NCT07158554

Brief Summary

One in three adults over 65 fall annually, with one in five remaining on the floor for greater than one hour, which is referred to as a long lie. Pressure on the National Health Service has resulted in extended stays in the Emergency Department (ED) (sometimes longer than 12 hours) and prolonged ambulance response times. This impacts the older adults who have fallen and remain on the floor. This project aims to develop a risk prediction model (RPM) for use within the ED to understand which older adults (60 years or older) who fall over and remain on the floor for longer than one hour ("long lie") and develop rhabdomyolysis (a serious condition where muscle breaks down and releases substances into the blood that can damage the kidneys) will develop poor outcomes and need admission to hospital for treatment and which patients can be safely discharged home. Aim: To develop a RPM to identify which older adults who have a fall and a long lie and attend the ED develop poor outcomes such as Acute kidney Injury (AKI) \[kidneys suddenly stop working properly\], needing kidney replacement therapy (KRT) \[a treatment that helps kidneys that aren't working properly do their job of cleaning the blood\] and mortality \[death\]. Objectives:

  1. 1.Abstract patient level data (e.g. biochemical, demographic, situational, medical history, medication history) from medical records combined with outcomes to understand which variables lead to poor outcomes such as AKI, needing KRT and mortality.
  2. 2.Analyse the data using a statistical package (Statistical Package for Social Sciences \[SPSS\]) to develop a RPM with good discriminative abilities \[how well the score can tell high-risk from low-risk patients\].
  3. 3.Demonstrate the ability of the RPM to identify which patients need admission to hospital with treatment and which patients can be safely discharged home.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
1,000

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
1mo left

Started Jan 2026

Shorter than P25 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress88%
Jan 2026Aug 2026

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

August 28, 2025

Completed
11 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

September 8, 2025

Completed
4 months until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

January 1, 2026

Completed
8 months until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

August 31, 2026

Expected
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

August 31, 2026

Last Updated

July 7, 2026

Status Verified

September 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

8 months

First QC Date

August 28, 2025

Last Update Submit

July 2, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

The REED ScoreRhabdomyolysisEmergency DepartmentLong Lie

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (3)

  • Number of participants with an Acute Kidney Injury (AKI)

    AKI defined by the KDIGO criteria

    30 days

  • Number of participants needing Kidney Replacement Therapy (KRT)

    The number of participants needing KRT within 30 days of the index event

    30 days

  • The number of participants who die

    The number of participants who die within 30 days of the index event

    30 days

Study Arms (1)

Older Adults

Adults aged 60 or older who have a fall and remain immobilised for \>1 hour

Eligibility Criteria

Age60 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

NHS Emergency Department in England

You may qualify if:

  • years old or older at time of ED presentation
  • Developed rhabdomyolysis (defined as CK \>999U/L)
  • Have had a fall and been / suspected to have been on the floor / immobilised in one position for \> 59 minutes.

You may not qualify if:

  • Patient opted out of research studies via the National Data Opt Out (NDOO) Service.
  • Principal Investigator (PI) had clinical input into patient care.
  • Other causes of elevated creatine kinase (e.g. seizures, acute coronary syndromes, burns, myositis, muscular dystrophy, cardiac arrest)

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Southend University Hospital

Westcliff-on-Sea, Essex, SS0 0RY, United Kingdom

RECRUITING

MeSH Terms

Conditions

RhabdomyolysisDeathAcute Kidney InjuryEmergencies

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Muscular DiseasesMusculoskeletal DiseasesPathologic ProcessesPathological Conditions, Signs and SymptomsRenal InsufficiencyKidney DiseasesUrologic DiseasesFemale Urogenital DiseasesFemale Urogenital Diseases and Pregnancy ComplicationsUrogenital DiseasesMale Urogenital DiseasesDisease Attributes

Study Officials

  • Ashley Reed, MSc MResCP BSc (Hons)

    University of Salford

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Central Study Contacts

Ashley Reed, MSc MResCP BSc (Hons)

CONTACT

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
RETROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

August 28, 2025

First Posted

September 8, 2025

Study Start

January 1, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

August 31, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

August 31, 2026

Last Updated

July 7, 2026

Record last verified: 2025-09

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share

A fully anonymised dataset will be made available for other researchers via the University of Salford Research Repository (Figshare)

Shared Documents
CSR
Time Frame
Likely available September 2027 - stored for 10 years, until Sept 2037
Access Criteria
It will be anonymised and is open access to use for research purposes
More information

Locations