Prediction of Progression of Retinal Ischemia in Diabetes
PREDICTION
1 other identifier
observational
62
1 country
1
Brief Summary
Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is a major public health problem with significant socioeconomic implications due to its increased prevalence. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the most frequent complication in DM patients and remains the leading cause of legal blindness in working-age populations (Yau et al., 2012). Differentiating patients with higher vs low risk of progression to vision-threatening complications is of paramount importance for an efficient managing of the disease to prevent vision disability. PREDICTION is a longitudinal prospective clinical study in DMT2 patients with a higher risk of progression to explore possible imaging, functional and systemic biomarkers of progression, using non-invasive methods, commonly applied in the clinical practice. Investigating the retinal vascular network (vessel density metrics with Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography) will allow a better understanding of the evolution of capillary closure and ischemia, two main risk factors for DR worsening.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P25-P50 for all trials
Started Dec 2022
Longer than P75 for all trials
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
October 12, 2022
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
October 14, 2022
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
December 2, 2022
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
February 2, 2024
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
October 31, 2028
ExpectedMay 9, 2025
May 1, 2025
1.2 years
October 12, 2022
May 8, 2025
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (3)
One and 2-steps change on ETDRS severity level (using standard 7-fields CFP acquisitions at 30º and in Wide-field 100º acquisitions).
Identify and characterize the progression of retinal microvascular changes (vascular occlusion) occurring in eyes with moderate to severe NPDR (ETDRS severity levels 43, 47 or 53).
48 months
Changes in Vessel density (VD) metrics (skeletonized VD, binarized VD (PD), considering macular region and midperiphery.
Explore new OCTA vascular metrics and identify which can be used as imaging biomarkers to better identify DR progression (skeletonized VD, binarized VD (PD).
48 months
Changes in geometric perfusion deficits (GPD) on the superficial and deep retinal vascular layers on SS-OCTA, considering macular region and midperiphery.
Explore new OCTA vascular metrics and identify which can be used as imaging biomarkers to better identify DR progression geometric perfusion deficits (GPD) using 3mm x 3mm and wide-field 15mm x 15mm OCTA acquisitions.
48 months
Secondary Outcomes (7)
Changes in FAZ area on OCTA
48 months
Changes in perimeter on OCTA.
48 months
Changes in circularity on OCTA.
48 months
Changes in GCL + IPL thickness evaluated by SD-OCT.
48 months
Changes in CRT and layer by layer thickness evaluated by SD-OCT.
48 months
- +2 more secondary outcomes
Eligibility Criteria
52 eyes from 52 individuals with T2D and NPDR with ETDRS DRSS grade 43, 47 or 53, with or without previous treatment, will be included in this study, in a recruitment period of 14 months.
You may qualify if:
- DM type 2 according to 1985 WHO criteria.
- Age between 35 and 80 years.
- BCVA ≥ 75 letters (20 /32).
- Refraction with a spherical equivalent less than 5 Diopters.
- NPDR levels 43, 47 or 53 (based on the ETDRS criteria - 7 fields CFP).
You may not qualify if:
- Cataract or other eye disease that may interfere with fundus examinations.
- HBA1C ≥ 12%
- Other retinal vascular disease.
- Previous laser or intravitreal injection treatment.
- Dilatation of the pupil \< 5 mm.
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (1)
AIBILI-CEC (AIBILI- Clinical Trials Centre)
Coimbra, 3000-548, Portugal
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
October 12, 2022
First Posted
October 14, 2022
Study Start
December 2, 2022
Primary Completion
February 2, 2024
Study Completion (Estimated)
October 31, 2028
Last Updated
May 9, 2025
Record last verified: 2025-05
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share