Prospective Validation of the SWEET Tool for Pre-diction of Preintervention ERCP Procedure Time.
1 other identifier
observational
363
1 country
1
Brief Summary
Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is a frequently performed procedure worldwide. The procedure combines endoscopy and X-ray imaging to diagnose and treat problems in the bile and pancreatic ducts, most commonly stones or strictures. Until the recent publication of Waldthaler et al., there was little evidence about what patient- and procedure-related factors determine a priori the duration of an ERCP. Data from 74 248 ERCPs performed from 2010 to 2019 were extracted from the Swedish National Quality Registry (GallRiks) to identify variables predictive for ERCP time using linear regression analyses and root mean squared error (RMSE) as a loss function. Ten variables were combined to create an estimation tool for ERCP duration: the SWedish Estimation of ERCP Time (SWEET) tool. Having a predictive tool for estimating the procedure time of an invasive endoscopic procedure offers several valuable benefits across clinical, operational, and patient-centered domains: improved scheduling and resource allocation by optimized operating room and endos-copy suite scheduling, reduced delays and less overbooking or underutilization. It helps allocate the right number of staff (nurses, anesthesiologists) based on procedure complexity and minimizes unexpected extensions that lead to staff fatigue or overtime pay.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Dec 2025
1 active site
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Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
November 14, 2025
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
December 1, 2025
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
December 2, 2025
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
December 1, 2027
ExpectedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
December 1, 2027
December 2, 2025
October 1, 2025
2 years
November 14, 2025
November 26, 2025
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (2)
Accuracy of the time an ERCP procedure will take between the SWEET tool and the prediction of the endoscopist
Accuracy of the SWEET (SWedish Estimation of ERCP Time) tool for predicting of ERCP preintervention procedure time compared to the prediction by the endoscopist.
From signing the ICF till end of the ERCP procedure.
Accuracy of the time the ERCP procedure will take between the SWEET tool and real time
Accuracy of the SWEET (SWedish Estimation of ERCP Time) tool for predicting of ERCP preintervention procedure time compared to the measured real time.
From signing the ICF till end of the ERCP procedure.
Secondary Outcomes (1)
Predictors of Overestimation or Underestimation of ERCP Procedure Time (Difference in Minutes)
from signing the ICF till end of the ERCP procedure.
Study Arms (1)
ERCP group
Interventions
Eligibility Criteria
Adult patients receiving an ERCP
You may qualify if:
- Age \> 18 years
- First or redo-ERCP
- Intraductal endoscopy
- ERCPs performed by fellows under supervision
You may not qualify if:
- ERCPs in altered anatomy
- ERCPs combined with therapeutic EUS interventions
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (1)
UZ Brussel
Brussels, Belgium
MeSH Terms
Interventions
Intervention Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Central Study Contacts
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- CASE ONLY
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
November 14, 2025
First Posted
December 2, 2025
Study Start
December 1, 2025
Primary Completion (Estimated)
December 1, 2027
Study Completion (Estimated)
December 1, 2027
Last Updated
December 2, 2025
Record last verified: 2025-10
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share