NCT06952764

Brief Summary

The occurrence of seizures in epilepsy is not entirely random. Temporal patterns that organize the occurrence of seizures over weeks and months were previously unraveled using intracranial EEG System (IEEG) that monitors epileptic brain activity chronically. Seizures typically recur with patient-specific periodicity and are preceded by increases of epileptic brain activity over days. Here, the investigators developed new methods to forecast seizure likelihoods at a 24-h horizon. In this trial, participants will be provided with daily estimates about their upcoming risk of seizures. As a primary outcome, the performance of forecasts will be evaluated against the occurrence of electrographic seizures. As secondary outcome, the forecast's potential benefit for users in conveying actionable information in real-life will be assessed.

Trial Health

75
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
14

participants targeted

Target at below P25 for not_applicable

Timeline
33mo left

Started May 2025

Longer than P75 for not_applicable

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
enrolling by invitation

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress28%
May 2025Dec 2028

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

April 23, 2025

Completed
8 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

May 1, 2025

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

May 1, 2025

Completed
3 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

April 30, 2028

Expected
8 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 31, 2028

Last Updated

May 1, 2025

Status Verified

April 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

3 years

First QC Date

April 23, 2025

Last Update Submit

April 23, 2025

Conditions

Keywords

Seizure forecasting

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Forecast performance

    Performance of double-blinded (covert phase) IEEG-forecasts. Performance is quantified as the area-under-the sensitivity vs. time in warning curve (AUC) and double-tested statistically in a pairwise manner against shuffled chance-forecasts and participant's self-forecasts.

    At least on the first 10 seizures since enrollment. Expected within 6-12 months from enrollment.

Secondary Outcomes (4)

  • Maintenance of forecast performance

    At least 8 seizures during the overt phase, expected to last 6-12 months

  • Informativity

    Throughout the open-label (6-12 months) and withdrawal phase (3-6 months)

  • QOLIE-31

    Upon completion of the study after 18-30 months.

  • Actionability

    End of open-label phase after 12-24 months.

Other Outcomes (1)

  • Seizure rate

    Upon completion of each phase, after 6-12, 12-24 and 18-30 months.

Study Arms (2)

IEEG-forecast

EXPERIMENTAL

Potentially informative seizure forecast.

Other: Seizure risk forecast

Control-forecast

ACTIVE COMPARATOR

Uninformative control seizure forecast.

Other: Control seizure risk forecast

Interventions

Participants are provided with daily risk estimates about upcoming seizure likelihood.

IEEG-forecast

Participant receive uninformative control forecast

Control-forecast

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)

You may qualify if:

  • Adult with diagnosed pharmacoresistant epilepsy and at least one self-reported seizure in the last 12 months.
  • Patients previously implanted with the RNS System, on stable detection settings enabling reliable detection of electrographic seizures.
  • Patients willing and able to keep a diary, issue self-forecasts, and follow instructions.
  • Home equipped with an internet connection.
  • Informed Consent signed by the subject

You may not qualify if:

  • Insufficient number of electrographic seizures or insufficient forecasting performance in the training phase.
  • Women pregnant at the time of recruitment (later pregnancy not a contra-indication)
  • Subjects with a history of psychogenic non-epileptic seizures
  • Clinically significant concomitant disease states (e.g., renal failure, hepatic dysfunction, cardiovascular disease, etc.)
  • Vulnerable subjects, including severe cognitive impairment precluding informed consent
  • Drug or alcohol addiction
  • Subjects who are unable (i.e., mentally or physically impaired patients) or do not have the necessary assistance, to properly operate the device system.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

University of California, San Francisco

San Francisco, California, 94143, United States

Location

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Epilepsy

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Brain DiseasesCentral Nervous System DiseasesNervous System Diseases

Study Officials

  • Maxime O Baud, MD, PhD

    Department of Neurology, Inselspital Bern

    STUDY CHAIR

Study Design

Study Type
interventional
Phase
not applicable
Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Masking
QUADRUPLE
Who Masked
PARTICIPANT, CARE PROVIDER, INVESTIGATOR, OUTCOMES ASSESSOR
Purpose
SUPPORTIVE CARE
Intervention Model
CROSSOVER
Model Details: Three sequential phases: 1. Covert phase: double-blinded (participant, investigator) 2. Overt phase: open-label 3. Withdrawal phase: double-blinded (participant, investigator), randomized, controlled, cross-over withdrawal of seizure forecast
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

April 23, 2025

First Posted

May 1, 2025

Study Start

May 1, 2025

Primary Completion (Estimated)

April 30, 2028

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2028

Last Updated

May 1, 2025

Record last verified: 2025-04

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will share

The individual participant data can be shared by the investigators upon study completion based on a reasonable request.

Shared Documents
STUDY PROTOCOL, SAP, ICF, ANALYTIC CODE
Time Frame
The data will be shared 2-4 years after study start and up to a duration of 10 years.
Access Criteria
Researcher will be able to access the data.

Locations