AI-Based Prediction of HCC Recurrence Patterns After Resection (APAR)
Prospective Validation of Multimodal Deep Learning Models for Predicting Recurrence Patterns in Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Resection: A Natural Treatment Cohort Stratification Study
1 other identifier
observational
353
1 country
1
Brief Summary
This observational study aims to validate a deep learning model for predicting aggressive recurrence patterns in patients with early-stage liver cancer (HCC) after surgery. The main question it aims to answer is: Can the AI model accurately identify patients at high risk of cancer recurrence within 2 years after surgery? Participants will provide clinical data and undergo standard surgery, followed by 2-year imaging surveillance. Their data will be used for both AI prediction and validation of recurrence patterns.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Jun 2025
Typical duration for all trials
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
Study Start
First participant enrolled
June 10, 2025
CompletedFirst Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
July 2, 2025
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
July 14, 2025
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
June 10, 2026
ExpectedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
June 10, 2028
September 3, 2025
June 1, 2025
1 year
July 2, 2025
August 26, 2025
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Accuracy of AI Model in Predicting Aggressive HCC Recurrence (AUC)
The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the multimodal deep learning model (PRE/POST) for predicting postoperative recurrence beyond Milan criteria within 2 years after resection, validated against actual imaging/histopathology-confirmed recurrence patterns. Unit : Dimensionless (0-1)
2 years post-surgery
Secondary Outcomes (2)
Recurrence-Free Survival (RFS)
Up to 3 years
Overall Survival (OS)
Up to 5 years
Other Outcomes (1)
Therapeutic Efficacy in Exploratory Cohort
Up to 1 years
Study Arms (2)
Surgery-Only Validation Cohort
Patients with early-stage HCC (BCLC 0-A) receiving curative liver resection without neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapy . Preoperative MRI, clinical data and pathological data will be used for AI model prediction of recurrence risk. Standard follow-up imaging for 2 years will validate model accuracy.
Exploratory Treatment Cohort
Patients with early-stage HCC receiving real-world neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapies (per physician discretion) alongside surgery. Treatment regimens and outcomes (RFS/OS) will be analyzed to assess therapy efficacy in model-stratified high/low-risk subgroups.
Interventions
Standard radical hepatectomy performed according to 2024 HCC guidelines. No neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapies administered. Follows institutional surgical protocols for BCLC 0-A HCC.
Curative resection combined with clinically indicated therapies (e.g., TACE, targeted drugs, immunotherapy) as per treating physician's decision. Treatments recorded but not protocol-mandated.
Eligibility Criteria
This study will enroll patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (BCLC 0-A) scheduled for curative liver resection at tertiary academic medical centers in China. Participants will be consecutively recruited from hepatobiliary surgery clinics, with preoperative MRI and postoperative pathology confirmation of HCC. The population reflects real-world clinical practice, including both surgery-only patients and those receiving neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapies per physician discretion.
You may qualify if:
- Aged 18-75 years, regardless of gender.
- BCLC stage 0-A, scheduled for curative liver resection.
- Preoperative clinical diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
- Availability of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI within 1 month before surgery, with acceptable image quality.
- Child-Pugh liver function score ≤7.
- ECOG Performance Status (PS) 0-1.
- No severe organic diseases of the heart, lungs, brain, or other vital organs.
You may not qualify if:
- Concurrent other malignancies (except cured non-melanoma skin cancer or cervical carcinoma in situ).
- Postoperative pathology confirms non-HCC diagnosis.
- Pregnant or lactating women.
- History of organ transplantation.
- Inability to comply with the study protocol or follow-up schedule.
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- Tongji Hospitallead
Study Sites (1)
Tongji Hospital
Wuhan, Hubei, 430030, China
Central Study Contacts
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
- PI Title
- professor
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
July 2, 2025
First Posted
July 14, 2025
Study Start
June 10, 2025
Primary Completion (Estimated)
June 10, 2026
Study Completion (Estimated)
June 10, 2028
Last Updated
September 3, 2025
Record last verified: 2025-06
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share