NCT05809232

Brief Summary

Predicting surgical risks are important to patients and clinicians for shared decision making process and management plan. The study team aim to conduct a hybrid type 1 effectiveness implementation study design. A Randomized Controlled Trial where participants undergoing surgery In Singapore General Hospital (SGH) will be allocated in 1:1 ratio to CARES-guided (unblinded to risk level) or to unguided (blinded to risk level) groups. All participants undergoing elective surgeries in SGH will be considered eligible for enrolment into the study. For elective surgeries, the participants will mainly be recruited from Pre-admission Centre. The outcome of this study will help patients and clinicians make better decisions together. Firstly, the deployment of the CARES model in a live clinical environment could potentially reduce postoperative complications and improve the quality of surgical care provision. The findings from this study would allow fine-tuning of CARES as well as further deployment of additional risk models for specific complications other than Mortality and ICU stay. This in turn would translate to better health for the surgical population and improved cost-effectiveness. This is significant as the surgical population is expected to continuously grow due to improved access to care, better technologies and the aging population. Secondly, IMAGINATIVE will be instrumental in improving our understanding of the deployment strategies for AI/ML predictive models in healthcare. Models such as CARES could be the standard of care in the future if proven to improve the health outcomes of patients. As model deployments are costly and can be disruptive to the EMR processes, this study would be the initial spark for future deployment and health services research focusing on improving the value of these model deployments.

Trial Health

63
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Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
9,200

participants targeted

Target at P75+ for not_applicable

Timeline
19mo left

Started May 2023

Longer than P75 for not_applicable

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
not yet recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress66%
May 2023Dec 2027

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

March 14, 2023

Completed
29 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

April 12, 2023

Completed
19 days until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

May 1, 2023

Completed
4.2 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

July 1, 2027

Expected
5 months until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

December 1, 2027

Last Updated

April 12, 2023

Status Verified

March 1, 2023

Enrollment Period

4.2 years

First QC Date

March 14, 2023

Last Update Submit

March 29, 2023

Conditions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (1)

  • Change in perioperative mortality rates

    To assess the effectiveness of the Machine Learning Clinical Decision Support (ML-CDS). Hypothesis: The CARES-guided group will have a 30% relative reduction in one-year mortality rate due to the increased clinician awareness of the risks.

    Five years

Secondary Outcomes (1)

  • Change in potentially avoidable planned ICU admission after surgery

    Five years

Other Outcomes (1)

  • Shift in adoption rate of CARES's CDS recommendations among anesthesiologists, intensivists, surgeons and nurses

    Five years

Study Arms (2)

CARES-guided Group

ACTIVE COMPARATOR

The Intervention

Other: CARES-guided Group

Non CARES-Guided Group

NO INTERVENTION

The control - Participants randomized to the control arm will continue to have their routine Pre-Anesthesia Assessment on the electronic form, without the CARES calculator calculations, as per current practice

Interventions

Participants randomised to the CARES-guided arm will have their CARES-score calculated and entered into the Pre-Anesthesia Assessment electronic form within the Electronic Medical Records (EMR). This score and its relevant advisories will be prominently displayed on this electronic form. (Participants on this arm will receive this intervention in addition to the routine practice).

CARES-guided Group

Eligibility Criteria

Age21 Years - 100 Years
Sexall
Healthy VolunteersNo
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)

You may qualify if:

  • Patients \>=21 Years old
  • Patients going for elective surgery
  • For semi-structured interview:
  • \. Any clinician or nurse that used CARES during the research trial

You may not qualify if:

  • Patients with reduced mental capacity
  • Patients who are unable to give consent

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

Singapore General Hospital

Singapore, Singapore

Location

Related Publications (1)

  • Abdullah HR, Brenda TPY, Loh C, Ong M, Lamoureux E, Lim GH, Lum E. Protocol for the impact of machine learning-based clinician decision support algorithims in perioperative care (IMAGINATIVE) in Singapore general hospital : a large prospective randomised controlled trial. BMJ Open. 2024 Dec 20;14(12):e086769. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-086769.

Central Study Contacts

Hairil Rizal Abdullah, MBBS

CONTACT

Study Design

Study Type
interventional
Phase
not applicable
Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Masking
NONE
Purpose
OTHER
Intervention Model
PARALLEL
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

March 14, 2023

First Posted

April 12, 2023

Study Start

May 1, 2023

Primary Completion (Estimated)

July 1, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 1, 2027

Last Updated

April 12, 2023

Record last verified: 2023-03

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

Locations