NCT06872775

Brief Summary

The purpose of this study is to test the accuracy of using RNA in blood as a way to forecast new fracture healing outcome.

Trial Health

75
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
110

participants targeted

Target at P50-P75 for all trials

Timeline
28mo left

Started Aug 2025

Typical duration for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

7 active sites

Status
enrolling by invitation

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress23%
Aug 2025Aug 2028

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

March 3, 2025

Completed
9 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

March 12, 2025

Completed
6 months until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

August 25, 2025

Completed
3 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

August 24, 2028

Expected
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

August 24, 2028

Last Updated

January 16, 2026

Status Verified

January 1, 2026

Enrollment Period

3 years

First QC Date

March 3, 2025

Last Update Submit

January 14, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

Traumatic FractureAppendicular skeletonlong boneNormal healingdelayed healingnonunion or non-union or non unionperipheral bloodprognosis

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (2)

  • Proportion of subjects with correct predicted outcome

    The proportion of Subjects who have a correctly prognosed Fracture Healing Outcome (Normal Healing vs. Delayed Healing vs Nonunion) via RNA in peripheral blood when captured during four specific Windows: 1. 0 - ≤7 Days post-injury; and/or 2. 8 - ≤14 days post-injury; and/or 3. 15 - ≤42 Days post-injury; and/or 4. 43 - ≤84 Days post-injury as compared to clinically determined outcomes up to 270 Days post-injury.

    0 - 270 days

  • Intra-Patient Correlation

    The intra-patient correlation of RNA-biomarker-driven prognostic calls made by the blinded statistician across windows for those patients who contribute \>1 specimen for RNA-biomarker analysis.

    0 - 270 days

Study Arms (1)

New Traumatic Fractures

Anyone age 18 or over presenting to participating sites for care of new, traumatic appendicular fractures.

Other: Blood draws to assess RNA expression levels

Interventions

None. Standard of Care (SOC) only.

New Traumatic Fractures

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

All patients who provide blood samples and whose clinically determined fracture outcome is known.

You may qualify if:

  • To be eligible to participate in this study, a potential subject must meet ALL of the following criteria:
  • Provision of informed consent for study participation for self in the English language as indicated by a signed and dated, current, and IRB-approved Informed Consent Form (ICF) from
  • patients making their own SOC clinical decisions prior to the time of the 1st blood sample collection, or
  • persons initially unable to make their own SOC clinical decisions, who regain capacity to make clinical care decisions after study blood sample collection during the enrollment window and/or before hospital discharge.
  • Patient is expected to receive follow-up SOC fracture care at the Site.
  • Either biological sex at birth (i.e., male or female).
  • Any self-determined gender or sexual preference.
  • Any race and/or ethnicity combination.
  • Age 18 years or older at the time of enrollment; no maximum age.
  • Body weight estimated to be or measured at ≥110 lbs.
  • Presentation for care within 7 calendar days of injury for at least one new traumatic fracture of any bone in the appendicular skeleton with or without additional fractures of the appendicular or axial skeleton and with or without any other traumatic injuries.
  • A qualifying fracture:
  • May be open or closed as locally defined per SOC.
  • May be displaced or non-displaced per SOC.
  • Must result from blunt or penetrating trauma.
  • +15 more criteria

You may not qualify if:

  • An individual who meets ANY of the following criteria will be excluded from participation in this study:
  • Enrolled in another research study that requires any study-specific blood draws from 0 - ≤84 Days post-injury or a study that prohibits co-enrollment of any kind.
  • Traumatic injuries at presentation are limited to soft tissue injuries and/or axial skeletal fractures.
  • The presentation appendicular fractures is a result of pathological not traumatic mechanism
  • Any other circumstances that in the opinion of the PI would either put the successful completion of the study at risk, and/or which makes study participation unduly burdensome to the Subject.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (7)

University of California, Davis Medical Center

Sacramento, California, 95817, United States

Location

Indiana University

Bloomington, Indiana, 47401-3654, United States

Location

University of Missouri

Columbia, Missouri, 65211-0001, United States

Location

Wake Forest University Health Sciences/Advocate Health

Charlotte, North Carolina, 28203, United States

Location

University of Pennsylvania

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 19104, United States

Location

Vanderbilt University Medical Center

Nashville, Tennessee, 37232, United States

Location

University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston

Houston, Texas, 77030-5400, United States

Location

Biospecimen

Retention: SAMPLES WITHOUT DNA

Venous blood will be collected into PAXgene Blood RNA Tubes which protect and stabilize RNA but not other molecules like DNA.

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Fractures, Bone

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Wounds and Injuries

Study Officials

  • Samir Mehta, MD

    University of Pennsylvania

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
  • Annamarie D Horan, MPA, PhD

    University of Pennsylvania

    STUDY DIRECTOR

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

March 3, 2025

First Posted

March 12, 2025

Study Start

August 25, 2025

Primary Completion (Estimated)

August 24, 2028

Study Completion (Estimated)

August 24, 2028

Last Updated

January 16, 2026

Record last verified: 2026-01

Locations