Validation of a Predictive Risk Equation for Type 2 Diabetes in Families With Risk
DESCENDANCE
1 other identifier
interventional
1,035
2 countries
17
Brief Summary
Considering its epidemic-like development worldwide, associated with modifications in lifestyle, as well as its enormous social and economic weight, the prevention of type II diabetes is certain to be a central concern of health systems within the developed countries in the decades to come. However, while simple obesity concerns the entire population, type 2 diabetes affects only one sub-population at high genetic risk. To be effective and realistic in economic terms, efforts at prevention must be thus targeted towards these subjects at high risk. The key issue involves identifying such subjects early enough so that a strategy of effective prevention can be organized in good time. Until now, efforts have been concentrated on individuals at risk for diabetes readily identifiable within the general population, typically subjects in the second half of adulthood, presenting abdominal obesity and mild abnormalities of blood sugar. Preventive lifestyle and dietary measures are proposed but are constrictive and difficult to maintain over time, and the results, although they may be significant, remain disappointing, with mere postponement of an outcome which at this stage appears inevitable. The reason is ascribable to excessively tardy intervention, when the pathogenic process has already been ongoing for some ten years and the endocrine function of the pancreas is probably already irreparably impaired. The alternative thus is earlier intervention, in childhood, adolescence or early adulthood. The problem is to identify individuals at high risk of becoming diabetic at a time when they are presenting no simple clinical or laboratory abnormalities allowing easy diagnosis. The familial character of type 2 diabetes is now well established, and future diabetic subjects are themselves above all the children of diabetic subjects. However, the prevalence of the disease among the descendants of type 2 diabetic subjects is around 20-30% and predictive tools are needed to combat diabetes in these high-risk families. We propose to create a risk equation using an algorithm to reliably predict children most likely to develop diabetes later in life. The algorithm will include 3 classes of data:
- The genotype stemming from the genetic characterization of individuals and those their parents;
- Environmental data concerning childhood, especially eating habits and physical activity;
- Data of the mother who was eventually diabetic during pregnancy. From a methodological standpoint, it would be rather difficult to take blood samples from children and wait some 50 years to determine whether or not they develop diabetes. To circumvent this difficulty, we will recruit subjects in families with a history of type II diabetes:
- Parents alive, including at least one type 2 diabetic subject
- Adult children (aged over 35 years), some of whom are already presenting type II diabetes, and healthy brothers and sisters, who form the control population. Test will be done to determine whether healthy subjects are really safe from the risk of diabetes (HbA1c measurement and glucose load test). The Descendence study will include 500 families at risk involving about 3000 subjects (1000 subjects with diabetes and 2000 healthy subjects). It is expected to answer the following question: for a child born in such families at risk, what is the probability of developing diabetes later in life, so that early preventive action may be taken
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for not_applicable type-2-diabetes
Started Dec 2011
Longer than P75 for not_applicable type-2-diabetes
17 active sites
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
Click on a node to explore related trials.
Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
Study Start
First participant enrolled
December 14, 2011
CompletedFirst Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
November 8, 2012
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
November 16, 2012
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
November 24, 2020
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
November 24, 2020
CompletedMay 11, 2021
August 1, 2020
9 years
November 8, 2012
May 7, 2021
Conditions
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Measure of risk of developing type 2 diabetes in at-risk families
Oral Glucose Tolerance Test (only for health volunteers) HbA1c assay (for type 2 diabetic subject)
participants will be followed from the moment where they sign consent form and until they have sent back questionnary and done the blood test, an expected average of 4 weeks
Study Arms (2)
Type 2 diabetic subject
OTHERSubject with type 2 diabetes
healthy subject
OTHERHealthy subjet from family where there is the existence of the disease (type 2 diabetes) in two successive generations
Interventions
Eligibility Criteria
You may qualify if:
- Families at risk for diabetes defined by the existence of the disease in two successive generations and consists with healthy subject in the two generations.
- Subjects must be aged over 25 years
You may not qualify if:
- subject refusing to participate
- pregnant women
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
Study Sites (17)
CHU Sart Tilman Liège
Liège, 4000, Belgium
CHU Jean Minjoz
Besançon, 25030, France
CHU Avicenne
Bobigny, 93000, France
CHU de Bondy
Bondy, France
CHU de BREST
Brest, France
CHU de Caen
Caen, 14000, France
CH Sud Francilien
Évry, 91000, France
University Hospital Grenoble
Grenoble, 38043, France
CHU de Bicetre
Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, 94270, France
CHRU Lille
Lille, 59037, France
CHU Marseille Hôpitaux Sud
Marseille, 13274, France
CHU de Nancy
Nancy, 54500, France
CHU de Nantes
Nantes, 44000, France
CHU Bichat
Paris, 75877, France
CHU de REIMS
Reims, France
Centre Hospitalier Strasbourg
Strasbourg, 67000, France
CHU Toulouse
Toulouse, 31403, France
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Design
- Study Type
- interventional
- Phase
- not applicable
- Allocation
- NON RANDOMIZED
- Masking
- NONE
- Purpose
- PREVENTION
- Intervention Model
- PARALLEL
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
November 8, 2012
First Posted
November 16, 2012
Study Start
December 14, 2011
Primary Completion
November 24, 2020
Study Completion
November 24, 2020
Last Updated
May 11, 2021
Record last verified: 2020-08