NCT07199127

Brief Summary

Duodenal cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related mortality in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP), yet the current Spigelman staging system provides limited predictive accuracy for advanced neoplasia. The DRACO study (Duodenal Risk Assessment in adenomatous polyposis Coli -Oncogene) is a multicenter, STROBE- and CONSORT-compliant cohort study that analyzes upper endoscopies from genetically confirmed FAP patients across independent cohorts to develop, validate, and externally test two multivariable risk models.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
300

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
45mo left

Started Feb 2018

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

2 active sites

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress69%
Feb 2018Jan 2030

Study Start

First participant enrolled

February 2, 2018

Completed
7.6 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

August 25, 2025

Completed
28 days until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

September 22, 2025

Completed
8 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

September 30, 2025

Completed
4.3 years until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

January 15, 2030

Expected
Last Updated

September 30, 2025

Status Verified

September 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

7.6 years

First QC Date

September 22, 2025

Last Update Submit

September 22, 2025

Conditions

Keywords

SpigelmanDuodenal Polyposis

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Sensitivity

    True Positivity Rate: the probability of a positive test result, conditioned on the individual truly developing duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia or adenocarcinoma

    Through study completion, on average 5 years

Secondary Outcomes (2)

  • Specificity

    Through study completion, on average 5 years

  • Proportion of correct predictions (true positives and true negatives) among the total cases (i.e., accuracy)

    Through study completion, on average 5 years

Study Arms (6)

Individuals with duodenal advanced neoplasia (Training cohort)

Individuals who developed biopsy-confirmed duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or adenocarcinoma after the index EGD, within the training cohort (aka, cases)

Diagnostic Test: DRACO

Individuals with duodenal advanced neoplasia (validation cohort)

Individuals who developed biopsy-confirmed duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or adenocarcinoma after the index EGD, within the validation cohort (aka, cases)

Diagnostic Test: DRACO

Individuals with duodenal advanced neoplasia (Testing cohort)

Individuals who developed biopsy-confirmed duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or adenocarcinoma after the index EGD, within the testing cohort (aka, cases)

Diagnostic Test: DRACO

Individuals without duodenal advanced neoplasia (Training cohort)

Individuals who remained free from duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia and adenocarcinoma after the index EGD, within the training cohort (aka, controls)

Diagnostic Test: DRACO

Individuals without duodenal advanced neoplasia (Validation cohort)

Individuals who remained free from duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia and adenocarcinoma after the index EGD, within the validation cohort (aka, controls)

Diagnostic Test: DRACO

Individuals without duodenal advanced neoplasia (Testing cohort)

Individuals who remained free from duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia and adenocarcinoma after the index EGD, within the testing cohort (aka, controls)

Diagnostic Test: DRACO

Interventions

DRACODIAGNOSTIC_TEST

A novel endoscopic classification to predict the risk of duodenal and ampullary high-grade dysplasia and cancer from baseline esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD)

Also known as: Duodenal Risk Assessment in adenomatous polyposis Coli Oncogene
Individuals with duodenal advanced neoplasia (Testing cohort)Individuals with duodenal advanced neoplasia (Training cohort)Individuals with duodenal advanced neoplasia (validation cohort)Individuals without duodenal advanced neoplasia (Testing cohort)Individuals without duodenal advanced neoplasia (Training cohort)Individuals without duodenal advanced neoplasia (Validation cohort)

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

Individuals with familial adenomatous polyposis, defined by a pathogenic/likely pathogenic germline Adenonomatous Polyposis Coli (APC) gene variant, undergoing surveillance for duodenal polyposis using esophagogastroduondeoscopy (EGD)

You may qualify if:

  • Confirmed germline diagnosis of FAP, as defined by genetic testing
  • Two or more upper gastrointestinal endoscopies
  • Complete documentation of all Spigelman classification variables at each endoscopic evaluation

You may not qualify if:

  • Histological grading of duodenal polyps incomplete
  • Follow-up data were unavailable
  • Duodenal surgery before study baseline endoscopy

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (2)

IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele

Milan, MI, 20129, Italy

RECRUITING

Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori

Milan, 20133, Italy

RECRUITING

Related Publications (4)

  • Bulow S, Christensen IJ, Hojen H, Bjork J, Elmberg M, Jarvinen H, Lepisto A, Nieuwenhuis M, Vasen H. Duodenal surveillance improves the prognosis after duodenal cancer in familial adenomatous polyposis. Colorectal Dis. 2012 Aug;14(8):947-52. doi: 10.1111/j.1463-1318.2011.02844.x.

    PMID: 21973191BACKGROUND
  • Zaffaroni G, Mannucci A, Koskenvuo L, de Lacy B, Maffioli A, Bisseling T, Half E, Cavestro GM, Valle L, Ryan N, Aretz S, Brown K, Buttitta F, Carneiro F, Claber O, Blanco-Colino R, Collard M, Crosbie E, Cunha M, Doulias T, Fleming C, Heinrich H, Huneburg R, Metras J, Nagtegaal I, Negoi I, Nielsen M, Pellino G, Ricciardiello L, Sagir A, Sanchez-Guillen L, Seppala TT, Siersema P, Striebeck B, Sampson JR, Latchford A, Parc Y, Burn J, Moslein G. Updated European guidelines for clinical management of familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP), MUTYH-associated polyposis (MAP), gastric adenocarcinoma, proximal polyposis of the stomach (GAPPS) and other rare adenomatous polyposis syndromes: a joint EHTG-ESCP revision. Br J Surg. 2024 May 3;111(5):znae070. doi: 10.1093/bjs/znae070.

    PMID: 38722804BACKGROUND
  • Mannucci A, Puzzono M, Goel A, Moslein G, Balafas S, Di Serio MS, Cavestro GM. The Spigelman Staging System and the Risk of Duodenal and Papillary Cancer in Familial Adenomatous Polyposis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Am J Gastroenterol. 2024 Apr 1;119(4):617-624. doi: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000002688. Epub 2024 Jan 31.

    PMID: 38294150BACKGROUND
  • Karstensen JG, Bulow S, Hojen H, Jelsig AM, Jespersen N, Andersen KK, Wewer MD, Burisch J, Pommergaard HC. Cancer in Patients With Familial Adenomatous Polyposis: A Nationwide Danish Cohort Study With Matched Controls. Gastroenterology. 2023 Sep;165(3):573-581.e3. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2023.05.010. Epub 2023 May 16.

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Duodenal NeoplasmsAdenomatous Polyposis Coli

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Intestinal NeoplasmsGastrointestinal NeoplasmsDigestive System NeoplasmsNeoplasms by SiteNeoplasmsDigestive System DiseasesGastrointestinal DiseasesDuodenal DiseasesIntestinal DiseasesAdenomatous PolypsAdenomaNeoplasms, Glandular and EpithelialNeoplasms by Histologic TypeColorectal NeoplasmsNeoplastic Syndromes, HereditaryColonic DiseasesIntestinal PolyposisGenetic Diseases, InbornCongenital, Hereditary, and Neonatal Diseases and Abnormalities

Study Officials

  • Marco Vitellaro, M.D.

    Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milano

    STUDY CHAIR

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
CASE CONTROL
Time Perspective
RETROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

September 22, 2025

First Posted

September 30, 2025

Study Start

February 2, 2018

Primary Completion

August 25, 2025

Study Completion (Estimated)

January 15, 2030

Last Updated

September 30, 2025

Record last verified: 2025-09

Locations