NCT06029387

Brief Summary

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading cause of mortality in western countries. Coronary computed tomography angiography (cCTA) is the first-line imaging test in patients with suspected obstructive CAD. However, in most patients, cCTA shows non-obstructive CAD. The management of patients with non-obstructive CAD is unclear. This is due to the lack of cCTA-based methods capable to assess the risk of disease progression towards developing major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) based on the atherosclerosis characteristics of each patient. A solution for prognostication in these patients is particularly appealing since it could allow to identify patients who can benefit of a more aggressive medical treatment and management, thus improving outcome. Proposed methods, which include qualitative evaluations such as the identification of adverse atherosclerotic plaque characteristics or quantitative evaluations such as the quantification of atherosclerotic plaque burden, may in some cases suffer of limited reproducibility between operators and software. Most importantly, each single biomarker is insufficient to accurately predict patient risk, hence potential synergic integration of cCTA and clinical biomarkers is the key to efficiently guide the personalization of patient's management. Furthermore, the few risk stratification methods that have been proposed are not designed to work on platforms capable of deploying the solution to other clinical settings, promoting prospective or external validation

Trial Health

87
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
3,000

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
Completed

Started Jul 2023

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
completed

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Start

First participant enrolled

July 31, 2023

Completed
1 month until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

September 1, 2023

Completed
7 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

September 8, 2023

Completed
1.2 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

November 14, 2024

Completed
Same day until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

November 14, 2024

Completed
Last Updated

January 15, 2026

Status Verified

December 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

1.3 years

First QC Date

September 1, 2023

Last Update Submit

January 14, 2026

Conditions

Keywords

Coronary Computed Tomography AngiographyMajor adverse cardiovascular eventsArtificial IntelligenceProportional Hazards

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • composite outcome 1

    death by cardiovascular events or non-fatal myocardial infarction

    36 months from CCTA examination

Secondary Outcomes (1)

  • composite outcome 2

    36 months from CCTA examination

Other Outcomes (1)

  • change of atherosclerotic burden

    12 months from CCTA examination

Study Arms (2)

Retrospective cohort

The retrospective cohort will include 2500 patients who underwent a clinically indicated cCTA examination for CAD evaluation. Duration of enrollment: enrollment of patients via a telephone call will last 15 months starting from the beginning of the study (month 0). Duration of total follow-up: no follow-up is planned. Duration of total study period: total retrospective study duration will be 30 months

Prospective cohort

The prospective cohort will include 500 patients undergoing a clinically indicated cCTA for CAD evaluation. Duration of enrollment: enrollment of patients at the time of cCTA examination will last 12 months. Duration of total follow-up: each patient will be followed up for 36 months from the date of the cCTA. Duration of total study period: total prospective study duration will be 54 months (last patient enrolled at month 12 + 36 months of follow-up + 6 months for data analysis).

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

Patients undergoing clinically indicated cCTA for suspected CAD

You may qualify if:

  • Patients with cCTA performed for CAD assessment

You may not qualify if:

  • Refusal to participate in the study
  • Age \<18 years old
  • Presence of other cardiovascular comorbidities (e.g. severe valvulopathies; non-ischemic cardiomyopathies; etc.)

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

IRCCS San Raffaele

Milan, 20132, Italy

Location

Related Publications (17)

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    PMID: 29305348BACKGROUND
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    PMID: 29217341BACKGROUND
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    PMID: 36199447BACKGROUND
  • Symons R, Morris JZ, Wu CO, Pourmorteza A, Ahlman MA, Lima JA, Chen MY, Mallek M, Sandfort V, Bluemke DA. Coronary CT Angiography: Variability of CT Scanners and Readers in Measurement of Plaque Volume. Radiology. 2016 Dec;281(3):737-748. doi: 10.1148/radiol.2016161670. Epub 2016 Sep 16.

    PMID: 27636027BACKGROUND
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    PMID: 33867303BACKGROUND
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    PMID: 36140578BACKGROUND
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    PMID: 35083303BACKGROUND
  • Han D, Lin A, Kuronuma K, Tzolos E, Kwan AC, Klein E, Andreini D, Bax JJ, Cademartiri F, Chinnaiyan K, Chow BJW, Conte E, Cury RC, Feuchtner G, Hadamitzky M, Kim YJ, Leipsic JA, Maffei E, Marques H, Plank F, Pontone G, Villines TC, Al-Mallah MH, de Araujo Goncalves P, Danad I, Gransar H, Lu Y, Lee JH, Lee SE, Baskaran L, Al'Aref SJ, Yoon YE, Van Rosendael A, Budoff MJ, Samady H, Stone PH, Virmani R, Achenbach S, Narula J, Chang HJ, Min JK, Lin FY, Shaw LJ, Slomka PJ, Dey D, Berman DS. Association of Plaque Location and Vessel Geometry Determined by Coronary Computed Tomographic Angiography With Future Acute Coronary Syndrome-Causing Culprit Lesions. JAMA Cardiol. 2022 Mar 1;7(3):309-319. doi: 10.1001/jamacardio.2021.5705.

    PMID: 35080587BACKGROUND
  • Riley RD, Snell KI, Ensor J, Burke DL, Harrell FE Jr, Moons KG, Collins GS. Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model: PART II - binary and time-to-event outcomes. Stat Med. 2019 Mar 30;38(7):1276-1296. doi: 10.1002/sim.7992. Epub 2018 Oct 24.

    PMID: 30357870BACKGROUND
  • Hadamitzky M, Distler R, Meyer T, Hein F, Kastrati A, Martinoff S, Schomig A, Hausleiter J. Prognostic value of coronary computed tomographic angiography in comparison with calcium scoring and clinical risk scores. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. 2011 Jan;4(1):16-23. doi: 10.1161/CIRCIMAGING.110.955351. Epub 2010 Sep 30.

    PMID: 20884832BACKGROUND
  • Riley RD, Van Calster B, Collins GS. A note on estimating the Cox-Snell R2 from a reported C statistic (AUROC) to inform sample size calculations for developing a prediction model with a binary outcome. Stat Med. 2021 Feb 20;40(4):859-864. doi: 10.1002/sim.8806. Epub 2020 Dec 7.

    PMID: 33283904BACKGROUND
  • Pavlou M, Qu C, Omar RZ, Seaman SR, Steyerberg EW, White IR, Ambler G. Estimation of required sample size for external validation of risk models for binary outcomes. Stat Methods Med Res. 2021 Oct;30(10):2187-2206. doi: 10.1177/09622802211007522. Epub 2021 Apr 21.

    PMID: 33881369BACKGROUND

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Coronary Artery Disease

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Coronary DiseaseMyocardial IschemiaHeart DiseasesCardiovascular DiseasesArteriosclerosisArterial Occlusive DiseasesVascular Diseases

Study Officials

  • Antonio Esposito

    IRCCS San Raffaele

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
OTHER
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Professor

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

September 1, 2023

First Posted

September 8, 2023

Study Start

July 31, 2023

Primary Completion

November 14, 2024

Study Completion

November 14, 2024

Last Updated

January 15, 2026

Record last verified: 2025-12

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

Locations