Study Stopped
The study failed to recruit sufficient number of participants.
Predicting Severity and Disease Progression in Influenza-like Illness (Including COVID-19)
PREDICT-ILI
1 other identifier
observational
8
1 country
1
Brief Summary
Respiratory infections such as colds, flu and pneumonia affect millions of people around the world every year. Most cases are mild, but some people become very unwell. Influenza ('flu') is one of the most common causes of lung infection. Seasonal flu affects between 10% and 46% of the population each year and causes around 12 deaths in every 100,000 people infected. In addition, both influenza and coronaviruses have caused pandemics in recent years, leading to severe disease in many people. Although flu vaccines are available, these need to change every year to overcome rapid changes in the virus and are not completely protective. This study aims to find and develop predictive tests to better understand how and when flu-like illness progresses to more severe disease. This may help to decide which people need to be admitted to hospital, and how their treatment needs to be increased or decreased during infection. The aim is to recruit 100 patients admitted to hospital due to a respiratory infection. It is voluntary to take part and participants can choose to withdraw at any time. The study will involve some blood and nose samples. This will be done on Day 0, Day 2 and Discharge from hospital, and an out-patient follow-up visit on Day 28. The data will be used to develop novel diagnostic tools to assist in rational treatment decisions that will benefit both individual patients and resource allocation. It will also establish research preparedness for upcoming pandemics.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at below P25 for all trials
Started Jan 2021
1 active site
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
Click on a node to explore related trials.
Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
December 1, 2020
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
December 11, 2020
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
January 25, 2021
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
April 30, 2022
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
April 30, 2022
CompletedResults Posted
Study results publicly available
May 17, 2024
CompletedMay 17, 2024
April 1, 2024
1.3 years
December 1, 2020
September 1, 2023
April 24, 2024
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (3)
Describe the Aetiology of Influenza-like Illness in Hospitalised Adults
The identity of pathological organisms associated with influenza-like illness (including respiratory viruses and bacteria) will be obtained from the patient's medical record
Day 0 to Day 28
Describe the Clinical Outcomes of Influenza-like Illness in Hospitalised Adults
Data collection on Day 28 will consist of clinical diagnosis at discharge, any febrile illness in the 7 days preceding the visit, mortality and complications between Day 0 and 28.
Day 0 to Day 28
Describe the Clinical Management of Influenza-like Illness in Hospitalised Adults
Describe the Clinical Management of Influenza-like Illness in Hospitalised Adults
Day 0 to Day 28
Secondary Outcomes (1)
Identify Changes in Cytokine Levels During Influenza-like Illness in Hospitalised Adults
Day 0 to Day 28
Interventions
With biological samples and longitudinal observations, the aim is to find and develop predictive tests to better understand how and when flu-like illness progresses to more severe disease. This may help to decide which people need to be admitted to hospital, and how their treatment needs to be increased or decreased during infection.
Eligibility Criteria
In-patients admitted to hospital with a confirmed or suspected respiratory infection.
You may qualify if:
- Healthy persons aged ≥ 18, and able to give informed consent
- Patient is admitted to hospital
- Primary reason for hospital admission is clinical suspicion of a new episode of ARI
- Onset of the following symptoms within the last 7 days: i. Sudden onset of self-reported fever OR temperature of ≥ 38°C at presentation AND ii. At least one respiratory symptom (cough, sore throat, runny or congested nose, dyspnoea) AND iii. At least one systemic symptom (headache, muscle ache, sweats or chills or tiredness).
You may not qualify if:
- Patient lacks capacity to provide informed consent
- Patient has been transferred from another hospital
- Patient has been previously enrolled in the study
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (1)
Imperial College London
London, United Kingdom
Biospecimen
Blood and nasal scrapes (using RhinoPro) for analysis by transcriptomics and qPCR.
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Interventions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Intervention Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Limitations and Caveats
This study only recruited 8 participants of the 100 total recruitment target.
Results Point of Contact
- Title
- Senior Clinical Research Nurse
- Organization
- Imperial College London
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Christopher Chiu, PhD
Imperial College London
Publication Agreements
- PI is Sponsor Employee
- Yes
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- CASE ONLY
- Time Perspective
- CROSS SECTIONAL
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
December 1, 2020
First Posted
December 11, 2020
Study Start
January 25, 2021
Primary Completion
April 30, 2022
Study Completion
April 30, 2022
Last Updated
May 17, 2024
Results First Posted
May 17, 2024
Record last verified: 2024-04
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will share
- Shared Documents
- STUDY PROTOCOL, CSR
- Time Frame
- Data will become available approximately 12 months from the last patient's last visit and remain available indefinitely
- Access Criteria
- According to study protocol
The expectation is that after analysis the data from this study will be widely distributed in the medical and scientific community. Facilitated with presentations at local, national and international meetings, the hope is to publish widely in the medical literature. In addition there is an excellent media department at Imperial College that will publicise research that has public interest when it is published. All data will be anonymised and aggregated or pseudonymised; no identifying participant information will be published.