NCT07082530

Brief Summary

The investigators are committed to identifying the optimal timing of delivery for low-risk pregnancies. While current guidelines typically recommend induction at 41 weeks, emerging evidence suggests that elective induction at 39 weeks may lead to improved maternal and neonatal outcomes. The U.S.-based ARRIVE trial demonstrated that induction at 39 weeks significantly reduced cesarean delivery rates compared to expectant management, and a similar randomized controlled trial (French-ARRIVE) is ongoing in France. However, population-specific evidence for the Chinese population remains lacking. This study is designed to establish a prospective cohort of low-risk pregnant women in China, comparing the effects of induction at 39 weeks, induction at 41 weeks, and expectant management on cesarean section rates and other maternal and neonatal outcomes. In addition, multi-omics technologies will be employed to analyze cord blood samples-including metabolomics and proteomics-to identify early biomarkers potentially associated with long-term child health. The study will begin with a pilot phase to assess feasibility and inform operational strategies for large-scale implementation. The ultimate goal of this project is to generate evidence tailored to the Chinese population to support more individualized decision-making, improve clinical outcomes, and enhance maternal and neonatal safety.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
1,074

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for not_applicable

Timeline
14mo left

Started Jul 2025

Typical duration for not_applicable

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

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Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress40%
Jul 2025Jun 2027

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

June 25, 2025

Completed
29 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

July 24, 2025

Completed
6 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

July 30, 2025

Completed
1.4 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 30, 2026

Expected
6 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

June 30, 2027

Last Updated

February 25, 2026

Status Verified

February 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

1.4 years

First QC Date

June 25, 2025

Last Update Submit

February 22, 2026

Conditions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Incidence of cesarean section

    The proportion of deliveries completed by cesarean section

    Delivery day

Secondary Outcomes (41)

  • Composite incidence of severe neonatal morbidity and perinatal mortality

    Hospital discharge (Day 2-3)

  • Emergency Cesarean Rate

    Delivery day

  • Category 1 Emergency Cesarean Rate

    Delivery day

  • Category 2 Emergency Cesarean Rate

    Delivery day

  • Elective Cesarean Rate

    Delivery day

  • +36 more secondary outcomes

Other Outcomes (4)

  • Gut microbiota development

    Meconium, first 48 hours, 7 days, 3 weeks, 6 weeks, 3 months, and 6 months

  • Fecal metabolomic characteristics

    Meconium, first 48 hours, 7 days, 3 weeks, 6 weeks, 3 months, and 6 months

  • Cord blood metabolomic characteristics

    Delivery day

  • +1 more other outcomes

Study Arms (2)

Induction group

EXPERIMENTAL

Labor induction at 39 weeks 0 days to 39 weeks 4 days

Procedure: Labor Induction at 39 Weeks

Control group

ACTIVE COMPARATOR

Expectant management until spontaneous labor or induction at 41 weeks

Procedure: Expectant management

Interventions

Labor induction at 39 weeks 0 days to 39 weeks 4 days

Induction group

Expectant management until spontaneous labor or induction at 41 weeks.

Control group

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexfemale
Healthy VolunteersYes
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)

You may qualify if:

  • Age ≥18 years.
  • Singleton pregnancy or twin pregnancy reduced to singleton before 14 weeks.
  • Gestational age between 38 weeks 4 days or 39 weeks 3 days at randomization.
  • Eligible for vaginal delivery with a desire for vaginal birth.
  • Reliable gestational age determination.
  • Maternal and fetal conditions assessed as favorable by at least two senior obstetricians, with no indications requiring delivery before 41 weeks.
  • Ability to understand study information and provide informed consent.

You may not qualify if:

  • First-trimester ultrasound estimate \>13 weeks 6 days.
  • Planned induction before 41 weeks.
  • Planned cesarean delivery or contraindications to vaginal delivery.
  • Already delivered, in labor, or ruptured membranes at enrollment.
  • Placenta previa, vasa previa, placenta accreta, or placental abruption.
  • Contraindications to induction (e.g., cervical cancer, history of uterine rupture, genital tract malformations, abnormal fetal position, cord prolapse).
  • Active vaginal bleeding exceeding spotting.
  • History of cesarean delivery or uterine/cervical surgery.
  • Cervical cerclage during this pregnancy.
  • Maternal conditions not suitable for expectant management beyond 39 weeks (e.g., pregestational diabetes, gestational diabetes requiring insulin, hypertensive disorders, intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy).
  • Fetal conditions not suitable for expectant management beyond 39 weeks (e.g., fetal death, major anomalies, growth restriction, macrosomia, anemia, oligohydramnios, polyhydramnios).
  • Maternal infections or positive screenings for sexually transmitted pathogens or group B Streptococcus.
  • Planned delivery at a non-study facility.
  • Participation in another intervention study affecting delivery management.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Women's Hospital School of Medicine Zhejiang University

Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310006, China

RECRUITING

MeSH Terms

Interventions

Watchful Waiting

Intervention Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Outcome Assessment, Health CareOutcome and Process Assessment, Health CareQuality of Health CareHealth Services Administration

Study Officials

  • Dan Zhang, Ph. D.

    Key Laboratory of Reproductive Genetics, Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Central Study Contacts

Huajing Gao, MD Candidate

CONTACT

Study Design

Study Type
interventional
Phase
not applicable
Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Masking
NONE
Purpose
TREATMENT
Intervention Model
PARALLEL
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

June 25, 2025

First Posted

July 24, 2025

Study Start

July 30, 2025

Primary Completion (Estimated)

December 30, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

June 30, 2027

Last Updated

February 25, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-02

Locations