Predictive Tracking of Patient Flow in the Emergency Services During the Virus Winter Epidemics
PREDAFLU
2 other identifiers
observational
760,000
1 country
11
Brief Summary
Epidemics and infectious diseases in general, punctuate much of the activity of an emergency service. The impact of winter infections is particularly important to vulnerable populations such as infant during bronchiolitis epidemics and the elderly during seasonal influenza. Each year, these epidemic phenomena lead to disorganization of emergency services and healthcare teams by lack of anticipation and organizational measures in particular to manage the approval of emergency services for the most vulnerable populations requiring hospitalization. For 2 years, the pediatric emergency department of St Etienne University Hospital has a decision support tool for the periods of winter epidemics. Through a retrospective analysis of Passages of Emergency summary, this tool provides an estimate of infants with bronchiolitis flow day to day, and the availability in real time of an abnormally high flow of patients to pediatric emergencies. These data can help to affirm that the epidemic begins in this hospital.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Sep 2016
Longer than P75 for all trials
11 active sites
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
August 1, 2016
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
August 8, 2016
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
September 1, 2016
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
December 31, 2023
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
December 31, 2023
CompletedMarch 22, 2024
March 1, 2024
7.3 years
August 1, 2016
March 21, 2024
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
build a predictive tool
a tool with different levels of alerts of the influx of people aged to emergencies during winter epidemics. Variables in the model : activity database in emergency services, computer data, virology database and average length of stay.
at inclusion
Secondary Outcomes (4)
Difference between the estimated date and the effective date of the activity peak on the average length of stay of patients in the hospital of Saint Etienne
at inclusion
Difference between the estimated date and the effective date of the activity peak on the average length of stay of patients in the other hospitals
at inclusion
Comparison virological databases with clinical diagnosis of patients
at inclusion
Percentage of elderly staying more than 10 hours in the emergency services.
at inclusion
Study Arms (1)
patients < 24 months or 60 years with bronchiolitis or ARF
ARF = Acute Renal Failure
Interventions
data retrieval with the Hospital Information System
Eligibility Criteria
child \< 24 months with bronchiolitis or elderly \< 60 years with acute renal failure
You may qualify if:
- child \< 24 months with bronchiolitis
- elderly \< 60 years with acute renal failure or breathing problem
You may not qualify if:
- refuse of transmission of their data
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (11)
CHU de Grenoble (adult emergency service)
Grenoble, 38000, France
CHU de Grenoble (pediatric service)
Grenoble, 38000, France
CHU de Lyon (adult emergency service)
Lyon, 69000, France
CHU de Lyon (laboratory of virology)
Lyon, 69000, France
CHU de Lyon HFME (pediatric service)
Lyon, 69000, France
CHU de Saint Etienne (adult emergency service)
Saint-Etienne, 42055, France
CHU de Saint Etienne (Pediatric service)
Saint-Etienne, 42055, France
CH de Valence (adult emergency service)
Valence, 26000, France
CH de Valence (pediatric service)
Valence, 26000, France
CH de Villefranche (adult emergency service)
Villefranche-sur-Saône, 69655, France
CH de Villefranche (pediatric service)
Villefranche-sur-Saône, 69655, France
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Olivier MORY, MD
Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Saint Etienne
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
August 1, 2016
First Posted
August 8, 2016
Study Start
September 1, 2016
Primary Completion
December 31, 2023
Study Completion
December 31, 2023
Last Updated
March 22, 2024
Record last verified: 2024-03
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share