NCT06970509

Brief Summary

Endoscopic esophageal variceal ligation combined with gastric variceal embolization using tissue glue is currently the first-choice method for preventing rebleeding in patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension. However, the rebleeding rate remains relatively high. Factors such as extra-luminal vascular bundles in the esophagus and stomach walls, and portosystemic shunts significantly affect the therapeutic outcomes. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop an individualized treatment model for esophagogastric varices based on the anatomical and hemodynamic characteristics of the varices, to stratify patient risks and provide tailored treatment options. Before the treatment of esophagogastric varices, the vascular characteristics of esophagogastric varices are assessed based on imaging data such as portal venous CT and ultrasound, as well as clinical information. Risk factors influencing bleeding from esophagogastric varices are explored, and an endoscopic and interventional variceal stratification and treatment model is constructed to provide patients with personalized options for endoscopic or interventional therapy. During the treatment of esophagogastric varices, precise endovascular embolization of the source branch vessels of esophagogastric varices is performed based on hemodynamic models. The safety and efficacy of this treatment strategy are verified through randomized controlled clinical trials. After the treatment of esophagogastric varices, the feasibility of reducing the risk of rebleeding in patients with poor endoscopic outcomes is examined by using drugs that lower portal venous pressure, such as carvedilol or novel oral anticoagulants. Factors influencing recompensation and reversal of portal hypertension are also clarified.

Trial Health

77
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
1,450

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
80mo left

Started Mar 2025

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

10 active sites

Status
recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

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Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress15%
Mar 2025Dec 2032

Study Start

First participant enrolled

March 1, 2025

Completed
2 months until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

May 6, 2025

Completed
8 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

May 14, 2025

Completed
2.6 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

December 1, 2027

Expected
5 years until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 1, 2032

Last Updated

May 14, 2025

Status Verified

May 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

2.8 years

First QC Date

May 6, 2025

Last Update Submit

May 6, 2025

Conditions

Keywords

Endoscopic Treatment

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Gastrointestinal bleeding

    Gastrointestinal bleeding within 1 year

    1 year

Secondary Outcomes (2)

  • Gastrointestinal bleeding

    6 months, 3 years, and 5 years

  • The occurrence of clinical events

    6 months, 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years

Study Arms (2)

Esophagogastric Variceal Characterization Model for Portal Hypertension Patients

We have previously preliminarily constructed an automatic segmentation model for intra- and extra-luminal esophageal vessels. This model was validated in the portal venous CT scans of 52 patients with cirrhosis and esophagogastric varices, yielding Dice, Jaccard, 95HD, and ASD scores of 0.903, 0.841, 5.428, and 0.959, respectively, indicating good segmentation performance of the model. To meet the requirements for feature extraction, modeling, and machine learning based on omics characteristics, at least 450 patients are needed. Based on the patient admission situation at our center, we plan to enroll 250 patients in the training set for modeling and 100 patients in the internal validation set, following a 2.5:1 allocation ratio. Other research centers are expected to enroll 100 patients as the external validation group.

Endoscopic and Pharmacological Therapy Prognostic Prediction Model

Taking anticoagulant use as an example, the incidence of portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in patients with portal hypertension is approximately 10-25%. The use of anticoagulant drugs can significantly improve the recanalization of portal vein thrombosis (hazard ratio = 1.3) and improve patient prognosis. With a 1:1 ratio of the two groups, a significance level of 0.05, and a power of 0.9, and following up for 180 days on events such as thrombus recanalization and rupture bleeding of esophageal and gastric varices, the sample size calculation formula for a two-sided test indicates that each group requires 448 cases. Considering a 10% dropout rate, 500 patients will be included in the personalized treatment group for varices and 500 in the traditional treatment group, totaling 1000 patients. Among them, our hospital plans to complete 700 cases, and the multicenter units will complete 300 cases.

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

The data for the training group and internal validation group were derived from patients with portal hypertension and esophagogastric varices who visited Fudan University Zhongshan Hospital from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2024. The enrolled patients were randomly divided into the training group and internal validation group at a ratio of 3:1. The external validation group was sourced from patients with portal hypertension and esophagogastric varices who visited participating institutions from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2024.

You may qualify if:

  • Confirmed diagnosis of portal hypertension;
  • Underwent imaging and endoscopic examination or treatment within one week after admission;
  • Endoscopy revealed the presence of esophageal and/or gastric varices.

You may not qualify if:

  • CT image slice thickness does not meet the requirements or there are artifacts;
  • Endoscopy shows no presence of esophageal and/or gastric varices;
  • Presence of severe life-threatening diseases of the circulatory, hematological, or respiratory systems;
  • Lack of important historical medical information or other relevant data.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (10)

Southern Medical University Nanfang Hospital

Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

RECRUITING

The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University

Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

RECRUITING

The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University

Nanchang, Jiangxi, China

RECRUITING

People's Liberation Army Northern Theater General Hospital

Shenyang, Liaoning, China

RECRUITING

Qilu Hospital of Shandong University

Jinan, Shandong, China

RECRUITING

Shandong Provincial Hospital

Jinan, Shandong, China

RECRUITING

Renji Hospital, Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine

Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality, 200000, China

RECRUITING

Shanghai Changzheng Hospital

Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality, 200000, China

RECRUITING

Shanghai East Hospital

Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality, 200000, China

RECRUITING

Zhongshan Hospital

Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality, 200000, China

RECRUITING

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Esophageal and Gastric VaricesHypertension, Portal

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Esophageal DiseasesGastrointestinal DiseasesDigestive System DiseasesLiver Diseases

Study Officials

  • Shiyao Chen, Ph.D.

    Shanghai Zhongshan Hospital

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Central Study Contacts

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

May 6, 2025

First Posted

May 14, 2025

Study Start

March 1, 2025

Primary Completion (Estimated)

December 1, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 1, 2032

Last Updated

May 14, 2025

Record last verified: 2025-05

Locations