NCT05976984

Brief Summary

This project addresses Objective 2 of RFA-CE-21-002: to assess risk and protective factors for illicit stimulant use, use disorder, or overdose that can contribute to the development or adaptation of intervention strategies. The study will 1) develop and validate a model using both person-level and area-level characteristics to identify, among Medicaid enrollees age 15 and older, who is at highest risk of an inpatient hospitalization or emergency department (ED) encounter for overdose from cocaine or other stimulants; 2) develop and validate a model to identify, among those Medicaid enrollees age 15 and older at highest risk of an inpatient hospitalization or ED encounter for stimulant overdose, when they are at highest risk; and 3) among those Medicaid enrollees age 15 and above with a prior inpatient hospitalization or ED encounter for stimulant overdose, to measure the rate of and identify risk and protective factors for a subsequent inpatient hospitalization or ED encounter for overdose from stimulants and/or opioids.

Trial Health

87
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
634,939

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for all trials

Timeline
Completed

Started Sep 2021

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
completed

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Start

First participant enrolled

September 30, 2021

Completed
1.1 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

November 16, 2022

Completed
8 months until next milestone

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

July 27, 2023

Completed
8 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

August 4, 2023

Completed
2 years until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

August 18, 2025

Completed
Last Updated

September 22, 2025

Status Verified

September 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

1.1 years

First QC Date

July 27, 2023

Last Update Submit

September 17, 2025

Conditions

Keywords

stimulantoverdoseMedicaidpredictionrisk factor

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Rate of stimulant overdose

    Rate of inpatient hospitalization or emergency department visit for overdose due to cocaine or other stimulants (Aims 1\&2)

    2016-2020

Secondary Outcomes (1)

  • Rate of stimulant or opioid overdose

    2016-2020

Study Arms (1)

Medicaid enrollees

Medicaid enrollees age15 years or older 2016-2020

Other: Aim 1 (case-cohort study)Other: Aim 2 (case-crossover study)Other: Aim 3 (cohort study)

Interventions

* Cases: All Medicaid enrollees age 15 years or older with at least one inpatient hospitalization or emergency department visit indicating a stimulant overdose during 2016-2020 * Subcohort: A random sample of all Medicaid enrollees age 15 years or older irrespective of their stimulant overdose history during 2016-2020

Medicaid enrollees

* Case period: 60 days before the date of stimulant overdose through the day before the date of stimulant overdose * Control period: 179 days before the date of stimulant overdose through 120 days before the date of stimulant overdose * Washout period: 119 days before the date of stimulant overdose through 61 days before the date of stimulant overdose

Medicaid enrollees

All Medicaid enrollees age 15 years or older with at least one inpatient hospitalization or emergency department visit indicating a stimulant overdose during 2016-2020

Medicaid enrollees

Eligibility Criteria

Age18 Years+
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodProbability Sample
Study Population

The study population is a case-cohort sample, with the cases being all Medicaid enrollees ages 15 years or older who had at least one inpatient hospitalization or emergency department encounter indicating a stimulant overdose during 2016-2020, and the subcohort being a random sample of all Medicaid enrollees ages 15 years or older irrespective of their stimulant overdose history. Aim 1 analysis will make full use of the case-cohort sample, whereas Aims 2 and 3 analyses will be restricted to the cases.

You may qualify if:

  • Cases: Medicaid enrollees who (1) had an inpatient hospitalization or emergency department encounter indicating a stimulant overdose during 2016-2020, (2) had been continuously enrolled in Medicaid from January 1st of the year preceding the year in which the stimulant overdose occurred, and (3) were 15 years old or older as of January 1 of the year of the overdose.
  • Random subcohort: Medicaid enrollees who (1) had been continuously enrolled in Medicaid for at least one calendar year during 2015-2019, and (2) were 15 years old or older as of January 1 of one year following the last year of continuous enrollment.

You may not qualify if:

  • Medicaid enrollees whose data were in the format of Medicaid Analytic eXtract (MAX) in 2015
  • Medicaid enrollees whose residence zip code is missing or in Puerto Rico or Virgin Islands
  • Medicaid enrollees whose residence zip code does not correspond to any ZIP Code Tabulation Area (ZCTA) in the American Community Survey 5-year data

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA Perelman SCHOOLS OF MEDICINE

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 19104, United States

Location

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Drug Overdose

Interventions

Cohort Studies

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Prescription Drug MisuseDrug MisuseSubstance-Related DisordersChemically-Induced DisordersMental Disorders

Intervention Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Epidemiologic StudiesEpidemiologic Study CharacteristicsEpidemiologic MethodsInvestigative TechniquesHealth Care Evaluation MechanismsQuality of Health CareHealth Care Quality, Access, and EvaluationPublic HealthEnvironment and Public Health

Study Officials

  • Sean Hennessy, PhD

    University of Pennsylvania

    PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
CASE CONTROL
Time Perspective
RETROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
PI Title
Professor

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

July 27, 2023

First Posted

August 4, 2023

Study Start

September 30, 2021

Primary Completion

November 16, 2022

Study Completion

August 18, 2025

Last Updated

September 22, 2025

Record last verified: 2025-09

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

CMS does not allow users/license holders to make data available to the public.

Locations