NCT07111273

Brief Summary

This multicenter prospective cohort study aims to evaluate whether a \>50% decrease or normalization of both quantitative fecal immunochemical test (qFIT) and fecal calprotectin (FC) levels at 2 weeks after starting conventional therapy (mesalazine or corticosteroids) can predict clinical relapse or need for biologic/JAK inhibitor therapy escalation by 52 weeks in biologic-naive patients with active ulcerative colitis (UC). Secondary objectives include assessing predictive value at 4 weeks, building dynamic prediction models, conducting health economic evaluation (Number Needed to Test, NNT), and exploring baseline predictors of early biomarker response. Patients will be observed during standard care with stool samples collected at Weeks 0, 2, and 4. Biomarker results will be blinded to clinicians/patients until study completion.

Trial Health

63
Monitor

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
100

participants targeted

Target at P50-P75 for all trials

Timeline
8mo left

Started Aug 2025

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
not yet recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

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Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress54%
Aug 2025Dec 2026

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

July 30, 2025

Completed
2 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

August 1, 2025

Completed
7 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

August 8, 2025

Completed
1.1 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

August 31, 2026

Expected
4 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 30, 2026

Last Updated

August 8, 2025

Status Verified

August 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

1.1 years

First QC Date

July 30, 2025

Last Update Submit

August 6, 2025

Conditions

Keywords

ulcerative colitisfecal calprotectinFITbiologic-naive

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Composite Endpoint Rate (Clinical Relapse OR Treatment Escalation)

    Proportion of patients experiencing either: 1) Clinical Relapse: Increase ≥2 points in partial Mayo Score (stool frequency + rectal bleeding + PGA) with rectal bleeding subscore ≥1 requiring therapy adjustment, OR 2) Treatment Escalation: Initiation of any biologic agent (e.g., infliximab, adalimumab, vedolizumab, ustekinumab) or JAK inhibitor due to steroid-refractoriness (failure to respond by Week 4) or steroid-dependence (relapse during/after steroid taper within 3 months) as per standardized protocol.

    From enrollment to Week 52 (±2 weeks)

Secondary Outcomes (5)

  • Time to First Composite Endpoint Event

    From enrollment to Week 52 (±2 weeks)

  • Proportion with Corticosteroid-Free Clinical Remission

    Week 52 (±2 weeks)

  • Diagnostic Performance (AUC) of Week 2 Biomarker Response

    Week 2 prediction assessed at Week 52

  • Number Needed to Test (NNT)

    Week 52 (±2 weeks)

  • Diagnostic Performance (AUC) of Biomarker Change Slope Models

    Weeks 0-2 and Weeks 0-4 slopes assessed at Week 52

Interventions

FC and FIT TEST at WEEK0 2 4

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years - 75 Years
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodProbability Sample
Study Population

Ulcerative Colitis patints come to clinic or ward of hospitals.

You may qualify if:

  • Age 18-75 years.
  • Established diagnosis of Ulcerative Colitis (UC) confirmed by clinical, endoscopic, and histopathological criteria.
  • Endoscopic disease activity (Mayo Endoscopic Subscore ≥ 2) confirmed by colonoscopy during screening.
  • Biologic-naive (no prior exposure to any biologic agent \[e.g., infliximab, adalimumab, vedolizumab, ustekinumab\] or JAK inhibitor).
  • No use of systemic corticosteroids (oral or intravenous) within 4 weeks prior to Baseline (Week 0) visit.
  • If using oral or rectal mesalazine/5-ASA preparations, dose must have been stable for ≥2 weeks prior to Baseline (Week 0).
  • Willing and able to provide written informed consent.

You may not qualify if:

  • Diagnosis or high suspicion of Crohn's disease, ischemic colitis, infectious colitis, radiation colitis, intestinal tuberculosis, or other types of colitis.
  • Presence of other conditions clearly causing intestinal bleeding (e.g., acute hemorrhoidal bleeding, colorectal cancer, large colorectal polyps \>1cm, intestinal vascular malformations).
  • Untreated systemic conditions that may cause intestinal bleeding (e.g., thrombocytopenia \[PLT \<50 x 10\^9/L\], severe coagulopathy).
  • Regular use of antiplatelet agents (e.g., aspirin, clopidogrel) or anticoagulants (e.g., warfarin, rivaroxaban).
  • Pregnancy or lactation.
  • Any other condition deemed by the investigator to make the patient unsuitable for study participation.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Shandong University

Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China

Location

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Colitis, Ulcerative

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

ColitisGastroenteritisGastrointestinal DiseasesDigestive System DiseasesInflammatory Bowel DiseasesColonic DiseasesIntestinal Diseases

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Target Duration
14 Weeks
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
M.D

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

July 30, 2025

First Posted

August 8, 2025

Study Start

August 1, 2025

Primary Completion (Estimated)

August 31, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 30, 2026

Last Updated

August 8, 2025

Record last verified: 2025-08

Locations