTR-MS) and subsequent machine learning classification, for distinguishing between participants with Metabolic Syndrome, Metabolically Healthy Obesity, and healthy controls. The value will be reported with a 95% confidence interval.

    Through study completion, after all participant samples are collected and the final model is validated (anticipated within 1 year).

  • Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) of the combined PTR-MS and machine learning model.

    The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) as a composite measure of the diagnostic performance of the model based on PTR-MS breath analysis and machine learning. The AUC will be calculated for pairwise comparisons between the three study groups (Metabolic Syndrome vs. Metabolically Healthy Obesity; Metabolic Syndrome vs. Control; Metabolically Healthy Obesity vs. Control) and reported with a 95% confidence interval.

    Through study completion, after all participant samples are collected and the final model is validated (anticipated within 1 year).

Secondary Outcomes (1)

  • Identification of specific Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) patterns.

    Through study completion, after mass spectrometric data processing and database search are completed (anticipated within 1 year).

Study Arms (3)

Metabolic Syndrome Group

100 patients diagnosed with Metabolic Syndrome according to International Diabetes Federation (IDF) 2006 criteria.

Diagnostic Test: Breath Sampling and Analysis by PTR-MS

Metabolically Healthy Obesity Group

100 patients with waist circumference ≥94 cm (men)/≥80 cm (women), but without other components of Metabolic Syndrome (hypertension, dyslipidemia, impaired fasting glucose).

Diagnostic Test: Breath Sampling and Analysis by PTR-MS

Control Group

100 individuals with normal BMI and no signs of Metabolic Syndrome.

Diagnostic Test: Breath Sampling and Analysis by PTR-MS

Interventions

A single sample of exhaled breath will be collected from each participant during quiet breathing. The sample will be analyzed in real-time using Proton-Transfer-Reaction Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometry (Compact PTR-TOF-MS 1000, Ionicon, Austria) to identify and quantify the spectrum of volatile organic compounds (VOCs).

Control GroupMetabolic Syndrome GroupMetabolically Healthy Obesity Group

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersYes
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

The study population consists of adults (≥18 years) from three groups: 1) Patients with Metabolic Syndrome (IDF, 2005 criteria), 2) Patients with metabolically healthy obesity (BMI≥30, no metabolic abnormalities), and 3) Healthy controls (BMI\<25, no metabolic disorders).

You may qualify if:

  • For Group 1 (Metabolic syndrome): Age \>18 years, signed informed consent, diagnosis of Metabolic Syndrome (IDF 2006 criteria: waist circumference \>94 cm (men)/ \>80 cm (women) + ≥2 of: BP ≥130/85 mmHg or antihypertensive therapy; TG ≥1.7 mmol/L; HDL-C \<1.03 mmol/L (men) / \<1.29 mmol/L (women); Fasting glucose ≥5.6 mmol/L).
  • For Group 2 (Metabolically healthy obesity): Age \>18 years, signed informed consent, waist circumference ≥94 cm (men) / ≥80 cm (women), absence of other Metabolic Syndrome criteria (hypertension, dyslipidemia, impaired fasting glucose).
  • For Group 3 (Control): Age \>18 years, signed informed consent, normal BMI, absence of signs of Metabolic Syndrome.
  • Inability to provide informed consent;
  • History of myocardial infarction or stroke;
  • Chronic kidney disease stage 3B, 4, 5 (eGFR \<30 ml/min/1.73m2);
  • Acute or subacute cardiovascular disease;
  • Familial hypercholesterolemia;
  • Bronchopulmonary diseases;
  • Acute or chronic infectious diseases;
  • Type 1 or Type 2 diabetes mellitus;
  • Systemic connective tissue diseases;
  • Current or past history of oncological diseases;
  • Severe liver dysfunction, decompensated liver cirrhosis (Child-Pugh class C);
  • Pregnancy or lactation;
  • +2 more criteria

You may not qualify if:

  • Patient refusal to continue participation in the study;

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

University Clinical Hospital №1, Sechenov University

Moscow, Russia

RECRUITING

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Metabolic SyndromeObesityOverweightObesity, Metabolically Benign

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Insulin ResistanceHyperinsulinismGlucose Metabolism DisordersMetabolic DiseasesNutritional and Metabolic DiseasesOvernutritionNutrition DisordersBody WeightSigns and SymptomsPathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
CROSS SECTIONAL
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

December 29, 2025

First Posted

January 9, 2026

Study Start

September 19, 2024

Primary Completion (Estimated)

June 1, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 30, 2026

Last Updated

January 9, 2026

Record last verified: 2025-12

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

IPD will not be available for public sharing. The local Ethics Committee and national data protection laws do not permit public deposition of individual patient data. The informed consent does not include such provisions.

Locations