Bayesian Networks in Pediatric Cardiac Surgery
Use of Deep Neural Networks and Bayesian Analysis to Identify Risk Factors for Poor Outcome After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery
1 other identifier
observational
1,364
1 country
1
Brief Summary
Pediatric cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Also score systems for risk factors, such as Risk Adjustment for Congenital Heart surgery (RACHS 1) score or the ARISTOTLE score, have been developed, outcome prediction remains difficult. New mathematical methods using deep neural networks associated with Bayesian statistical methods have been developed to give a better understanding of the complex interaction between different risk factors, to identify risk factors and group them in related families. This method has been successfully used to predict mortality in dialysis patient as well as to better describe complex psychiatric syndromes. The primary hypothesis of this study is that the use of these tools will give a better understanding on the factors affecting outcome after pediatric cardiac surgery. A network analysis using Gaussian Graphical Models, Mixed Graphical models and Bayesian networks will be used to identify single or groups of risk factors for morbidity and mortality after pediatric cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Sep 2022
Shorter than P25 for all trials
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
September 8, 2022
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
September 13, 2022
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
September 17, 2022
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
March 31, 2023
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
April 30, 2023
CompletedJuly 27, 2023
July 1, 2023
7 months
September 8, 2022
July 26, 2023
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Outcome predictors
All preoperative, peroperative and postoperative variables will be entered into a deep neural network with Bayesian statistics to identify groups or individual risk factors for postoperative morbidity and mortality
28 days
Study Arms (1)
Pediatric cardiac surgery
All patients with pediatric cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass between 2008 and 2018 will be included
Interventions
All patients with pediatric cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass between 2008 and 2018 operated at our institution
Eligibility Criteria
All patients with pediatric cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass between 2008 and 2018 at our institution
You may qualify if:
- to 16 years
- cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass
You may not qualify if:
- ASA (American Society of Anesthesiologists) status 5
- Jehovah's Witness
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- Brugmann University Hospitallead
- Université Libre de Bruxellescollaborator
Study Sites (1)
Hôpital Universitaire des Enfants Reine Fabiola
Brussels, 1020, Belgium
Related Publications (6)
Jenkins KJ, Gauvreau K, Newburger JW, Spray TL, Moller JH, Iezzoni LI. Consensus-based method for risk adjustment for surgery for congenital heart disease. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2002 Jan;123(1):110-8. doi: 10.1067/mtc.2002.119064.
PMID: 11782764BACKGROUNDLacour-Gayet F, Clarke D, Jacobs J, Comas J, Daebritz S, Daenen W, Gaynor W, Hamilton L, Jacobs M, Maruszsewski B, Pozzi M, Spray T, Stellin G, Tchervenkov C, Mavroudis And C; Aristotle Committee. The Aristotle score: a complexity-adjusted method to evaluate surgical results. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2004 Jun;25(6):911-24. doi: 10.1016/j.ejcts.2004.03.027.
PMID: 15144988BACKGROUNDSiga MM, Ducher M, Florens N, Roth H, Mahloul N, Fouque D, Fauvel JP. Prediction of all-cause mortality in haemodialysis patients using a Bayesian network. Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2020 Aug 1;35(8):1420-1425. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfz295.
PMID: 32040147BACKGROUNDTill AC, Florquin R, Delhaye M, Kornreich C, Williams DR, Briganti G. A network perspective on abnormal child behavior in primary school students. Psychol Rep. 2023 Aug;126(4):1933-1953. doi: 10.1177/00332941221077907. Epub 2022 Mar 24.
PMID: 35331028BACKGROUNDBriganti G, Linkowski P. Item and domain network structures of the Resilience Scale for Adults in 675 university students. Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci. 2019 Apr 22;29:e33. doi: 10.1017/S2045796019000222.
PMID: 31006419BACKGROUNDFlorquin R, Florquin R, Schmartz D, Dony P, Briganti G. Pediatric cardiac surgery: machine learning models for postoperative complication prediction. J Anesth. 2024 Dec;38(6):747-755. doi: 10.1007/s00540-024-03377-7. Epub 2024 Jul 19.
PMID: 39028323DERIVED
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- RETROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
- PI Title
- Head, Département of Anesthesiology
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
September 8, 2022
First Posted
September 13, 2022
Study Start
September 17, 2022
Primary Completion
March 31, 2023
Study Completion
April 30, 2023
Last Updated
July 27, 2023
Record last verified: 2023-07
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share