NCT05581225

Brief Summary

Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is a major public health problem with significant socioeconomic implications due to its increased prevalence. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the most frequent complication in DM patients and remains the leading cause of legal blindness in working-age populations (Yau et al., 2012). Differentiating patients with higher vs low risk of progression to vision-threatening complications is of paramount importance for an efficient managing of the disease to prevent vision disability. PREDICTION is a longitudinal prospective clinical study in DMT2 patients with a higher risk of progression to explore possible imaging, functional and systemic biomarkers of progression, using non-invasive methods, commonly applied in the clinical practice. Investigating the retinal vascular network (vessel density metrics with Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography) will allow a better understanding of the evolution of capillary closure and ischemia, two main risk factors for DR worsening.

Trial Health

75
On Track

Trial Health Score

Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach

Enrollment
62

participants targeted

Target at P25-P50 for all trials

Timeline
30mo left

Started Dec 2022

Longer than P75 for all trials

Geographic Reach
1 country

1 active site

Status
active not recruiting

Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.

Trial Relationships

Click on a node to explore related trials.

Study Timeline

Key milestones and dates

Study Progress58%
Dec 2022Oct 2028

First Submitted

Initial submission to the registry

October 12, 2022

Completed
2 days until next milestone

First Posted

Study publicly available on registry

October 14, 2022

Completed
2 months until next milestone

Study Start

First participant enrolled

December 2, 2022

Completed
1.2 years until next milestone

Primary Completion

Last participant's last visit for primary outcome

February 2, 2024

Completed
4.7 years until next milestone

Study Completion

Last participant's last visit for all outcomes

October 31, 2028

Expected
Last Updated

May 9, 2025

Status Verified

May 1, 2025

Enrollment Period

1.2 years

First QC Date

October 12, 2022

Last Update Submit

May 8, 2025

Conditions

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcomes (3)

  • One and 2-steps change on ETDRS severity level (using standard 7-fields CFP acquisitions at 30º and in Wide-field 100º acquisitions).

    Identify and characterize the progression of retinal microvascular changes (vascular occlusion) occurring in eyes with moderate to severe NPDR (ETDRS severity levels 43, 47 or 53).

    48 months

  • Changes in Vessel density (VD) metrics (skeletonized VD, binarized VD (PD), considering macular region and midperiphery.

    Explore new OCTA vascular metrics and identify which can be used as imaging biomarkers to better identify DR progression (skeletonized VD, binarized VD (PD).

    48 months

  • Changes in geometric perfusion deficits (GPD) on the superficial and deep retinal vascular layers on SS-OCTA, considering macular region and midperiphery.

    Explore new OCTA vascular metrics and identify which can be used as imaging biomarkers to better identify DR progression geometric perfusion deficits (GPD) using 3mm x 3mm and wide-field 15mm x 15mm OCTA acquisitions.

    48 months

Secondary Outcomes (7)

  • Changes in FAZ area on OCTA

    48 months

  • Changes in perimeter on OCTA.

    48 months

  • Changes in circularity on OCTA.

    48 months

  • Changes in GCL + IPL thickness evaluated by SD-OCT.

    48 months

  • Changes in CRT and layer by layer thickness evaluated by SD-OCT.

    48 months

  • +2 more secondary outcomes

Eligibility Criteria

Age35 Years - 80 Years
Sexall
Age GroupsAdult (18-64), Older Adult (65+)
Sampling MethodNon-Probability Sample
Study Population

52 eyes from 52 individuals with T2D and NPDR with ETDRS DRSS grade 43, 47 or 53, with or without previous treatment, will be included in this study, in a recruitment period of 14 months.

You may qualify if:

  • DM type 2 according to 1985 WHO criteria.
  • Age between 35 and 80 years.
  • BCVA ≥ 75 letters (20 /32).
  • Refraction with a spherical equivalent less than 5 Diopters.
  • NPDR levels 43, 47 or 53 (based on the ETDRS criteria - 7 fields CFP).

You may not qualify if:

  • Cataract or other eye disease that may interfere with fundus examinations.
  • HBA1C ≥ 12%
  • Other retinal vascular disease.
  • Previous laser or intravitreal injection treatment.
  • Dilatation of the pupil \< 5 mm.

Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.

Sponsors & Collaborators

Study Sites (1)

AIBILI-CEC (AIBILI- Clinical Trials Centre)

Coimbra, 3000-548, Portugal

Location

MeSH Terms

Conditions

Diabetic Retinopathy

Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)

Retinal DiseasesEye DiseasesDiabetic AngiopathiesVascular DiseasesCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes ComplicationsDiabetes MellitusEndocrine System Diseases

Study Design

Study Type
observational
Observational Model
COHORT
Time Perspective
PROSPECTIVE
Sponsor Type
OTHER
Responsible Party
SPONSOR

Study Record Dates

First Submitted

October 12, 2022

First Posted

October 14, 2022

Study Start

December 2, 2022

Primary Completion

February 2, 2024

Study Completion (Estimated)

October 31, 2028

Last Updated

May 9, 2025

Record last verified: 2025-05

Data Sharing

IPD Sharing
Will not share

Locations