Prognostic Value of Interferon Gamma Release Assays in Predicting Active Tuberculosis Among Individuals With, or at Risk of, Latent Tuberculosis Infection
PREDICT
1 other identifier
observational
10,000
1 country
3
Brief Summary
The objective of this study is to assess the efficacy of the two current TB (tuberculosis) blood tests (Interferon Gamma Release Assays (IGRA)) compared with the standard skin test (Mantoux Tuberculin Skin Test (TST)), for predicting active tuberculosis among those at increased risk of TB. Those at increased risk are defined as either newly arrived immigrants or people who have been in contact with TB cases. The study will also provide information on the cost effectiveness of different testing strategies, such as the two step testing approach recommended by NICE. The study is to be funded by the NIHR Health Technology Assessment programme. 10,000 participants will be recruited from 12 hospitals and a network of GP surgeries in London. All participants will have the skin test and blood taken for both assays. Disease status of participants will then be followed up for an average of 24 months using the national register of clinical reports, a phone call and the national microbiological database. The risk of developing active disease is highest in the first two years after exposure. During followup there will be no additional diagnostic procedures unless symptoms occur, i.e. in line with current NICE policy. A sub group of patients, selected as a random 25% of participants, will have a repeat IGRA test shortly after the first test to investigate whether the skin test affects the result of the blood test.
Trial Health
Trial Health Score
Automated assessment based on enrollment pace, timeline, and geographic reach
participants targeted
Target at P75+ for all trials
Started Aug 2010
Longer than P75 for all trials
3 active sites
Health score is calculated from publicly available data and should be used for screening purposes only.
Trial Relationships
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Study Timeline
Key milestones and dates
First Submitted
Initial submission to the registry
July 12, 2010
CompletedFirst Posted
Study publicly available on registry
July 14, 2010
CompletedStudy Start
First participant enrolled
August 1, 2010
CompletedPrimary Completion
Last participant's last visit for primary outcome
June 30, 2015
CompletedStudy Completion
Last participant's last visit for all outcomes
June 30, 2016
CompletedOctober 1, 2020
May 1, 2017
4.9 years
July 12, 2010
September 29, 2020
Conditions
Keywords
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcomes (1)
Development of active TB. Prognostic values of tests quantified as incidence rate ratios (RR) among contacts and new entrants
two years
Secondary Outcomes (1)
Side effects from chemoprophylaxis
two years
Study Arms (2)
Contacts
Contacts of active cases of tuberculosis
new entrants
new entrants from high incidence (\>40/100000) countries.
Eligibility Criteria
Those who are close contacts of active tuberculosis cases or those who have are new entrants to the UK from high incidence countries (\>40/100000).
You may qualify if:
- Contacts of all active TB (pulmonary and extrapulmonary) patients. (Contacts will include all individuals with a cumulative duration of exposure of greater than eight hours to the relevant index case in a confined space during the period of infectiousness (prior to initiation of treatment) who attend designated clinics.
- New entrants from high incidence countries (incidence of TB of \>40/100000) who attend designated clinics
You may not qualify if:
- Patients who are unable to give informed consent
- Children under 16 years of age
- Individuals found to have active TB at the time of screening
Contact the study team to confirm eligibility.
Sponsors & Collaborators
- Public Health Englandlead
- Imperial College Londoncollaborator
- Queen Mary University of Londoncollaborator
- University College, Londoncollaborator
- Brunel Universitycollaborator
- University of Birminghamcollaborator
Study Sites (3)
Ealing Hospital
Southall, London, UB1 3HW, United Kingdom
St George's Hospital
Tooting, London, SW17 0QT, United Kingdom
Homerton Hospital
London, E9 6SR, United Kingdom
Related Publications (5)
Lule SA, Gupta RK, Krutikov M, Jackson C, Southern J, Abubakar I. The relationship between social risk factors and latent tuberculosis infection among individuals residing in England: a cross-sectional study. BMJ Glob Health. 2020 Dec;5(12):e003550. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-003550.
PMID: 33293291DERIVEDKatelaris AL, Jackson C, Southern J, Gupta RK, Drobniewski F, Lalvani A, Lipman M, Mangtani P, Abubakar I. Effectiveness of BCG Vaccination Against Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in Adults: A Cross-sectional Analysis of a UK-Based Cohort. J Infect Dis. 2020 Jan 1;221(1):146-155. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiz430.
PMID: 31504674DERIVEDAbubakar I, Lalvani A, Southern J, Sitch A, Jackson C, Onyimadu O, Lipman M, Deeks JJ, Griffiths C, Bothamley G, Kon OM, Hayward A, Lord J, Drobniewski F. Two interferon gamma release assays for predicting active tuberculosis: the UK PREDICT TB prognostic test study. Health Technol Assess. 2018 Oct;22(56):1-96. doi: 10.3310/hta22560.
PMID: 30334521DERIVEDAbubakar I, Drobniewski F, Southern J, Sitch AJ, Jackson C, Lipman M, Deeks JJ, Griffiths C, Bothamley G, Lynn W, Burgess H, Mann B, Imran A, Sridhar S, Tsou CY, Nikolayevskyy V, Rees-Roberts M, Whitworth H, Kon OM, Haldar P, Kunst H, Anderson S, Hayward A, Watson JM, Milburn H, Lalvani A; PREDICT Study Team. Prognostic value of interferon-gamma release assays and tuberculin skin test in predicting the development of active tuberculosis (UK PREDICT TB): a prospective cohort study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2018 Oct;18(10):1077-1087. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30355-4. Epub 2018 Aug 30.
PMID: 30174209DERIVEDJackson C, Southern J, Lalvani A, Drobniewski F, Griffiths CJ, Lipman M, Bothamley GH, Deeks JJ, Imran A, Kon OM, Mpofu S, Nikolayevskyy V, Rees-Roberts M, Sitch A, Sridhar S, Tsou CY, Whitworth H, Abubakar I. Diabetes mellitus and latent tuberculosis infection: baseline analysis of a large UK cohort. Thorax. 2019 Jan;74(1):91-94. doi: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2017-211124. Epub 2018 May 15.
PMID: 29764958DERIVED
Biospecimen
A biobank will be established from samples collected in this study, subject to routine HTA requirements in the UK. This has full ethical approval and is included in the consent to take part in the study.
MeSH Terms
Conditions
Condition Hierarchy (Ancestors)
Study Officials
- PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Ajit Lalvani, MD, PhD
Imperial College London
Study Design
- Study Type
- observational
- Observational Model
- COHORT
- Time Perspective
- PROSPECTIVE
- Sponsor Type
- OTHER GOV
- Responsible Party
- SPONSOR
Study Record Dates
First Submitted
July 12, 2010
First Posted
July 14, 2010
Study Start
August 1, 2010
Primary Completion
June 30, 2015
Study Completion
June 30, 2016
Last Updated
October 1, 2020
Record last verified: 2017-05
Data Sharing
- IPD Sharing
- Will not share